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Stratton Construction 6, Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 5  (1 SI) 2046-04-23 · #1022
at Starc Stadium
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Stratton                5      1    6    5    0
Zaporizhzhia            5      0    5    7    1

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Santana     c  ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Stralem     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Wambachov   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Armitag ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Earnov      ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Boyko   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dangerfield lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Greatho cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Evans       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Probst  rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Johnsonov   1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Leoni       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Agunloy pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Johnson     p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.500
  f-Kuolov  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-McKinzi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Pauling     j  ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  33   6   5   2   0   0   4   6  16   0   1  0.152
  2B: Pauling (5), Probst (1).
  HBP: Pauling (2).
  GIDP: Earnov (2).
  a-Struck out for Wambachov in the 9th.
  b-Struck out for Earnov in the 9th.
  c-Replaced Dangerfield at CF in the 9th.
  d-Replaced Evans at RF in the 8th.
  e-Ran for Leoni in the 3rd.
  f-Grounded out in the 10th.
  g-Ran for Probst in the 10th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Deal        2b ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Goodlin ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Shao        3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Peña        cf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.250
Aulakh      lf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Meza        ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Li      ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Graysonov   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Quiñones    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Machado     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  c-Macdona ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Belcher     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Soeda       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34   5   7   2   0   0   5   3  18   0   1  0.206
  2B: Peña (4), Aulakh (2).
  E: Deal (1).
  GIDP: Peña (2), Graysonov (1).
  a-Struck out for Deal in the 9th.
  b-Singled for Meza in the 9th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 7th.

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Johnson (W, 2-3) ....    32   25  93%    6    5    5    3   14    0  113    -
Merklingerov ........     6    5  19%    1    0    0    0    5    0   22  2-0

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Machado (L, 0-2) ....    24   16  59%    3    6    1    5    6    0   94    -
Graves ..............    14   14  52%    1    0    0    1   10    0   51  2-0

  Batting order: Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers (home) batted second; Stratton Construction batted first.
  Super-innings: 1.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Overcast · Humid. seed 766838.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 8 Larry Stralem Erick Agunloye (2B) 1–0
T 10 Dexter Earnov Phillip Pauling (3B) 2–0
T 10 Phillip Pauling Kobe Santana (3B) 3–0
T 10 Phillip Pauling Dexter Earnov (2B) 4–0
T 13 Clifford Johnson Phillip Pauling (3B) 5–0
B 15 Harry Meza Vikram Aulakh (3B) 5–1
B 22 Tony Peña Carter Deal (3B) 5–2
B 22 Tony Peña Carter Deal (3B) 5–3
B 22 Tony Peña Xuan Shao (2B) 5–4
B 22 Alex Belcher Tony Peña (3B) 5–5
ST 28 Marmaduke Kuolov Barry McKinzin (3B) 6–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Starc Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 377' · CF 443' · RF 351' · 13' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley
Stratton Construction — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Kobe Santana — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +38° · 301 ft Dexter Earnov — double_play · EV 89 mph · LA +2° · 85 ft Eugène Leoni — error · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 166 ft Larry Stralem — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Ronald Probst — double · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Marmaduke Kuolov — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Joey Wambachov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Phillip Pauling — error · EV 83 mph · LA -19° · 79 ft Clifford Johnson — single · EV 79 mph · LA +7° · 75 ft Larry Stralem — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +28° · 90 ft Phillip Pauling — double · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 272 ft Tyrone Johnsonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
377' 443' 351' Jakob Macdonald — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 78 ft Xuan Shao — single · EV 71 mph · LA +22° · 139 ft Tony Peña — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Vikram Aulakh — single · EV 84 mph · LA +15° · 144 ft Harry Graysonov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Harry Meza — single · EV 60 mph · LA +14° · 67 ft Paul Li — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 265 ft Mark Machado — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -22° · 75 ft Tony Peña — double · EV 94 mph · LA +36° · 336 ft Vikram Aulakh — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 246 ft Alex Belcher — single · EV 80 mph · LA +11° · 97 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stratton Construction
67% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.1 vs expected
contact: 6.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Phillip Pauling 92 / +27° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Ronald Probst 93 / +12° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Kobe Santana 88 / +38° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Clifford Johnson 79 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Eugène Leoni 77 / +22° Pull Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
33% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+2.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vikram Aulakh 92 / +23° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Tony Peña 94 / +36° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Harry Meza 60 / +14° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Jakob Macdonald 76 / +10° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Alex Belcher 80 / +11° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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