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Tynda Police 14, Pinar del Río Ospreys 8                    2046-04-23 · #1033
at Twilight Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Pinar del Río           8    8    5    0
Tynda                  14   14   11    0

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabrera     cf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   1  0.500
Souza       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mitra       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
Bautista    3b ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Spence  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cepeda      lf ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Coyle       1b ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
Coggeshall  c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Brenes  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Barnhar 1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Buchhol c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bamba       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Esponda     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   8   5   0   1   2   8   5  14   0   2  0.192
  3B: Cepeda (1).
  HR: Cabrera (2), off Karavayev; Coyle (1), off Skatov.
  HBP: Buchholz (3).
  a-Grounded out for Bautista in the 7th.
  b-Walked in the 8th.
  c-Entered at 1B in the 8th.
  d-Entered at C in the 9th.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   ss ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Wrightov    rf ......    2   4   2   0   0   2   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Cherkasov   lf ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.250
Han         2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Gracin      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lykina      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Berger      3b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Skatov      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Keramid ph ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Aoki        j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Nelson      j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  32  14  11   2   0   4  13   3  12   0   0  0.344
  2B: Aoki (4), Berger (5).
  HR: Kukushkin (3), off Souza; Wrightov 2 (2), off Posa; Cherkasov (1), off Souza.
  SB: Nelson (2), Berger (3).
  CS: Nelson (3).
  HBP: Nelson (1).
  a-Batted in the 1st.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Souza ...............     4    1   4%    2    4    3    1    1    2   19    -
Jensen ..............     8    5  19%    3    3    2    1    1    0   21  1-1
Posa (L, 0-2) .......    11    9  33%    3    5    4    0    4    2   31  1-1
Hechavarría .........    13   12  44%    2    2    2    1    7    0   47  1-0

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Skatov (W, 2-0) .....    16   12  44%    2    5    5    3    8    1   62    -
Karavayev ...........     7    6  22%    3    3    1    0    1    1   17  1-1
McFarlandov (F, 9) ..     9    9  33%    0    0    0    2    5    0   32  1-0

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted first; Pinar del Río Ospreys batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM YAKT. Weather: 57°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 330001.
  Walk-Back runs: off Souza 1, off Jensen 1, off Posa 1, off Karavayev 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Roman Kukushkin Roman Kukushkin (HR) 0–1
B 0 Anatoli Cherkasov Roman Kukushkin (3B) 0–2
B 0 Anatoli Cherkasov Fiske Wrightov (1B) 0–3
B 0 Anatoli Cherkasov Anatoli Cherkasov (HR) 0–4
B 1 Panagiotis Keramidas Anatoli Cherkasov (3B) 0–5
B 5 Jonathan Berger Panagiotis Keramidas (2B) 0–6
B 6 Roman Kukushkin Jonathan Berger (3B) 0–7
B 6 Fiske Wrightov Roman Kukushkin (1B) 0–8
B 6 Fiske Wrightov Fiske Wrightov (HR) 0–9
B 7 Panagiotis Keramidas Fiske Wrightov (3B) 0–10
B 12 Jonathan Berger Josiah Nelson (3B) 0–11
B 15 Fiske Wrightov Fiske Wrightov (HR) 0–12
B 17 Shozo Aoki Panagiotis Keramidas (2B) 0–13
B 17 Shozo Aoki Seung-gi Han (1B) 0–14
T 3 Adolis Cepeda Víctor Bautista (1B) 1–14
T 9 Cristian Cabrera Adolis Cepeda (3B) 2–14
T 12 Cameron Coyle Paul Coggeshall (2B) 3–14
T 12 Cameron Coyle Víctor Bautista (1B) 4–14
T 12 Cameron Coyle Cameron Coyle (HR) 5–14
T 13 Paul Coggeshall Cameron Coyle (3B) 6–14
T 18 Cristian Cabrera Cristian Cabrera (HR) 7–14
T 18 Sekou Barnhardt Cristian Cabrera (3B) 8–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Salif Bamba — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 229 ft Adolis Cepeda — triple · EV 106 mph · LA +26° · 358 ft Raúl Souza — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 191 ft Paul Coggeshall — single · EV 92 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft Emilio Spence — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +51° · 295 ft Cameron Coyle — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +33° · 438 ft Joaquin Esponda — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -10° · 75 ft Raúl Souza — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 199 ft Cristian Cabrera — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +46° · 421 ft Gen Miyazaki — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA +1° · 62 ft Sekou Barnhardt — single · EV 104 mph · LA +1° · 99 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 4 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Roman Kukushkin — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +27° · 443 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — single · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Turner Gracin — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft Jonathan Berger — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 257 ft Petr Skatov — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +29° · 210 ft Fiske Wrightov — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft Roman Lykina — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 244 ft Roman Kukushkin — single · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +52° · 480 ft Shozo Aoki — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 94 ft Josiah Nelson — single · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Fiske Wrightov — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 392 ft Roman Kukushkin — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 309 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Seung-gi Han — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 112 ft Shozo Aoki — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 237 ft Petr Skatov — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +25° · 234 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pinar del Río Ospreys
29% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 12.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+0.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cristian Cabrera 103 / +46° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.49
Salif Bamba 94 / +20° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Raúl Souza 90 / +18° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Raúl Souza 94 / +17° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Adolis Cepeda 106 / +26° Pull Triple 2.1 → 3 +0.95
Tynda Police
71% deserve-to-win  ·  12.7 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 26.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fiske Wrightov 100 / +39° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Roman Kukushkin 119 / +16° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Panagiotis Keramidas 119 / +52° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.64
Roman Lykina 100 / +19° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Shozo Aoki 92 / +22° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
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