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Verkhnegrad Imperials 6, Graz Broncos 3                     2046-04-27 · #1196
at Edwards Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad             6    6    7    1
Graz                    3    3    1    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kulikovskay ss ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Wahyudi     lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Chernov     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Granat      cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Buchina     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tejada      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gazinsky    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Gureva  nf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Fomina- pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Zabolot c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Trubin  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Maksyme pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Savinykh    j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fokina      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  16   6   7   2   0   0   6   4   5   0   0  0.438
  2B: Kulikovskaya 2 (3).
  E: Gureva (1).
  a-Entered at NF in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Gureva in the 5th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.
  d-Walked for Zabolotny in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Trubin in the 5th.

GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Schiffman   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Ndour   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kebede      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gueye       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Naidji      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Abebe   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Iyer        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Jadhav  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
  d-Covilhã ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Javed   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Webó    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Lohmann ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Hakimi  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Engelbr c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Collins     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Bothma      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mazarura    j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   3   1   0   0   1   2   3  11   0   1  0.040
  HR: Mazarura (3), off Gazinsky.
  SB: Mazarura (4), Javed (3).
  CS: Kebede (2).
  HBP: Naidji (1).
  GIDP: Bothma 2 (2).
  a-Replaced Schiffman at SS in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Naidji in the 3rd.
  c-Replaced Iyer at C in the 7th.
  d-Grounded out for Mazarura in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Covilhã in the 3rd.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 4th.
  h-Replaced Collins at 3B in the 5th.
  i-Replaced Javed at C in the 6th.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gazinsky (W, 1-4) ...    29   27 100%    1    3    3    3   11    1  104    -

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mthembu .............    12    9  33%    4    2    2    2    5    0   34    -
Amrani (L, 0-2) .....     8    4  15%    3    4    4    2    0    0   34  1-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted first; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 70°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 220688.
  Powerplays: Verkhnegrad Imperials — Gureva NF (O3)
  Walk-Back runs: off Gazinsky 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 12 Garang Collins Arshad Javed (3B) 0–1
B 16 Wellington Mazarura Wellington Mazarura (HR) 0–2
B 20 Athenkosi Mthembu Wellington Mazarura (3B) 0–3
T 1 Philipp Savinykh Marat Chernov (2B) 1–3
T 8 Vasili Gazinsky Fyodor Kulikovskaya (3B) 2–3
T 11 Philipp Savinykh Richard Granat (2B) 3–3
T 13 Fyodor Kulikovskaya Philipp Savinykh (3B) 4–3
T 13 Fyodor Kulikovskaya Andrey Fomina-Klotz (2B) 5–3
T 13 Fyodor Kulikovskaya Bohdan Maksymenko (1B) 6–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
278' 358' 290' Richard Granat — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 119 mph · LA +25° · 429 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 112 mph · LA +21° · 342 ft Fyodor Kulikovskaya — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 232 ft Vasili Gazinsky — single · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Marat Chernov — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +27° · 313 ft Richard Granat — fielders_choice · EV 119 mph · LA +7° · 113 ft Philipp Savinykh — single · EV 116 mph · LA +10° · 176 ft Daler Gureva — single · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 265 ft Fyodor Kulikovskaya — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
278' 358' 290' Shimeket Kebede — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -8° · 80 ft Garang Collins — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA +3° · 71 ft Peter Bothma — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA -13° · 67 ft Wellington Mazarura — fielders_choice · EV 69 mph · LA +1° · 65 ft Nelson Covilhã — error · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 99 ft Athenkosi Mthembu — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -8° · 77 ft Ruan Engelbrecht — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +16° · 62 ft Peter Bothma — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA +7° · 52 ft Wellington Mazarura — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +39° · 437 ft Sofiane Hakimi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Garang Collins — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Peter Bothma — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA -8° · 65 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
85% deserve-to-win  ·  9.3 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -3.3 vs expected
contact: 14.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-5.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marat Tsybysheva 119 / +25° Center Single 3.0 → 1 -2.04
Richard Granat 100 / +18° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Marat Chernov 98 / +27° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Philipp Savinykh 112 / +21° Pull Single 1.7 → 1 -0.74
Fyodor Kulikovskaya 100 / +12° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Graz Broncos
15% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wellington Mazarura 106 / +39° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Sofiane Hakimi 76 / +22° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Garang Collins 76 / +19° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Nelson Covilhã 76 / +13° Center Reached on Error 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Ruan Engelbrecht 54 / +16° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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