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Panevėžys Bottling Co. 4, Amur-Zaimka Elk 0                 2046-04-26 · #1145
at Tide Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Panevėžys               4    4    3    1
Amur-Zaimka             0    0    5    1

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Shafie      ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Turnbow     c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Cunha       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Breit       cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Mozee       2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Lehnhoff    3b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Barten      rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
McCullough  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Bastardo    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Saul        j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   4   3   1   0   0   4   7  13   0   1  0.120
  2B: Lehnhoff (9).
  SB: Mozee (3).
  CS: Breit (4).
  E: Shafie (2).


AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lutrova     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Billiot     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Stevensov   1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Bridges     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Blackstocko p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Kwiatko ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Dzalami ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Pashkov 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Paudel  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Faulk   c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  f-Jin     ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Cardin  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Qiu     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mixon       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   0   5   0   0   0   0   1   9   0   0  0.185
  SB: Pashkova (5).
  CS: Mixon (3), Bridges (2), Jin (1).
  E: Pashkova (2).
  GIDP: Bridges (1).
  a-Singled for Blackstockov in the 7th.
  b-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 5th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Singled for Faulk in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Kwiatkowski in the 7th.
  h-Struck out for Paudel in the 8th.

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bastardo (W, 5-1) ...    26   27 100%    3    0    0    1    9    0  102    -

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blackstockov (L, 3-1)     22   19  70%    3    2    2    3    8    0   84    -
Barth ...............    10    8  30%    0    2    2    4    5    0   26  1-0

  Batting order: Amur-Zaimka Elk (home) batted second; Panevėžys Bottling Co. batted first.
  First pitch 7:05 PM VLAT. Weather: 55°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 533366.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 18 Diego Turnbow Armondo Lehnhoff (3B) 1–0
T 18 Malik Breit Diego Turnbow (2B) 2–0
T 21 Tavierre Saul Donni Mozee (2B) 3–0
T 22 Renato Bastardo Tyderick Barten (3B) 4–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 319' · CF 396' · RF 347' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Bullpens in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Panevėžys Bottling Co. — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Diego Turnbow — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +5° · 90 ft Armondo Lehnhoff — double · EV 93 mph · LA +17° · 196 ft Tavierre Saul — error · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft Malik Breit — fly_out · EV 90 mph · LA +32° · 288 ft Donni Mozee — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft Diego Turnbow — single · EV 83 mph · LA +22° · 193 ft Malik Breit — single · EV 85 mph · LA -6° · 80 ft
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Ilia Dzalamidze — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -13° · 73 ft Rabindra Paudel — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft Stepan Stevensov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Rodney Kwiatkowski — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Yu Jin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +21° · 78 ft Andrei Lutrova — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -11° · 54 ft Alan Pashkova — fielders_choice · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 131 ft Thai-Son Mixon — error · EV 58 mph · LA -5° · 55 ft Rhyne Billiot — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Stepan Stevensov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Kyle Bridges — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA +5° · 56 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Panevėžys Bottling Co.
100% deserve-to-win  ·  2.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 4.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Malik Breit 90 / +32° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Armondo Lehnhoff 93 / +17° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Malik Breit 85 / -6° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Diego Turnbow 95 / +5° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Tavierre Saul 88 / +6° Oppo Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Amur-Zaimka Elk
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.5 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 4.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 3 CS (-1.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Alan Pashkova 99 / +10° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Rodney Kwiatkowski 76 / +4° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Yu Jin 76 / +2° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ilia Dzalamidze 54 / +21° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Rhyne Billiot 76 / -5° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
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