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Quezon City Baseball Club 11, Stirling Mercantile 10        2046-04-23 · #1045
at Meadow Svendsen Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Stirling               10   10   11    0
Quezon City            11   11    9    1

STIRLING MERCANTILE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Haddad      ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Snyman  pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sherif      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Barbosa pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mungai      lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peralta     rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Cabral      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  c-Darboe  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  d-Alemu   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Borcher ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Mordi   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  g-Poojary pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mungai      j  ......    3   0   4   1   0   0   4   0   0   1   0  1.333
Martínez    j  ......    3   3   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Macandza    j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  10  11   4   0   0  10   3  15   1   0  0.333
  2B: Haddad (2), Mungai (9), Martínez (12), Mordi (2).
  SB: Mungai (2).
  CS: Mungai (2).
  HBP: Snyman (2), Mungai (2), Mungai (1).
  a-Ran for Haddad in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Sherif in the 1st.
  c-Batted for Macandza in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Walked in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 4th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Iheanacho   p  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Shehata ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mfeka       ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   1   0  0.500
Bouanga     1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Bouaziz ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Biteghé     cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Worku   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Urrubal     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Metwall ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Guiebre     c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Vilakazi    rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mezui       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Demissi c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Gouet   ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Sissako pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Moucket pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Tulu    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Estes       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Mvala       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  28  11   9   5   0   0   9   4   5   1   0  0.321
  2B: Iheanacho (1), Bouanga (1), Ndlovu (4), Mvala (5), Gouet (3).
  SB: Ndlovu (8), Guiebre (4).
  E: Iheanacho (1).
  HBP: Biteghé (1), Guiebre (1).
  GIDP: Urrubal (1).
  Squeeze: Mezui.
  a-Grounded out for Iheanacho in the 8th.
  b-Walked for Bouanga in the 7th.
  c-Ran for Biteghé in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out for Urrubal in the 7th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Doubled for Demissie in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Gouet in the 7th.
  h-Ran for Bouazizi in the 8th.
  i-Grounded out in the 8th.

STIRLING MERCANTILE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cabral ..............    21   16  59%    7    3    3    1    3    0   87    -
Randriamampi (L, 1-2)     11    6  22%    1    5    5    3    2    0   39  2-2
Oluwasin ............     1    0   0%    1    3    3    0    0    0    4  3-3

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iheanacho (W, 2-2) ..    21   16  59%    5    5    5    1    8    0   72    -
Rajaonarivony .......    16   10  37%    6    5    5    1    7    0   61    -
Arai ................     2    1   4%    0    0    0    1    0    0    5  1-0

  Batting order: Quezon City Baseball Club (home) batted second; Stirling Mercantile batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 84°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 673078.
  Powerplays: Quezon City Baseball Club — Metwally NF (O5)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Akram Sherif Tsepo Snyman (2B) 1–0
T 12 Njoroge Mungai Ronald Martínez (2B) 2–0
T 12 Jonathan Peralta Karthik Poojary (2B) 3–0
T 13 Ronald Martínez Jonathan Peralta (1B) 4–0
T 15 Omar Macandza Ronald Martínez (3B) 5–0
T 16 Walieldin Mordi Karthik Poojary (1B) 6–0
T 18 Njoroge Mungai Walieldin Mordi (3B) 7–0
T 18 Njoroge Mungai Tsepo Snyman (2B) 8–0
T 20 Ronald Martínez Ngugi Mungai (3B) 9–0
T 26 Njoroge Mungai Ronald Martínez (3B) 10–0
B 10 Kamou Bouanga Nkosana Ndlovu (3B) 10–1
B 15 Yacine Iheanacho Anbessa Demissie (3B) 10–2
B 16 Serge Mvala Yacine Iheanacho (3B) 10–3
B 18 Eddie Gouet Ismail Guiebre (3B) 10–4
B 18 Eddie Gouet Sipho Vilakazi (1B) 10–5
B 19 Abdelkader Bouazizi Serge Mvala (3B) 10–6
B 19 Olumide Biteghé Mesud Sissako (3B) 10–7
B 22 Ismail Guiebre Manasse Estes (3B) 10–8
B 22 Tesfaye Tulu Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda (3B) 10–9
B 22 Thembekile Mfeka Berhanu Worku (3B) 10–10
B 22 Thembekile Mfeka Ismail Guiebre (2B) 10–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Svendsen Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 458' · RF 313' · 16' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Stirling Mercantile — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 7 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Said Haddad — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 265 ft Akram Sherif — error · EV 98 mph · LA +8° · 107 ft Ronald Martínez — single · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 278 ft Omar Macandza — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -4° · 93 ft Tesfaye Alemu — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Njoroge Mungai — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Karthik Poojary — single · EV 87 mph · LA -17° · 82 ft Jonathan Peralta — single · EV 119 mph · LA +3° · 113 ft Ronald Martínez — double · EV 88 mph · LA +46° · 310 ft Omar Macandza — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +30° · 331 ft Walieldin Mordi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 308 ft Loide Barbosa — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -19° · 95 ft Njoroge Mungai — single · EV 97 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Ronald Martínez — single · EV 92 mph · LA -3° · 88 ft Njoroge Mungai — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 287 ft Njoroge Mungai — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Omar Macandza — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Anbessa Demissie — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Olumide Biteghé — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 96 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 154 ft Serge Mvala — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Ismail Guiebre — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Sipho Vilakazi — fielders_choice · EV 61 mph · LA +4° · 58 ft Eddie Gouet — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 237 ft Khaled Metwally — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Tesfaye Tulu — error · EV 55 mph · LA +17° · 67 ft Kamou Bouanga — double · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 214 ft Jonas Urrubal — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 254 ft Yacine Iheanacho — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 315 ft Ismail Guiebre — single · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft Serge Mvala — double · EV 97 mph · LA +40° · 371 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +6° · 52 ft Thembekile Mfeka — single · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 93 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stirling Mercantile
56% deserve-to-win  ·  9.1 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 14.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Akram Sherif 98 / +8° Oppo Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Omar Macandza 98 / +30° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Ronald Martínez 88 / +46° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.79
Karthik Poojary 87 / -17° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Tesfaye Alemu 100 / +8° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.57
Quezon City Baseball Club
44% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +2.9 vs expected
contact: 11.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+2.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kamou Bouanga 76 / +33° Center Double 0.1 → 2 +1.88
Serge Mvala 92 / +39° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Khaled Metwally 92 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Eddie Gouet 92 / +22° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Yacine Iheanacho 92 / +34° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
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