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Regensburg Samurai 4, Rijeka Beisbol Klub 3                 2046-04-26 · #1165
at Brew Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Regensburg              4    4    6    0
Rijeka                  3    3    6    0

REGENSBURG SAMURAI
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Koskela     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
Vukojević   lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pikkujämsä  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Raysla      rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Halttun c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Bhatia  cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Akpınar c  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Mulaome c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Carvalh nf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Seppälä     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Magbegor    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kauppinen   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  12   4   6   2   0   1   4   1   2   0   1  0.500
  2B: Halttunen (4), Bhatia (1).
  HR: Akpınar (1), off Walter.
  CS: Mulaomerović (4).
  HBP: Magbegor (2).
  GIDP: Carvalho (1), Pikkujämsä (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 6th.
  d-Entered at C in the 8th.
  e-Entered at NF in the 9th.

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Koponen     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Tamminen    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Klose       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Toivone c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Jaakkola    3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Aalto       2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mthethwa    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Magull      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Carleton    1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Jokela  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Mustafi ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Väisäne ss ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Muurinen    j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Mikkonen    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nurmi       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   3   6   4   0   0   3   3  16   0   0  0.207
  2B: Muurinen (5), Jaakkola (3), Väisänen (2), Toivonen (2).
  CS: Koponen (2), Jokela (5).
  a-Replaced Klose at C in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Carleton in the 4th.
  c-Batted in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 5th.

REGENSBURG SAMURAI PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Koskela (W, 2-3) ....    28   25  93%    5    2    2    2   14    0  110    -
Lampinen ............     4    2   7%    1    1    1    1    2    0   11  1-1

RIJEKA BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Laine (L, 0-1) ......     8    7  26%    3    1    1    1    0    0   27    -
Walter ..............     4    2   7%    3    2    1    0    1    1   14    -
Götze ...............     2    2   7%    0    1    1    0    1    0    5  1-1

  Batting order: Rijeka Beisbol Klub (home) batted first; Regensburg Samurai batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 71°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain. seed 482567.
  Powerplays: Regensburg Samurai — Carvalho NF (O14)
  Walk-Back runs: off Walter 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 12 Lauri Muurinen Tim Jokela (2B) 0–1
B 25 Jorma Toivonen Daniel Väisänen (2B) 0–2
B 25 Toni Aalto Jorma Toivonen (2B) 0–3
T 2 Danijel Vukojević Jeff Magbegor (3B) 1–3
T 7 Markus Akpınar Markus Akpınar (HR) 2–3
T 7 Germanpreet Bhatia Markus Akpınar (3B) 3–3
T 10 Urho Koskela Germanpreet Bhatia (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brew Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 467' · RF 378' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Regensburg Samurai — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
343' 467' 378' Jeff Magbegor — single · EV 87 mph · LA +23° · 220 ft Robert Kauppinen — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft Tuukka Seppälä — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +22° · 175 ft Nikolai Halttunen — double · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 246 ft Danijel Vukojević — single · EV 96 mph · LA +17° · 205 ft Mateus Carvalho — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 102 ft Leevi Pikkujämsä — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Markus Akpınar — hr · EV 98 mph · LA +37° · 369 ft Germanpreet Bhatia — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft Ivan Mulaomerović — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 105 ft
Rijeka Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
343' 467' 378' Lauri Muurinen — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Justus Klose — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -17° · 77 ft Brunno Carleton — single · EV 119 mph · LA +3° · 113 ft Robin Mustafi — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 257 ft Leevi Nurmi — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +17° · 143 ft Lauri Muurinen — double · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 341 ft Olivier Jaakkola — double · EV 79 mph · LA +38° · 246 ft Robin Mustafi — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +1° · 57 ft Daniel Väisänen — double · EV 109 mph · LA +31° · 414 ft Jorma Toivonen — double · EV 101 mph · LA +18° · 240 ft Lauri Muurinen — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -12° · 94 ft Toni Aalto — single · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 147 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Regensburg Samurai
69% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 8.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Markus Akpınar 98 / +37° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.43
Nikolai Halttunen 98 / +20° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Germanpreet Bhatia 100 / +16° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Mateus Carvalho 86 / +10° Oppo Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Tuukka Seppälä 79 / +22° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Rijeka Beisbol Klub
31% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Olivier Jaakkola 79 / +38° Oppo Double 0.1 → 2 +1.88
Robin Mustafi 100 / +20° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Lauri Muurinen 92 / +47° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Leevi Nurmi 80 / +17° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Lauri Muurinen 76 / +11° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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