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Quezon City Baseball Club 4, Casablanca Elk 3               2046-04-27 · #1230
at Tide Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Quezon City             4    4    5    0
Casablanca              3    3    3    0

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Iheanacho   p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Girma       3b ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bouaziz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bouanga     1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Angeldahl   rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Metwally    c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mezui       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Demissi c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Moucket cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Sissako 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Estes       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mvala       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  13   4   5   1   0   0   3   2   4   0   0  0.385
  2B: Moucketou-Moussounda (2).
  SB: Bouanga (5).
  Squeeze: Ndlovu (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Girma in the 4th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 8th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 8th.

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Strydom     ss ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Kassim      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Toit        rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Moukoko     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mfeka       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Cherif  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Maritz  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Randria ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Menon   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Martíne ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Ousou   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
  g-Inkoom  1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Demissie    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Russo       j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mpasi       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   3   3   1   0   0   3   6  12   0   1  0.120
  2B: Russo (10).
  SB: Strydom (3).
  GIDP: Moukoko (2), Ousou (2).
  Squeeze: Ousou (1 RBI).
  a-Struck out in the 1st.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Ran in the 4th.
  e-Grounded out in the 4th.
  f-Replaced Cherif at LF in the 5th.
  g-Replaced Russo at 1B in the 8th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iheanacho (W, 3-2) ..    31   27 100%    3    3    3    6   12    0   96    -

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mfeka (L, 2-2) ......    13    9  33%    3    2    2    2    4    0   49    -
Moyo ................     1    0   0%    1    2    2    0    0    0    6  2-1

  Batting order: Casablanca Elk (home) batted first; Quezon City Baseball Club batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Overcast · Dry. seed 675675.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 11 Leonardo Russo Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–1
B 11 Leonardo Russo Jasprit Menon (2B) 0–2
B 12 Salem Ousou Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–3
T 8 Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda Liam Angeldahl (2B) 1–3
T 9 Gizaw Girma Khaled Metwally (3B) 2–3
T 9 Nkosana Ndlovu Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda (3B) 3–3
T 9 Olumide Biteghé Abdelkader Bouazizi (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 303' · CF 418' · RF 353' · 32' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Flag Pole in Play
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Gizaw Girma — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 113 ft Serge Mvala — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Yacine Iheanacho — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 338 ft Khaled Metwally — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 314 ft Walieldin Mezui — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +26° · 85 ft Gizaw Girma — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 158 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Haile Kassim — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -1° · 51 ft Hamari Mpasi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Sikhumbuzo Mthembu — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +30° · 147 ft Aubrey du Toit — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Jean Randrianomenjanahary — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Adolis Martínez — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +14° · 124 ft Salem Ousou — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft Leonardo Russo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 186 ft Sikhumbuzo Mthembu — single · EV 83 mph · LA +0° · 79 ft Aubrey du Toit — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 174 ft Maodo Moukoko — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA +18° · 103 ft Aubrey du Toit — single · EV 53 mph · LA -13° · 51 ft Maodo Moukoko — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Quezon City Baseball Club
35% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.1 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yacine Iheanacho 92 / +43° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda 92 / +34° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Nkosana Ndlovu 76 / -14° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Serge Mvala 76 / +13° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Gizaw Girma 76 / +22° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Casablanca Elk
65% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 5.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Leonardo Russo 92 / +17° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Maodo Moukoko 93 / +19° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Aubrey du Toit 53 / -13° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Adolis Martínez 81 / +14° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Sikhumbuzo Mthembu 83 / +0° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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