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Gannibal Stevedores 5, Esso BK 3                            2046-04-27 · #1211
at Ranga Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Gannibal                5    5    6    1
Esso                    3    3    4    0

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Young       lf ......    3   2   2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Dementieva  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
  a-Shaffer pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Townsendov  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hodgson     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Hydrick ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
Cissé       ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Abasiri ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Moorin      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gu          rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Korolyov    2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Bouck-J pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Scheinmanov p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Trapp       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zaytseva    j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Ornstein    j  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   5   6   1   1   0   5   3   7   0   1  0.214
  2B: Cissé (3).
  3B: Young (2).
  SB: Young (1).
  CS: Hydrickov (3).
  E: Dementieva (3).
  HBP: Townsendov (1).
  GIDP: Moorin (1).
  Squeeze: Dementieva (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Dementieva in the 8th.
  b-Batted for Hodgson in the 5th.
  c-Grounded out for Cissé in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Korolyov in the 8th.

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Tymoshenko  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Allen       1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Agafonov    cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Valiev  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Chappell    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Desfor  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bardina     c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Canıtez     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Andreev     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Bezecny pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moore       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Buster  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fomin       j  ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Twedtov     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   4   0   0   0   3   5   7   0   0  0.154
  CS: Allen (3), Fomin (3).
  GIDP: Desfor (1), Fomin (2), Twedtov (2).
  a-Singled for Agafonov in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Chappell in the 9th.
  c-Ran for Andreev in the 7th.
  d-Entered at SS in the 7th.

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Scheinmanov (W, 2-2)     27   24  89%    3    2    2    5    7    0   88    -
Thienemanov .........     2    3  11%    0    1    1    0    0    0    8  3-1

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moore (L, 2-2) ......    29   25  93%    5    5    5    3    6    0   99    -
Kurbanov ............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  2-0

  Batting order: Esso BK (home) batted second; Gannibal Stevedores batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 890157.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Vasili Dementieva Andres Young (3B) 1–0
T 14 Kevon Ornstein Andres Young (3B) 2–0
T 14 Kevon Ornstein Aleksei Zaytseva (3B) 3–0
T 24 Tommy Hydrickov Javain Shaffer (3B) 4–0
T 24 Morris Abasirin Kevon Ornstein (3B) 5–0
B 20 Kostiantyn Tymoshenko Ronald Bezecny (3B) 5–1
B 24 Karen Andreev Charles Allen (3B) 5–2
B 24 Dexter Desfor Lev Bardina (3B) 5–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ranga Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 425' · RF 275' · 9' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Andres Young — triple · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 278 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Rostya Townsendov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Tanook Hodgson — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -18° · 52 ft Bruce Cissé — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 169 ft Hyun-bin Gu — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 295 ft Vasili Dementieva — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Morris Abasirin — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA -8° · 55 ft Andres Young — single · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 183 ft Learner Moorin — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Wayne Korolyov — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 69 ft Vasili Dementieva — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -13° · 49 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Kevon Ornstein — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Andres Young — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -3° · 74 ft Kevon Ornstein — single · EV 92 mph · LA +0° · 87 ft
Esso BK — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Lev Bardina — line_out · EV 68 mph · LA +24° · 137 ft Vadim Fomin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Shawn Twedtov — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +35° · 336 ft Ozan Canıtez — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft Karen Andreev — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Karen Agafonov — single · EV 57 mph · LA +24° · 96 ft Charles Allen — error · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 110 ft Semyon Valiev — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 178 ft Dexter Desfor — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Lev Bardina — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +50° · 228 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Karen Andreev — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +39° · 226 ft Shawn Twedtov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Khalil Moore — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Charles Allen — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft Vadim Fomin — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -0° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Gannibal Stevedores
60% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andres Young 96 / +25° Pull Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.84
Bruce Cissé 92 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Hyun-bin Gu 92 / +30° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Vasili Dementieva 78 / +20° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Aleksei Zaytseva 52 / +10° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Esso BK
40% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-3.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shawn Twedtov 95 / +35° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Charles Allen 92 / +10° Oppo Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Charles Allen 92 / +9° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Kostiantyn Tymoshenko 92 / +26° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Semyon Valiev 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
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