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Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers 3, Montréal Cannery SARL 2   2046-04-25 · #1104
at Silver Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Aberdeen                3    3    3    0
Montréal                2    2    4    0

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Loftus-Chee p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Carusa      c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Celis       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Karas   2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Ramsey  nf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Telford c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Pešek   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Root    c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Brown   c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kudryavtsev j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Williams    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Zelem       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   8   3   3   0   0   0   2   3   1   0   1  0.375
  SB: Williams (4).
  GIDP: Telford (2).
  a-Entered at 2B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at C in the 6th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krejčí      cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Furness pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Koubek      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Escobar     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McLaughlin  ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Caldwel pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Green       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Carney      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-O'Reill ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Edwards ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  e-Whiteho ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hranáč      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Toney       j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  24   2   4   0   0   0   1   5   8   0   0  0.167
  SB: Toney (7).
  CS: O'Reilly (3).
  HBP: Toney (1).
  GIDP: Caldwell (2), Hranáč (4).
  a-Ran for Krejčí in the 4th.
  b-Ran for McLaughlin in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted for Toney in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.

ABERDEEN UNIVERSAL WATCHMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Loftus-Cheek (W, 3-1)     19   16  59%    4    0    0    3    1    0   53    -
Lewis ...............     7    7  26%    0    2    2    0    5    0   27  3-2
Hrubý ...............     4    4  15%    0    0    0    2    2    0   20  1-0

MONTRÉAL CANNERY SARL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carney (L, 1-3) .....     8    4  15%    3    2    2    2    1    0   33    -
Kelly ...............     3    3  11%    0    1    1    1    0    0    8  2-1

  Batting order: Montréal Cannery SARL (home) batted first; Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers batted second.
  First pitch 6:40 PM. Weather: 71°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 18910.
  Powerplays: Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Ramsey NF (O5)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 17 Tiernan Whitehouse Donal O'Reilly (2B) 0–1
B 22 Eoin Caldwell Aleš Koubek (3B) 0–2
T 2 Donal Brown Dominic Root (3B) 1–2
T 4 Ramon Williams Jordan Ramsey (3B) 2–2
T 6 Roy Loftus-Cheek Radek Karas (3B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Silver Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 398' · RF 353' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Dominic Root — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Radek Karas — single · EV 69 mph · LA +10° · 67 ft Fabian Telford — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Ramon Williams — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 125 ft Jarrod Zelem — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +40° · 258 ft Bohumil Pešek — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 286 ft
Montréal Cannery SARL — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
353' 398' 353' Josef Krejčí — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA -7° · 90 ft Aleš Koubek — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Salomón Escobar — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -9° · 73 ft Claude McLaughlin — single · EV 81 mph · LA +22° · 182 ft Donal O'Reilly — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Aleš Hranáč — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA -17° · 77 ft Stuart Edwards — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +31° · 220 ft Tiernan Whitehouse — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Eoin Caldwell — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA -11° · 64 ft Josef Krejčí — single · EV 84 mph · LA -25° · 80 ft Aleš Koubek — fielders_choice · EV 98 mph · LA +4° · 93 ft Donal O'Reilly — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -12° · 79 ft Stuart Edwards — single · EV 93 mph · LA -6° · 89 ft Tiernan Whitehouse — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Aberdeen Universal Watchmakers
51% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.2 vs expected
contact: 4.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bohumil Pešek 100 / +23° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Radek Karas 69 / +10° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Jarrod Zelem 81 / +40° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Ramon Williams 76 / +16° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Fabian Telford 76 / -9° Center Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Montréal Cannery SARL
49% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 6.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tiernan Whitehouse 92 / +16° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Josef Krejčí 84 / -25° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Stuart Edwards 93 / -6° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Tiernan Whitehouse 77 / +14° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Aleš Koubek 98 / +4° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.49
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