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Graz Broncos 10, Verkhnegrad Imperials 9                    2046-04-26 · #1152
at Edwards Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad             9    9    6    0
Graz                   10   10    9    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fomina-Klot ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Valdez      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Trubin  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kambolov    cf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Medvede ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kulikovskay 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Buchina     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Afinogenova 1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Maksyme pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Wahyudi     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tejada      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Reyngol pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Chernov ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Zabolot c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Iakovle pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Granat  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Fokina      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Savinykh    j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  28   9   6   0   0   2   9   7   7   0   0  0.214
  HR: Kambolov (1), off Bounedjah; Savinykh (2), off Kangwa.
  CS: Iakovlev (2), Reyngold (1).
  HBP: Trubin (1).
  GIDP: Valdez (1), Buchina (1).
  a-Was hit by a pitch for Valdez in the 6th.
  b-Struck out for Kambolov in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Afinogenova in the 6th.
  d-Ran for Tejada in the 6th.
  e-Batted for Zabolotny in the 5th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Ran for Trubin in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out for Savinykh in the 8th.

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Javed   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gueye       lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Pandey      c  ......    2   3   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Iyer        rf ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  b-Engelbr ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Covilhã ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Webó    ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Abebe   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Naidji  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Hakimi  ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  h-Ndour   ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Collins     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   2   2   1   0  0.500
Bothma      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mazarura    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30  10   9   3   0   1  10   7  12   1   0  0.300
  2B: Schiffman (4), Hakimi (6), Ndour (4).
  HR: Pandey (3), off Valdez.
  SB: Javed (2).
  CS: Pandey (3).
  a-Ran for Schiffman in the 1st.
  b-Struck out for Iyer in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Bothma in the 1st.
  d-Singled in the 1st.
  e-Ran for Webó in the 1st.
  f-Batted for Mazarura in the 1st.
  g-Batted in the 2nd.
  h-Batted in the 3rd.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Valdez (L, 2-1) .....    21   14  52%    6    7    7    5    4    1   64    -
Watson ..............    14   10  37%    3    3    2    2    6    0   42  1-1
Santos ..............     2    3  11%    0    0    0    0    2    0    8  2-0

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bounedjah ...........     5    2   7%    2    3    3    1    1    1   20    -
Kangwa ..............    11   10  37%    3    3    2    0    2    1   46  1-0
Semenyo .............     8    4  15%    1    2    2    3    0    0   20    -
Robert (W, 1-1) .....    12   11  41%    0    1    1    3    4    0   53  2-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted first; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 54874.
  Walk-Back runs: off Watson 1, off Kangwa 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Peter Bothma Arshad Javed (3B) 0–1
B 1 Hugo Webó Garang Collins (3B) 0–2
B 1 Chimezie Gueye Peter Bothma (2B) 0–3
B 6 Henry Ndour Udanta Pandey (2B) 0–4
B 6 Henry Ndour Subba Iyer (1B) 0–5
B 14 Udanta Pandey Bezabeh Abebe (2B) 0–6
B 14 Udanta Pandey Udanta Pandey (HR) 0–7
B 14 Sofiane Hakimi Udanta Pandey (3B) 0–8
B 15 Garang Collins Sofiane Hakimi (3B) 0–9
B 15 Garang Collins Subba Iyer (2B) 0–10
T 2 Konstantin Kambolov Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 1–10
T 2 Konstantin Kambolov Lev Fokina (1B) 2–10
T 2 Konstantin Kambolov Konstantin Kambolov (HR) 3–10
T 11 Philipp Savinykh Marat Tsybysheva (2B) 4–10
T 11 Philipp Savinykh Philipp Savinykh (HR) 5–10
T 11 Lev Fokina Philipp Savinykh (3B) 6–10
T 12 Marat Chernov Konstantin Kambolov (2B) 7–10
T 16 Hanley Tejada Andrey Fomina-Klotz (3B) 8–10
T 18 Marat Chernov Bohdan Maksymenko (3B) 9–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR
278' 358' 290' Philipp Savinykh — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -2° · 81 ft Lev Fokina — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 266 ft Konstantin Kambolov — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 363 ft Andrey Fomina-Klotz — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 185 ft Fyodor Kulikovskaya — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -5° · 65 ft Alan Buchina — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA +3° · 57 ft Ruslan Afinogenova — single · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 88 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 197 ft Marat Chernov — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -7° · 77 ft Richard Granat — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA +7° · 65 ft Vladimir Valdez — double_play · EV 83 mph · LA -4° · 79 ft Philipp Savinykh — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 343 ft Lev Fokina — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +27° · 191 ft Alan Buchina — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Made Wahyudi — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +5° · 77 ft Hanley Tejada — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 204 ft Marat Chernov — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +29° · 256 ft Made Wahyudi — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +27° · 136 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
278' 358' 290' Mitty Schiffman — double · EV 95 mph · LA +23° · 260 ft Peter Bothma — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 136 ft Hugo Webó — single · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 243 ft Chimezie Gueye — single · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 136 ft Wellington Mazarura — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +30° · 177 ft Sofiane Naidji — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 151 ft Sofiane Hakimi — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -31° · 95 ft Henry Ndour — double · EV 111 mph · LA +18° · 289 ft Udanta Pandey — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Garang Collins — error · EV 97 mph · LA +21° · 249 ft Peter Bothma — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Sofiane Naidji — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +0° · 88 ft Sofiane Hakimi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 137 ft Arshad Javed — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Udanta Pandey — single · EV 88 mph · LA -17° · 84 ft Peter Bothma — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 247 ft Nelson Covilhã — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -14° · 79 ft Sofiane Hakimi — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
24% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.5 vs expected
contact: 10.1 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+1.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Philipp Savinykh 100 / +30° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.83
Konstantin Kambolov 98 / +36° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.44
Andrey Fomina-Klotz 84 / +20° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Ruslan Afinogenova 84 / +9° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Made Wahyudi 81 / +5° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Graz Broncos
76% deserve-to-win  ·  11.6 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 17.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-2.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Peter Bothma 88 / +26° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Sofiane Hakimi 100 / +10° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Mitty Schiffman 95 / +23° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Sofiane Naidji 86 / +15° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Udanta Pandey 88 / -17° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
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