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Zagreb Miners 3, Prague Boars 2                             2046-04-24 · #1066
at The Pavilion
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                        1    R    H    E
Prague                  2    2    4    0
Zagreb                  3    3    6    0

PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fagioli     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Barišić     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Silva   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gülich      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Calathes    cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Buffon  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Féliz       2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Hines   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mounkoro    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Longo       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Scott       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Anyomi  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Johanne lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Kanouté pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Zelem   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Jenyat      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bella-Kotch j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   4   0   0   0   1   4   9   0   0  0.154
  CS: Buffon (3), Kanouté (1).
  GIDP: Kanouté (2).
  a-Ran for Barišić in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Calathes in the 2nd.
  c-Walked for Féliz in the 6th.
  d-Batted in the 4th.
  e-Replaced Bella-Kotchap at LF in the 5th.
  f-Ran for Johannes in the 5th.
  g-Ran in the 7th.

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Diouf       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Fitzgerald  cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.000
Lovren      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Ambri       ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Larentzakis lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mazza       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Robinett    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Greggi      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Hartman c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Burley      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  19   3   6   0   0   0   2   3   4   1   0  0.316
  CS: Diouf (3).
  GIDP: Ambri (4), Robinett (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Andrić ..............    11    8  30%    5    1    1    2    2    0   37    -
Papagiannis (L, 0-1)     10   11  41%    1    2    2    1    2    0   40  3-1

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greggi (W, 4-1) .....    30   27 100%    4    2    2    4    9    0  108    -

  Batting order: Zagreb Miners (home) batted second; Prague Boars batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 67°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 188682.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 23 Eljero Silva Eljero Silva (3B) 1–0
T 25 Benedetto Buffon George Zelem (3B) 2–0
B 8 Toni Fitzgerald Hélio Ambri (3B) 2–1
B 12 Gianluca Mazza Panagiotis Larentzakis (2B) 2–2
B 19 Toni Fitzgerald André Hartmann (3B) 2–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Pavilion's actual outfield dimensions (LF 396' · CF 403' · RF 258' · 50' wall). Coffin Corner.
Trolley Shed
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Sokratis Calathes — single · EV 57 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Dramane Mounkoro — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Stephiylan Scott — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +38° · 153 ft Manfred Johannes — single · EV 57 mph · LA +22° · 91 ft Benedetto Buffon — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -25° · 59 ft Christopher Kanouté — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Eljero Silva — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Wajdi Jenyat — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +26° · 128 ft Ivica Barišić — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Peter Gülich — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 214 ft Dramane Mounkoro — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Edoardo Longo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 187 ft Danilo Anyomi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Wajdi Jenyat — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Panagiotis Larentzakis — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Toni Fitzgerald — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 188 ft Hélio Ambri — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Joshua Robinett — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Mateo Lovren — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft André Hartmann — single · EV 52 mph · LA +24° · 81 ft Vincenzo Diouf — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Hélio Ambri — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Gianluca Mazza — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 126 ft Joshua Robinett — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -23° · 49 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 196 ft Geoff Burley — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +7° · 60 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Prague Boars
13% deserve-to-win  ·  1.3 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 4.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Peter Gülich 95 / +18° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Danilo Anyomi 76 / +3° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Sokratis Calathes 57 / +11° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Manfred Johannes 57 / +22° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Dramane Mounkoro 76 / +14° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Zagreb Miners
87% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Panagiotis Larentzakis 92 / +42° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
André Hartmann 52 / +24° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.82
Panagiotis Larentzakis 76 / +24° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Gianluca Mazza 76 / +16° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Toni Fitzgerald 79 / +12° Center Stay 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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