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Pyongyang Central Spartans 32, Olympika Imperial Tailors 4  2046-04-27 · #1226
at Copper Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central      32   32   28    0
Olympika                4    4    5    1

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kuehn       c  ......    3   6   3   1   0   0   3   3   0   0   0  1.000
Cabalceta   lf ......    6   3   4   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Pfister     rf ......    5   3   3   0   0   1   4   1   2   0   0  0.600
Donkoh      cf ......    6   2   3   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Lombardi    ss ......    6   2   2   0   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.333
Zingaro     2b ......    4   5   3   1   0   1   4   2   0   0   0  0.750
Estes       p  ......    5   6   4   0   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  0.800
Pandya      3b ......    6   2   3   1   0   0   3   0   2   1   0  0.500
Gorzny      1b ......    5   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.400
Tippmann    j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Griffith    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  48  32  28   8   1   4  31   7   9   1   0  0.583
  2B: Kuehn (9), Cabalceta 2 (7), Zingaro (4), Pandya (3), Tippmann (6), Gorzny 2 (4).
  3B: Donkoh (2).
  HR: Pfister (2), off Rebrov; Lombardi (1), off Han; Zingaro (1), off Puchkova; Estes (1), off Puchkova.
  CS: Lombardi (4).


OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Malinovskyi rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Ashbin      cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fuda        1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Trivedi     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carvalho    c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Owens       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Davisov     3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Krasnorouts 2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rebrov      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Dunne       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Watts       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Pylypenko   j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   4   5   2   0   0   4   3  13   0   1  0.179
  2B: Fuda (3), Krasnoroutskiy (1).
  E: Dunne (3).
  GIDP: Dunne (2), Watts (2).


PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Estes (W, 3-0) ......    30   27 100%    5    4    4    3   13    0  120    -

OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rebrov ..............     9    4  15%    7    5    4    1    0    1   35    -
Han .................    16   11  41%    4    5    4    2    7    1   61  1-1
Puchkova ............    11    4  15%    4   10    4    2    0    2   42  2-2
Shunin (L, 0-1) .....    10    3  11%    7    7    6    1    0    0   34  1-1
Bricka ..............     9    5  19%    6    5    5    1    2    0   34  1-1

  Batting order: Olympika Imperial Tailors (home) batted second; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 41°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain · Dry. seed 438263.
  Walk-Back runs: off Rebrov 1, off Han 1, off Puchkova 1, off Shunin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Mekhi Pfister Ethan Kuehn (2B) 1–0
T 0 Mekhi Pfister Eulis Cabalceta (1B) 2–0
T 0 Mekhi Pfister Mekhi Pfister (HR) 3–0
T 0 Omarian Lombardi Mekhi Pfister (3B) 4–0
T 4 Cory Tippmann Jacques Estes (1B) 5–0
T 8 Omarian Lombardi Cory Tippmann (3B) 6–0
T 8 Omarian Lombardi Ethan Kuehn (1B) 7–0
T 8 Omarian Lombardi Omarian Lombardi (HR) 8–0
T 12 Ethan Kuehn Omarian Lombardi (3B) 9–0
T 12 Ethan Kuehn Jacques Estes (1B) 10–0
T 15 Javon Zingaro Ethan Kuehn (3B) 11–0
T 15 Javon Zingaro Eulis Cabalceta (2B) 12–0
T 15 Javon Zingaro Javon Zingaro (HR) 13–0
T 17 Ethan Kuehn Javon Zingaro (3B) 14–0
T 18 Mekhi Pfister Jacques Estes (3B) 15–0
T 19 Javon Zingaro Ethan Kuehn (3B) 16–0
T 19 Jacques Estes Mekhi Pfister (3B) 17–0
T 19 Jacques Estes Nick Donkoh (2B) 18–0
T 19 Jacques Estes Javon Zingaro (1B) 19–0
T 19 Jacques Estes Jacques Estes (HR) 20–0
T 19 Doug Gorzny Jacques Estes (3B) 21–0
T 19 Doug Gorzny Axar Pandya (1B) 22–0
T 19 Eulis Cabalceta Doug Gorzny (2B) 23–0
T 19 Mekhi Pfister Ethan Kuehn (3B) 24–0
T 19 Nick Donkoh Eulis Cabalceta (3B) 25–0
T 20 Omarian Lombardi Nick Donkoh (3B) 26–0
T 22 Axar Pandya Javon Zingaro (2B) 27–0
T 22 Doug Gorzny Axar Pandya (1B) 28–0
T 22 Eulis Cabalceta Doug Gorzny (2B) 29–0
T 23 Nick Donkoh Ethan Kuehn (3B) 30–0
T 26 Axar Pandya Javon Zingaro (3B) 31–0
T 26 Axar Pandya Jacques Estes (1B) 32–0
B 16 Dennis Davisov Jan-michael Ashbin (3B) 32–1
B 18 Roman Krasnoroutskiy Taisei Fuda (3B) 32–2
B 18 Roman Krasnoroutskiy Heimir Watts (2B) 32–3
B 18 Roman Krasnoroutskiy Dennis Davisov (1B) 32–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Copper Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 355' · RF 277' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
35 BIP· 15 1B · 9 XBH · 4 HR
279' 355' 277' Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 96 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 99 mph · LA +6° · 94 ft Mekhi Pfister — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Nick Donkoh — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 138 ft Omarian Lombardi — single · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 208 ft Jacques Estes — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 103 ft Cory Tippmann — double · EV 104 mph · LA +13° · 192 ft Eulis Cabalceta — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +23° · 192 ft Nick Donkoh — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +16° · 84 ft Omarian Lombardi — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +47° · 448 ft Jacques Estes — single · EV 107 mph · LA +10° · 154 ft Ethan Kuehn — double · EV 86 mph · LA +42° · 294 ft Javon Zingaro — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +43° · 449 ft Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 99 mph · LA +29° · 332 ft Axar Pandya — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 80 mph · LA +22° · 174 ft Mekhi Pfister — single · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 262 ft Jacques Estes — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 327 ft Javon Zingaro — double · EV 94 mph · LA +30° · 309 ft Eulis Cabalceta — line_out · EV 73 mph · LA +22° · 150 ft Nick Donkoh — error · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Axar Pandya — single · EV 72 mph · LA +4° · 68 ft Doug Gorzny — double · EV 101 mph · LA +23° · 289 ft Mekhi Pfister — single · EV 89 mph · LA +23° · 226 ft Javon Zingaro — single · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 134 ft Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 158 ft Nick Donkoh — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +20° · 312 ft Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 71 mph · LA +37° · 192 ft Axar Pandya — single · EV 91 mph · LA +23° · 237 ft Doug Gorzny — double · EV 103 mph · LA +18° · 246 ft Jacques Estes — single · EV 91 mph · LA +15° · 164 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 82 mph · LA +20° · 172 ft Nick Donkoh — single · EV 86 mph · LA +25° · 224 ft Omarian Lombardi — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +5° · 79 ft Axar Pandya — double · EV 86 mph · LA +33° · 268 ft
Olympika Imperial Tailors — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
279' 355' 277' Heimir Watts — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -11° · 78 ft Ajit Trivedi — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -14° · 62 ft Dmytro Malinovskyi — single · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 126 ft Jan-michael Ashbin — single · EV 87 mph · LA +12° · 124 ft Taisei Fuda — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -19° · 49 ft Quincy Owens — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 216 ft Roman Krasnoroutskiy — double · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 330 ft Heimir Watts — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft Gelson Carvalho — single · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Taisei Fuda — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 307 ft Colm Dunne — double_play · EV 79 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Kyrylo Pylypenko — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 201 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
99% deserve-to-win  ·  20.9 expected runs
actual 32 runs  ·  +11.1 vs expected
contact: 36.4 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 49.0 (+12.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jacques Estes 92 / +38° Pull Home Run 1.0 → 4 +2.97
Eulis Cabalceta 88 / +16° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Ethan Kuehn 86 / +42° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.35
Nick Donkoh 111 / +20° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.30
Javon Zingaro 94 / +30° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Olympika Imperial Tailors
1% deserve-to-win  ·  2.1 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.9 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roman Krasnoroutskiy 92 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Taisei Fuda 92 / +32° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Gelson Carvalho 77 / +2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Dmytro Malinovskyi 77 / +16° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Jan-michael Ashbin 87 / +12° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.39
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