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Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers 7, Montréal Cannery SARL 3   2046-04-23 · #1054
at Silver Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Aberdeen                7    7    8    0
Montréal                3    3    5    0

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Carusa      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Ramsey  pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Maharaj-Sal 3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Karas   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gunn        p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Carroll     rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Telford     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Boehme  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Brown   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Edwards ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0  0.500
  f-Baugh   pr ......    1   2   2   0   0   0   0   2   0   2   0  2.000
  g-Hemp    ph ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.333
  h-Gushike 2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  0.500
  i-Root    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Zelem       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kudryavtsev j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  28   7   8   0   0   1   6   8   9   4   0  0.286
  HR: Hemp (1), off Greenwood.
  SB: Ramsey (4), Baugh (2).
  a-Ran for Carusa in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Maharaj-Saliba in the 1st.
  c-Singled in the 1st.
  d-Batted in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Ran in the 1st.
  g-Batted in the 1st.
  h-Replaced Brown at 2B in the 7th.
  i-Ran in the 9th.

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Homans      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Larkin  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Greenwood   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Carter  rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Caldwel 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Rice    lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Whiteho ss ......    3   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
  f-Rees    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  g-O'Reill pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Edwards lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Mainoo  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  j-Blanton ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ynoa        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hranáč      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Toney       j  ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   3   5   1   1   0   3   3  13   0   0  0.179
  2B: Carter (3).
  3B: Whitehouse (1).
  GIDP: Rice (1).
  a-Ran for Homans in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at LF in the 6th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Carter in the 3rd.
  h-Entered at LF in the 8th.
  i-Batted in the 3rd.
  j-Struck out for Caldwell in the 6th.

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gunn (W, 1-0) .......    16   13  48%    4    3    3    1    6    0   62    -
Fahey (F, 25) .......    14   14  52%    0    0    0    2    7    0   50  1-0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greenwood (L, 0-2) ..     6    2   7%    3    4    4    2    1    1   20    -
Allaf ...............    14   12  44%    2    1    1    2    6    0   59  1-0
Lotfy ...............    14   11  41%    1    2    2    3    2    0   57  2-1
Henderson ...........     2    2   7%    2    0    0    1    0    0   14  3-0

  Batting order: Montréal Cannery SARL (home) batted second; Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 82°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 331570.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Matthew Hemp Jordan Ramsey (3B) 1–0
T 2 Matthew Hemp Zaire Baugh (2B) 2–0
T 2 Matthew Hemp Radek Karas (1B) 3–0
T 2 Matthew Hemp Matthew Hemp (HR) 4–0
T 5 Jordan Ramsey Oscar Carroll (2B) 5–0
T 16 Igor Kudryavtseva Matthew Hemp (3B) 6–0
T 20 Matthew Hemp Zaire Baugh (3B) 7–0
B 2 Callum Toney Aleš Hranáč (2B) 7–1
B 4 Ollie Carter Callum Toney (3B) 7–2
B 13 Tiernan Whitehouse Callum Toney (1B) 7–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Silver Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 398' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 7 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
353' 398' 353' Chris Boehme — single · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Donal Brown — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Matt Edwards — error · EV 78 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Matthew Hemp — hr · EV 96 mph · LA +39° · 361 ft Jarrod Zelem — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 212 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — single · EV 97 mph · LA +17° · 215 ft Jordan Ramsey — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -22° · 60 ft Zaire Baugh — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 171 ft King Gushiken — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Zaire Baugh — single · EV 71 mph · LA -30° · 67 ft Matt Edwards — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +49° · 299 ft Jarrod Zelem — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +43° · 300 ft Jordan Ramsey — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +5° · 78 ft Radek Karas — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 165 ft Oscar Carroll — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Zaire Baugh — error · EV 69 mph · LA +4° · 66 ft King Gushiken — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Igor Kudryavtseva — single · EV 98 mph · LA +15° · 194 ft
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Domingo Ynoa — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +34° · 327 ft Aleš Hranáč — single · EV 78 mph · LA +5° · 74 ft George Rice — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Callum Toney — single · EV 80 mph · LA -6° · 76 ft Stuart Edwards — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -1° · 86 ft Ollie Carter — double · EV 96 mph · LA +17° · 206 ft Dai Rees — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +4° · 76 ft Tiernan Larkin — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -22° · 80 ft Tiernan Whitehouse — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 335 ft George Rice — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers
93% deserve-to-win  ·  9.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.3 vs expected
contact: 11.1 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Matthew Hemp 96 / +39° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.44
Radek Karas 92 / +15° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Zaire Baugh 69 / +4° Pull Stay 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Zaire Baugh 71 / -30° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Matt Edwards 78 / +2° Oppo Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Montréal Cannery SARL
7% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tiernan Whitehouse 100 / +28° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.56
Domingo Ynoa 94 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Aleš Hranáč 78 / +5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Callum Toney 80 / -6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ollie Carter 96 / +17° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
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