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Erdenet Sawmill 3, Smirnykh Storms 2                        2046-04-24 · #1095
at Hyyrynen Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Erdenet                 3    3    8    0
Smirnykh                2    2    6    0

ERDENET SAWMILL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bower       c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ferraz      p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bastard 3b ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Rahimi  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Rashid  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Geraldo rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Dōan    c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Gautche c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Castill c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pritchard   j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Samuel      j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Porter      j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  15   3   8   3   0   0   3   5   3   0   0  0.533
  2B: Bastardo (3), Samuel (7), Ferraz (1).
  SB: Pritchard (4).
  CS: Pritchard (2).
  GIDP: Rahimi (2).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Entered at RF in the 9th.
  e-Entered at C in the 6th.
  f-Entered at C in the 6th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ionov       2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jonesov     ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Youzhny pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Vatutin     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Lazarev pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vatutin     cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Tcherne pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Wilderov    c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Pervak  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Simakin     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chuang      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Su      ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  f-Fuimaon ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Coonin  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Mykolen ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Reyes   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gormanov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Amini       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   2   6   1   0   0   1   3  11   0   0  0.222
  2B: Wilderov (1).
  CS: Tchernenko (1), Pervak (2).
  GIDP: Amini (1), Reyes (1).
  a-Ran for Jonesov in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Vatutin in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Vatutin in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Wilderov in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Replaced Amini at CF in the 4th.
  h-Batted for Pervak in the 6th.
  i-Grounded out in the 6th.

ERDENET SAWMILL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferraz ..............     8    6  22%    4    1    1    0    1    0   23    -
Al-Haqbani (W, 1-2) .    14   13  48%    2    0    0    2    5    0   54  1-0
Kroeger .............     8    8  30%    0    1    1    1    5    0   23  2-1

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Chuang ..............    12   10  37%    5    1    1    1    3    0   45    -
Bazarevich (L, 0-1) .     8    3  11%    3    2    2    4    0    0   26  1-0

  Batting order: Smirnykh Storms (home) batted first; Erdenet Sawmill batted second.
  First pitch 6:40 PM. Weather: 61°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain. seed 40571.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Terrance Gormanov Vladislav Youzhny (2B) 0–1
B 19 Valery Ionov Andriy Mykolenko (3B) 0–2
T 4 Endy Bastardo Frank Porter (2B) 1–2
T 12 Yefri Geraldo Jerry Samuel (2B) 2–2
T 13 Dave Bower Frank Porter (3B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hyyrynen Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 355' · RF 279' · 48' wall). The Bandbox.
Wire Basket
Erdenet Sawmill — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Jerry Samuel — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Frank Porter — single · EV 90 mph · LA -24° · 86 ft Endy Bastardo — double · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 134 ft Seita Dōan — single · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Dave Bower — single · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 223 ft Teoscar Castillo — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 83 ft Saman Rahimi — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 85 ft Brian Ferraz — double · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 228 ft Franklin Pritchard — single · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Jerry Samuel — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 259 ft Yefri Geraldo — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +3° · 69 ft Endy Bastardo — infield_single · EV 71 mph · LA +5° · 67 ft
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Valery Ionov — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 103 ft Jan-michael Jonesov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Teymuraz Vatutin — single · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 91 ft Terrance Gormanov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft Tommy Amini — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -10° · 49 ft Yuri Vatutin — single · EV 55 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Jarvis Wilderov — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 134 ft Ruslan Simakin — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Alen Lazareva — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +27° · 221 ft Terry Reyes — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Tommy Amini — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +45° · 347 ft Jianhua Su — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft Samson Fuimaono — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Alen Lazareva — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Terrance Gormanov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -19° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Erdenet Sawmill
91% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+3.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Brian Ferraz 88 / +24° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.29
Endy Bastardo 99 / +10° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Endy Bastardo 71 / +5° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Saman Rahimi 84 / +9° Center Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Frank Porter 90 / -24° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Smirnykh Storms
9% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tommy Amini 93 / +45° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Jarvis Wilderov 92 / +12° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Jan-michael Jonesov 76 / -14° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Samson Fuimaono 76 / +5° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Valery Ionov 87 / +10° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
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