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Barquisimeto Grocery 9, Tynda Police 7                      2046-04-24 · #1093
at Twilight Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            9    9    8    0
Tynda                   7    7    8    0

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Warneke     cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Sandoval    1b ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bautista    2b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Capozzi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Salas       rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Flower  pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sulfsted    ss ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Nemoto      lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
O'Meara     c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Echternach  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Schott      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Alonso- pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Heslip      j  ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Concepción  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   9   8   0   0   1   7   4   7   0   0  0.258
  HR: Warneke (2), off Alexandrova.
  SB: Alonso-Corcelles (1).
  HBP: Heslip (3).
  GIDP: Heslip (2).
  a-Ran for Bautista in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Salas in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Schott in the 6th.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alexandrova p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Jidkova ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kukushkin   ss ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Chernov pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Komatsu     lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Halder      c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Gracin      1b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Jonesov ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Ding    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Matviye lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
  f-Berger  3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  g-Lykina  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-LaFleur ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Dōan    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Nelson      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   7   8   4   0   1   7   6  13   0   0  0.267
  2B: Matviyenko (3), Kukushkin 2 (5), Gracin (1).
  HR: Komatsu (1), off Pulido.
  CS: Chernov (2).
  a-Singled for Alexandrova in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Kukushkin in the 7th.
  c-Walked for Gracin in the 9th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 4th.
  f-Entered at 3B in the 7th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Grounded out for Aoki in the 7th.
  i-Struck out for Nelson in the 8th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Schott ..............     9    7  26%    2    2    2    2    1    0   38    -
Pulido ..............     6    4  15%    3    3    3    0    2    1   23  1-0
Brunnberg (W, 1-2) ..    16   14  52%    2    2    1    3    8    0   61  1-1
Altuve ..............     3    2   7%    0    0    0    1    2    0   12  2-0

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Alexandrova .........    14   10  37%    4    3    1    0    4    1   49    -
Tchelychev ..........    15   12  44%    4    2    1    1    3    0   48  2-1
Ledovskikh (L, 1-2) .     7    5  19%    0    4    4    3    0    0   25  3-3

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted second; Barquisimeto Grocery batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM YAKT. Weather: 46°F · Wind cross · Clear · Humid. seed 275112.
  Walk-Back runs: off Brunnberg 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Levar Warneke Levar Warneke (HR) 1–0
T 10 Rómulo Sandoval Craig Flower (3B) 2–0
T 10 Rómulo Sandoval Riku Nemoto (2B) 3–0
T 21 Juan Bautista Tally Heslip (3B) 4–0
T 22 Zane Sulfsted Bo Capozzi (3B) 5–0
T 22 Riku Nemoto Tally Heslip (3B) 6–0
T 23 Xadavien Echternach Craig Flower (3B) 7–0
T 23 Zxavian Alonso-Corcelles Zane Sulfsted (3B) 8–0
T 24 Rómulo Sandoval Darwin O'Meara (3B) 9–0
B 1 Denys Matviyenko Josiah Nelson (2B) 9–1
B 7 Turner Gracin Bharat Halder (2B) 9–2
B 11 Roman Kukushkin Denys Matviyenko (2B) 9–3
B 11 Yūto Komatsu Roman Kukushkin (2B) 9–4
B 11 Yūto Komatsu Yūto Komatsu (HR) 9–5
B 13 Bharat Halder Yūto Komatsu (3B) 9–6
B 25 Daniil Jidkova Shozo Aoki (2B) 9–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 7 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Levar Warneke — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +44° · 454 ft Rómulo Sandoval — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Juan Bautista — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +38° · 105 ft Tally Heslip — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Yangervis Salas — single · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 226 ft Riku Nemoto — error · EV 66 mph · LA -24° · 63 ft Levar Warneke — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 283 ft Rómulo Sandoval — single · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 228 ft Juan Bautista — single · EV 87 mph · LA +24° · 226 ft Zane Sulfsted — single · EV 57 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Darwin O'Meara — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Xadavien Echternach — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Tally Heslip — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -3° · 56 ft Craig Flower — error · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 112 ft Levar Warneke — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +59° · 299 ft Juan Bautista — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Zane Sulfsted — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Riku Nemoto — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 168 ft Tally Heslip — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 78 ft Rómulo Sandoval — fielders_choice · EV 90 mph · LA +3° · 85 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Shozo Aoki — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Denys Matviyenko — single · EV 89 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Yūto Komatsu — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +9° · 104 ft Roman Lykina — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -11° · 89 ft Turner Gracin — double · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 152 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 115 ft Bharat Halder — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 293 ft Egan LaFleurov — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +28° · 213 ft Daniil Jidkova — single · EV 73 mph · LA -3° · 70 ft Denys Matviyenko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +48° · 336 ft Roman Kukushkin — double · EV 95 mph · LA +15° · 176 ft Yūto Komatsu — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Roman Kukushkin — double · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 227 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Barquisimeto Grocery
64% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 14.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-3.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Levar Warneke 99 / +23° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Craig Flower 96 / +9° Pull Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Riku Nemoto 92 / +15° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Rómulo Sandoval 76 / +5° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Juan Bautista 87 / +24° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Tynda Police
36% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 12.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Denys Matviyenko 92 / +48° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.58
Josiah Nelson 96 / +9° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Turner Gracin 91 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Roman Kukushkin 94 / +20° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Yūto Komatsu 91 / +9° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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