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Verkhnegrad Imperials 13, Graz Broncos 6                    2046-04-23 · #1019
at Edwards Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad            13      -   13   15    1
Graz                    6      0    6    9    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chernov     rf ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
Medvedev    lf ......    3   3   2   1   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  0.667
Trubin      cf ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Granat      ss ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  1.000
Kambolov    3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Iakovlev    1b ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Pavlenko    c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Wahyudi     2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mykhayliche p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.000
Fokina      j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Savinykh    j  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32  13  15   3   0   2  12   7   6   2   1  0.469
  2B: Medvedev (9), Trubin 2 (8).
  HR: Chernov (4), off Mthembu; Medvedev (3), off Kangwa.
  SB: Wahyudi (2), Tsybysheva (1).
  E: Wahyudi (1).
  GIDP: Mykhaylichenko (1).


GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Gueye       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Covilhã     c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Jones   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ndour       rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Ndlovu  ss ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Abebe   ss ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  d-Webó    nf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  e-Engelbr c  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Hakimi  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Collins     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Mazarura    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bothma      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   9   3   0   0   6   7   8   0   0  0.321
  2B: Collins (12), Ndlovu (4), Covilhã (3).
  HBP: Schiffman (2), Covilhã (3).
  a-Ran for Covilhã in the 8th.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Grounded out for Engelbrecht in the 8th.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mykhaylichenko ......    13   11  41%    1    0    0    3    2    0   51    -
Hagist ..............    14    9  33%    4    4    4    3    4    0   53    -
Watson (W, 1-0) .....    10    7  26%    4    2    1    1    2    0   38  1-1

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mthembu .............    10    8  30%    1    2    2    2    3    1   31    -
Kangwa ..............     5    2   7%    5    3    2    0    1    1   12  1-1
Robert (L, 0-1) .....    12    9  33%    5    4    4    2    1    0   49  1-0
Semenyo .............    12    8  30%    4    4    4    3    1    0   50  1-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted second; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted first.
  Seconds: GB o24 (6-13).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 62°F · Wind in · Overcast · Humid. seed 562115.
  Powerplays: Graz Broncos — Webó NF (O7)
  Walk-Back runs: off Kangwa 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 8 Marat Chernov Made Wahyudi (2B) 1–0
T 8 Marat Chernov Marat Chernov (HR) 2–0
T 8 Daniil Medvedev Marat Chernov (3B) 3–0
T 8 Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev (HR) 4–0
T 10 Richard Granat Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 5–0
T 16 Daniil Medvedev Konstantin Iakovlev (3B) 6–0
T 16 Daniil Medvedev Denys Pavlenko (2B) 7–0
T 16 Heorhiy Trubin Daniil Medvedev (2B) 8–0
T 16 Marat Tsybysheva Heorhiy Trubin (3B) 9–0
T 24 Daniil Medvedev Konstantin Iakovlev (3B) 10–0
T 24 Heorhiy Trubin Marat Chernov (3B) 11–0
T 24 Heorhiy Trubin Daniil Medvedev (1B) 12–0
T 25 Konstantin Iakovlev Heorhiy Trubin (3B) 13–0
B 12 Hugo Webó Mitty Schiffman (2B) 13–1
B 13 Bezabeh Abebe Hugo Webó (2B) 13–2
B 13 Phathisa Ndlovu Nelson Covilhã (2B) 13–3
B 13 Phathisa Ndlovu Bezabeh Abebe (1B) 13–4
B 17 Garang Collins Athenkosi Mthembu (1B) 13–5
B 21 Nelson Covilhã Bezabeh Abebe (1B) 13–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 10 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
278' 358' 290' Daniil Medvedev — ground_out · EV 101 mph · LA +8° · 116 ft Heorhiy Trubin — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +44° · 235 ft Konstantin Kambolov — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -16° · 81 ft Made Wahyudi — fielders_choice · EV 99 mph · LA -8° · 94 ft Marat Chernov — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +30° · 401 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Lev Fokina — single · EV 61 mph · LA +20° · 94 ft Richard Granat — single · EV 74 mph · LA -4° · 70 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 101 mph · LA -12° · 96 ft Richard Granat — infield_single · EV 73 mph · LA +25° · 162 ft Daniil Medvedev — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Konstantin Kambolov — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +24° · 189 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 81 mph · LA -18° · 77 ft Lev Fokina — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +12° · 157 ft Richard Granat — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +18° · 192 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 91 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Denys Pavlenko — single · EV 70 mph · LA +22° · 138 ft Petro Mykhaylichenko — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -13° · 56 ft Marat Tsybysheva — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +40° · 313 ft Daniil Medvedev — double · EV 97 mph · LA +25° · 284 ft Heorhiy Trubin — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 313 ft Marat Chernov — single · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 188 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +8° · 85 ft Heorhiy Trubin — double · EV 84 mph · LA +49° · 277 ft Konstantin Kambolov — single · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 154 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
278' 358' 290' Garang Collins — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Ruan Engelbrecht — single · EV 70 mph · LA +26° · 153 ft Hugo Webó — fly_out · EV 117 mph · LA +20° · 351 ft Peter Bothma — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +3° · 80 ft Wellington Mazarura — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Nelson Covilhã — double · EV 96 mph · LA +42° · 366 ft Sofiane Hakimi — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Ruan Engelbrecht — single · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 132 ft Hugo Webó — single · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 116 ft Bezabeh Abebe — single · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 125 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — double · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 144 ft Henry Ndour — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft Garang Collins — double · EV 112 mph · LA +26° · 393 ft Peter Bothma — error · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 228 ft Henry Ndour — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +22° · 261 ft Bezabeh Abebe — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Hugo Webó — infield_single · EV 70 mph · LA -6° · 67 ft Athenkosi Mthembu — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +13° · 155 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
54% deserve-to-win  ·  14.4 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 20.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (+3.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marat Chernov 107 / +30° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Heorhiy Trubin 84 / +49° Center Double 0.2 → 2 +1.80
Daniil Medvedev 101 / +8° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Marat Tsybysheva 89 / +40° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Lev Fokina 97 / +12° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Graz Broncos
46% deserve-to-win  ·  13.3 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -7.3 vs expected
contact: 16.5 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-4.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hugo Webó 117 / +20° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Peter Bothma 102 / +16° Pull Reached on Error 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Phathisa Ndlovu 86 / +14° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Henry Ndour 98 / +22° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Garang Collins 112 / +26° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
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