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Quezon City Baseball Club 6, Stirling Mercantile 5          2046-04-25 · #1120
at Meadow Svendsen Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Stirling                5    5    6    1
Quezon City             6    6    4    0

STIRLING MERCANTILE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Haddad      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Subramanian lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Gaber       2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Barbosa pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Wilombe     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Borcher ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Mungai  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Opare   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Quiñone ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Alemu   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Poojary pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martínez    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Macandza    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  27   5   6   3   0   0   5   5  11   0   1  0.222
  2B: Martínez (14), Borcherding-Johnson (1), Opare (2).
  SB: Subramanian (1), Wilombe (4), Barbosa (7).
  CS: Barbosa (3), Mungai (1).
  E: Subramanian (4).
  HBP: Alemu (1).
  a-Ran for Gaber in the 2nd.
  b-Batted in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Walked in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Ran in the 4th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Girma       3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Biteghé     2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
Metwally    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Elsig       p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Sissako 3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Estes       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  1.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mvala       j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   6   6   4   0   0   1   6   1   0   0   2  0.667
  HR: Sissako (1), off Bony.
  a-Entered at 3B in the 7th.

STIRLING MERCANTILE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bony (L, 0-6) .......     7    3  11%    4    6    2    1    0    1   21    -

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Elsig (W, 2-2) ......    30   24  89%    6    5    5    5   11    0   98    -
Bang ................     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    0    0   12  2-0

  Batting order: Quezon City Baseball Club (home) batted second; Stirling Mercantile batted first.
  First pitch 7:05 PM. Weather: 91°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 239650.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 13 Omar Macandza Karthik Poojary (2B) 1–0
T 22 Ronald Martínez Zinho Opare (3B) 2–0
T 22 Ronald Martínez Vinit Subramanian (2B) 3–0
T 22 Omar Macandza Ronald Martínez (2B) 4–0
T 23 Zinho Opare Omar Macandza (3B) 5–0
B 1 Manasse Estes Gizaw Girma (3B) 5–1
B 1 Manasse Estes Nkosana Ndlovu (2B) 5–2
B 3 Mihlali Elsig Manasse Estes (2B) 5–3
B 3 Mesud Sissako Mihlali Elsig (2B) 5–4
B 3 Mesud Sissako Serge Mvala (1B) 5–5
B 3 Mesud Sissako Mesud Sissako (HR) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Meadow Svendsen Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 315' · CF 458' · RF 313' · 16' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Stirling Mercantile — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Ronald Martínez — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Marwan Gaber — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 247 ft Jilson Wilombe — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 119 ft Zinho Opare — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -12° · 77 ft Said Haddad — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +28° · 265 ft Omar Macandza — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -8° · 66 ft Jilson Wilombe — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Zinho Opare — double · EV 102 mph · LA +29° · 349 ft Tesfaye Alemu — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +26° · 218 ft Ronald Martínez — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 263 ft Dalton Borcherding-Johnson — double · EV 96 mph · LA +11° · 142 ft Omar Macandza — single · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Jilson Wilombe — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Zinho Opare — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -20° · 63 ft Said Haddad — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +28° · 219 ft
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
315' 458' 313' Wall 16' Gizaw Girma — single · EV 114 mph · LA +13° · 221 ft Manasse Estes — single · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 164 ft Khaled Metwally — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +27° · 191 ft Mihlali Elsig — error · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 230 ft Serge Mvala — single · EV 119 mph · LA -1° · 113 ft Mesud Sissako — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +47° · 456 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stirling Mercantile
56% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 2 CS (-0.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dalton Borcherding-Johnson 96 / +11° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Said Haddad 89 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Omar Macandza 76 / +0° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Zinho Opare 102 / +29° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.57
Jilson Wilombe 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Quezon City Baseball Club
44% deserve-to-win  ·  4.8 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 8.1 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mihlali Elsig 100 / +18° Center Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Gizaw Girma 114 / +13° Center Single 1.5 → 1 -0.52
Mesud Sissako 107 / +47° Pull Home Run 3.6 → 4 +0.38
Manasse Estes 87 / +16° Oppo Single 0.7 → 1 +0.29
Serge Mvala 119 / -1° Center Single 0.8 → 1 +0.24
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