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Yekaterinburg Mustangs 17, Frivuda Plumbers 3               2046-04-27 · #1215
at Harbor Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Yekaterinburg          17      -   17   16    0
Frivuda                 2      1    3    8    0

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moriwake    c  ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.250
Damdinsuren 2b ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Trường      lf ......    3   3   2   0   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Oda         cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Wills       3b ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  0.750
Lew         1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Luangaphay  ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nadarajah   p  ......    4   1   3   0   0   0   2   0   2   1   0  0.750
Jokela      rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Ko          j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Ulaanbat    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Farkes      j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  37  17  16   4   0   1  16   5   8   2   0  0.432
  2B: Damdinsuren (10), Wills (22), Lew (14), Farkes (7).
  HR: Moriwake (5), off Anwunahov.
  SB: Ko (2).


FRIVUDA PLUMBERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jacksonov   cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lombardo    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Schell      1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Fennessin   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Larin   ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Edwards     lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Noel    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ibrahim     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lansere     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kulagin     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  c-Quiñone 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Zelyonov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Makarov     j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30   3   8   1   0   1   2   3  10   0   0  0.267
  2B: Edwards (11).
  HR: Larin (2), off Nadarajah.
  SB: Makarov 3 (5).
  GIDP: Jacksonov (1), Zelyonov (2), Lansere (1).
  a-Homered for Fennessin in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Edwards in the 9th.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 7th.

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nadarajah (W, 2-0) ..    33   27 100%    8    3    3    3   10    1  123    -

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kulagin .............     9    7  26%    2    1    1    0    3    0   38    -
Anwunahov ...........     5    1   4%    3    4    3    1    0    1   18  1-1
Burnettov (L, 1-1) ..    14    8  30%    3    6    6    4    3    0   66  2-2
Leavitt-Morganov ....     9    5  19%    4    4    4    0    3    0   29  2-2
Harris ..............     6    5  19%    4    2    2    0    0    0   23  2-1
Campbellov ..........     0    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    3  1-0

  Batting order: Frivuda Plumbers (home) batted second; Yekaterinburg Mustangs batted first.
  Seconds: FP o26 (2-17).
  First pitch 7:15 PM YAKT. Weather: 45°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 306107.
  Walk-Back runs: off Anwunahov 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Yuan-hao Ko Maxime Wills (3B) 1–0
T 8 Yusei Moriwake Chauncey Lew (3B) 2–0
T 8 Yusei Moriwake Boldbaatar Ulaanbat (2B) 3–0
T 8 Yusei Moriwake Yusei Moriwake (HR) 4–0
T 8 Vũ Trường Yusei Moriwake (3B) 5–0
T 9 Maxime Wills Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren (3B) 6–0
T 9 Maxime Wills Vũ Trường (1B) 7–0
T 13 Boldbaatar Ulaanbat Maxime Wills (2B) 8–0
T 15 Vũ Trường Yuan-hao Ko (3B) 9–0
T 15 Shigeru Oda Erik Jokela (3B) 10–0
T 15 Maxime Wills Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren (3B) 11–0
T 18 Senthil Nadarajah Vũ Trường (3B) 12–0
T 18 Deiton Farkes Shigeru Oda (3B) 13–0
T 18 Deiton Farkes Senthil Nadarajah (1B) 14–0
T 20 Erik Jokela Deiton Farkes (3B) 15–0
T 21 Vũ Trường Erik Jokela (3B) 16–0
T 25 Senthil Nadarajah Vũ Trường (3B) 17–0
B 6 Grigori Lansere Aslan Makarov (3B) 17–1
B 24 Donni Schell Joe Noel (3B) 17–2
seconds_second 0 Lance Larin Lance Larin (HR) 17–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Harbor Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 277' · CF 355' · RF 297' · 14' wall). The Bandbox.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 11 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Vũ Trường — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +18° · 190 ft Shigeru Oda — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +38° · 258 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 187 ft Chauncey Lew — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — single · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 109 ft Erik Jokela — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -23° · 62 ft Deiton Farkes — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Yusei Moriwake — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +31° · 386 ft Vũ Trường — single · EV 88 mph · LA +15° · 158 ft Maxime Wills — double · EV 107 mph · LA +26° · 357 ft Chauncey Lew — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +5° · 75 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — single · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 129 ft Deiton Farkes — double · EV 98 mph · LA +37° · 371 ft Erik Jokela — single · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 151 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 193 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -18° · 74 ft Senthil Nadarajah — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 129 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -12° · 60 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — double · EV 94 mph · LA +13° · 154 ft Vũ Trường — single · EV 99 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Shigeru Oda — single · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 330 ft Senthil Nadarajah — single · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 229 ft Senthil Nadarajah — single · EV 84 mph · LA +10° · 95 ft
Frivuda Plumbers — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 6 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Davion Edwards — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Crawford Zelyonov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Aslan Makarov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 131 ft Donni Schell — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 219 ft Grigori Lansere — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Montrell Fennessin — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Fedor Kulagin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Lance Larin — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +41° · 444 ft Davion Edwards — double · EV 96 mph · LA +44° · 366 ft Jayden Ibrahim — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +18° · 169 ft Crawford Zelyonov — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Nico Lombardo — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 108 ft Malachi Jacksonov — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -21° · 55 ft Aslan Makarov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Davion Edwards — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +26° · 277 ft Crawford Zelyonov — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA -16° · 64 ft Malachi Jacksonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 206 ft Grigori Lansere — single · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 128 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
69% deserve-to-win  ·  12.6 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  +4.4 vs expected
contact: 20.2 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yusei Moriwake 104 / +31° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren 94 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Vũ Trường 89 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Chauncey Lew 92 / +21° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Shigeru Oda 81 / +38° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Frivuda Plumbers
31% deserve-to-win  ·  8.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -5.5 vs expected
contact: 14.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-2.4 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Davion Edwards 92 / +29° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Davion Edwards 93 / +26° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Fedor Kulagin 76 / +8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Jayden Ibrahim 84 / +18° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Aslan Makarov 92 / +5° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
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