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Sapporo Sentinels 2, Ola Knights 1                          2046-04-28 · #1233
at Cele Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Sapporo                 2    2    2    0
Ola                     1    1    5    0

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Villahermos 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
O'Connell   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
López       3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Shelburne   cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Newman      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Waite       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McDonough   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Furtado     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Hofer   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Barros  2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Yu          j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Arias       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ludloff     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   2   2   0   0   0   2   3   7   0   0  0.091
  HBP: Furtado (1).
  GIDP: Yu (4), Villahermosa (1), Newman (1).
  a-Ran for Furtado in the 8th.
  b-Entered at 2B in the 8th.

OLA KNIGHTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
MacDonaldov cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Muzaev      rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Mayberr pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adames      lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Viera       ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Arringtonov 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pogorelova  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Wattel  ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Fedorov ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Ju      ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Ávalos  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Guerrer lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marchenko   j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Sumarokov-E j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  26   1   5   1   0   0   1   2  12   0   0  0.192
  2B: Marchenko (11).
  CS: Viera (1), Fedorova (1).
  GIDP: Sumarokov-Elston (2).
  a-Ran for Muzaev in the 1st.
  b-Batted for Marchenko in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Batted in the 4th.
  e-Entered at CF in the 5th.
  f-Entered at LF in the 5th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Furtado (W, 3-0) ....    27   27 100%    4    1    1    2   12    0  109    -

OLA KNIGHTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Morozov (L, 0-3) ....    27   24  89%    2    2    2    3    8    0   94    -

  Batting order: Ola Knights (home) batted first; Sapporo Sentinels batted second.
  First pitch 1:35 PM MAGT. Weather: 48°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 432134.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 15 Jean Viera Mykhailo Marchenko (3B) 0–1
T 22 Basil Arias Jacques Hofer (3B) 1–1
T 22 Randall Villahermosa Song Yu (3B) 2–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cele Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 276' · CF 369' · RF 282' · 9' wall). The Bandbox.
Scoreboard Clock
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
276' 369' 282' Sam O'Connell — fly_out · EV 53 mph · LA +49° · 112 ft Basil Arias — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Damion Ludloff — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Song Yu — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -6° · 56 ft Zach McDonough — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Randall Villahermosa — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 69 ft Yunior López — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 143 ft Jonah Newman — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 49 ft Collin Waite — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +6° · 57 ft Sam O'Connell — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +39° · 117 ft Basil Arias — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Randall Villahermosa — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA +3° · 53 ft
Ola Knights — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
276' 369' 282' Mykhailo Marchenko — single · EV 92 mph · LA -15° · 87 ft Jonathan Wattel — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 156 ft Jean Viera — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 161 ft Josh Arringtonov — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 233 ft Jonathan Wattel — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 250 ft Jean Viera — single · EV 85 mph · LA +21° · 192 ft Alex Fedorova — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA -7° · 56 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -8° · 66 ft Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -18° · 61 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Sapporo Sentinels
81% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 3.7 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Basil Arias 76 / +19° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Randall Villahermosa 76 / +9° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Damion Ludloff 92 / +6° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Zach McDonough 92 / +2° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Yunior López 76 / +19° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Ola Knights
19% deserve-to-win  ·  1.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mykhailo Marchenko 92 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Jonathan Wattel 82 / +18° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Josh Arringtonov 82 / +11° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Jean Viera 77 / +22° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Mykhailo Marchenko 92 / -15° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
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