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Brasília Stevedores 9, Pan Am Mountaineers 8                2046-04-24 · #1080
at Barquisimeto Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Brasília                9    9   13    0
Barquisimeto            8    8    7    0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Adames      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Ramírez pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Delgado     rf ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Marx    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Núñez       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Ramón   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Teixeira    lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Lawrick     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Martine 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Watanab ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Kobayas lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-García  cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Geraldo pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Gustavo ph ......    3   2   4   1   0   1   3   0   0   1   0  1.333
  j-Cabrera ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  k-Arángui pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  l-Bautist ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  m-Guerra  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Polanco     j  ......    2   1   2   0   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Cabrera     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   9  13   6   1   1   9   5  13   1   0  0.448
  2B: Watanabe-Santos (2), Delgado 2 (6), Teixeira (2), Gustavo (8), Cabrera (3).
  3B: Polanco (1).
  HR: Gustavo (2), off Latham.
  CS: Polanco (6).
  HBP: Cabrera (4).
  a-Ran for Adames in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Delgado in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Núñez in the 4th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  h-Ran for García in the 2nd.
  i-Batted for Kobayashi-Ferreira in the 2nd.
  j-Batted for Geraldo in the 3rd.
  k-Ran for Watanabe-Santos in the 3rd.
  l-Batted for Martinelli in the 3rd.
  m-Batted for Ramírez in the 4th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Aedo        lf ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Encarnación c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Feliz       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Catley      3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Tomita-Alme ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Shalimova   2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Dybala      cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Firmino     rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santos      p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Melo        j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Sampaio     j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   8   7   2   1   1   7   4  16   0   0  0.233
  2B: Catley (1), Tomita-Almeida (3).
  3B: Aedo (1).
  HR: Melo (5), off Núñez.
  SB: Sampaio (4), Encarnación (1).


BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Núñez ...............    12   10  37%    2    3    3    1    6    1   43    -
Collier .............     6    3  11%    2    3    2    1    2    0   26  1-1
Coates (W, 1-0) .....    15   14  52%    2    2    2    2    8    0   70  1-0

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (L, 1-4) .....    18   11  41%    8    6    6    3    4    0   65    -
Latham ..............    16   12  44%    5    2    2    1    9    1   57  1-1
Reyes ...............     1    0   0%    0    1    1    1    0    0    4  3-1

  Batting order: Pan Am Mountaineers (home) batted first; Brasília Stevedores batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 69°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 69847.
  Walk-Back runs: off Collier 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Marcelo Tomita-Almeida Manny Encarnación (3B) 0–1
B 10 Francisco Melo Wander De los Santos (1B) 0–2
B 10 Francisco Melo Francisco Melo (HR) 0–3
B 10 Abel Aedo Francisco Melo (3B) 0–4
B 10 Abel Aedo Ronaldo Sampaio (2B) 0–5
B 13 James Catley Abel Aedo (3B) 0–6
B 16 Wander De los Santos Paulo Dybala (2B) 0–7
B 23 Richard Shalimova Sérgio Firmino (2B) 0–8
T 4 Rômulo Teixeira Manny Geraldo (3B) 1–8
T 4 Rômulo Teixeira Edwin Ramírez (2B) 2–8
T 5 Renato Gustavo Jean Delgado (3B) 3–8
T 9 Robinson Polanco Renato Gustavo (2B) 4–8
T 11 Jean Delgado Robinson Polanco (3B) 5–8
T 11 Jean Delgado Joaquín Saprissa (1B) 6–8
T 14 Renato Gustavo Jean Delgado (2B) 7–8
T 14 Renato Gustavo Renato Gustavo (HR) 8–8
T 23 Robinson Polanco Eugene Marx (3B) 9–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Barquisimeto Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 445' · RF 354' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 7 XBH · 1 HR
347' 445' 354' Igor Watanabe-Santos — double · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 196 ft Bill García — single · EV 79 mph · LA +17° · 141 ft Jean Delgado — single · EV 85 mph · LA +11° · 107 ft Rômulo Teixeira — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft Nat Lawrick — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 107 ft Renato Gustavo — single · EV 75 mph · LA -5° · 71 ft Carlos Cabrera — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft Robinson Polanco — triple · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 308 ft Junior Cabrera — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 148 ft Renato Gustavo — double · EV 109 mph · LA +15° · 239 ft Jean Delgado — double · EV 109 mph · LA +12° · 194 ft Renato Gustavo — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +40° · 448 ft Robinson Polanco — single · EV 84 mph · LA +26° · 219 ft Carlos Cabrera — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 156 ft Jean Delgado — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 251 ft Renato Gustavo — single · EV 64 mph · LA +12° · 64 ft
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
347' 445' 354' Abel Aedo — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA -23° · 90 ft Néstor Paniagua — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Marcelo Tomita-Almeida — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 147 ft Sérgio Firmino — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +9° · 102 ft Wander De los Santos — single · EV 99 mph · LA -3° · 94 ft Francisco Melo — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +29° · 480 ft Abel Aedo — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 196 ft James Catley — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 198 ft Sérgio Firmino — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA +5° · 83 ft Richard Shalimova — single · EV 92 mph · LA -8° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brasília Stevedores
76% deserve-to-win  ·  10.1 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 16.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (+7.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Robinson Polanco 93 / +32° Pull Triple 0.8 → 3 +2.21
Carlos Cabrera 92 / +35° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Igor Watanabe-Santos 91 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Jean Delgado 92 / +24° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Nat Lawrick 92 / +9° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Pan Am Mountaineers
24% deserve-to-win  ·  5.6 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 10.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Abel Aedo 100 / +15° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Francisco Melo 119 / +29° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Sérgio Firmino 89 / +9° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Marcelo Tomita-Almeida 100 / +11° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
James Catley 100 / +15° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
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