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Curepipe Cab Co. 4, Aleksandrovsk Hawks 3                   2046-04-27 · #1221
at Álvarez Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Curepipe                4    4    5    0
Aleksandrovsk           3    3    4    0

CUREPIPE CAB CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Asano       3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Harrisov    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Morisak 1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Grewal  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Lin     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Date    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Chou    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Baker   c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Keita   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Roy         j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schneider-P j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Motovilov   j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  14   4   5   3   0   1   4   0   4   0   0  0.357
  2B: Baker (3), Schneider-Pereira (11), Motovilov (10).
  HR: Morisaki (10), off Moorin.
  a-Entered at 1B in the 4th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  c-Struck out in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at RF in the 5th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.
  g-Entered at C in the 9th.

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zotov       c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sulfsted    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bykov       ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Carnell     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Nkosi   rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kravchuk    2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Rudnev      3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Cao     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mondevillin lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Moorin      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Morozov ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Tatís   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Strelko 1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
  f-Baburin cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Guerrer ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Madrigal    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kravchuk    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  25   3   4   1   0   0   3   4   9   0   1  0.160
  2B: Nkosi (4).
  SB: Tatís (7).
  CS: Zotov (1), Kravchuk (7).
  a-Replaced Carnell at RF in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Rudnev in the 5th.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Ran in the 2nd.
  e-Replaced Madrigal at 1B in the 5th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  g-Entered at SS in the 9th.

CUREPIPE CAB CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Harrisov (W, 3-1) ...    15   13  48%    3    2    2    2    4    0   58    -
Al-Haqbanin .........    13   14  52%    1    1    1    2    5    0   50  1-0

ALEKSANDROVSK HAWKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moorin (L, 2-2) .....     9    6  22%    4    3    3    0    2    1   33    -
Bounedjah ...........     5    3  11%    1    1    1    0    2    0   23    -

  Batting order: Aleksandrovsk Hawks (home) batted first; Curepipe Cab Co. batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 41°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 284341.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 13 Daniil Bykov Kevin Madrigal (2B) 0–1
B 13 Knox Nkosi Daniil Bykov (1B) 0–2
B 19 Petr Kravchuk Bartolo Tatís (3B) 0–3
T 3 Richard Baker Egor Motovilov (2B) 1–3
T 6 Joji Morisaki Masato Asano (1B) 2–3
T 6 Joji Morisaki Joji Morisaki (HR) 3–3
T 9 Renato Schneider-Pereira Hubertus Roy (1B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Álvarez Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 328' · CF 440' · RF 326' · 18' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Curepipe Cab Co. — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
328' 440' 326' Wall 18' Egor Motovilov — double · EV 94 mph · LA +42° · 356 ft Hsuan-yen Chou — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +31° · 241 ft Richard Baker — double · EV 103 mph · LA +12° · 169 ft Keontez Keita — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -2° · 88 ft Masato Asano — single · EV 110 mph · LA +19° · 301 ft Joji Morisaki — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +49° · 480 ft Keisei Date — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -17° · 76 ft Hubertus Roy — fielders_choice · EV 68 mph · LA -13° · 65 ft Renato Schneider-Pereira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 219 ft
Aleksandrovsk Hawks — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
328' 440' 326' Wall 18' Valeriy Zotov — single · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Kevin Madrigal — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +5° · 57 ft Daniil Bykov — single · EV 77 mph · LA +15° · 115 ft Hugh Carnell — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -14° · 86 ft Sergei Morozov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 284 ft Knox Nkosi — double · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 183 ft Xiaolong Cao — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 120 ft Valeriy Zotov — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +17° · 175 ft Daniil Bykov — error · EV 74 mph · LA -12° · 70 ft Sergei Morozov — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +46° · 400 ft Mel Mondevillin — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +44° · 297 ft Theodore Moorin — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +29° · 414 ft Petr Kravchuk — single · EV 80 mph · LA -12° · 76 ft Valeriy Zotov — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Curepipe Cab Co.
23% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 8.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joji Morisaki 113 / +49° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.36
Egor Motovilov 94 / +42° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Richard Baker 103 / +12° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Masato Asano 110 / +19° Oppo Single 1.7 → 1 -0.69
Renato Schneider-Pereira 100 / +17° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.46
Aleksandrovsk Hawks
77% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -3.0 vs expected
contact: 11.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-6.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergei Morozov 100 / +46° Pull Out 2.5 → 0 -2.53
Theodore Moorin 110 / +29° Center Out 2.4 → 0 -2.35
Sergei Morozov 100 / +23° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Knox Nkosi 94 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Valeriy Zotov 89 / +17° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
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