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Seville Continental Garage 4, Hamburg BK 3                  2046-04-28 · #1251
at Hamburg Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Seville                 4    4    3    0
Hamburg                 3    3    3    0

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lange       lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ferhat      1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bedrane cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Sané    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Zografo c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Oršić   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   5   4   3   0   0   2   4   1   0   0   0  0.600
  HR: Bedrane (1), off Fontana; Ferhat (2), off Anwar.
  a-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  b-Entered at 2B in the 7th.
  c-Entered at C in the 8th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 9th.

HAMBURG BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fontecchio  lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Tolkin  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Johannes    ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
Marchisio   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Huard       cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Boattin     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fontana     p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Ramadan ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Simonet ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Coney   ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.333
  e-Jeudy   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Abajian pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Natale  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Benseba pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mandi       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   3   3   2   0   0   3   5  11   1   1  0.120
  2B: Huard (4), Coney (2).
  SB: Tolkin (3).
  GIDP: Marchisio (2), Mandi (2).
  a-Ran for Fontecchio in the 2nd.
  b-Walked for Mandi in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Ran in the 3rd.
  f-Ran in the 4th.
  g-Replaced Mandi at SS in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Simonetti in the 8th.

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gonçalves (W, 3-1) ..    30   27 100%    3    3    3    5   11    0  123    -

HAMBURG BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fontana (L, 3-1) ....     4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    0    1   14    -
Anwar ...............     2    1   4%    1    1    1    0    0    1    6    -

  Batting order: Hamburg BK (home) batted first; Seville Continental Garage batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM CET. Weather: 73°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 515023.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Kevin Johannes Gabriel Tolkin (3B) 0–1
B 10 Frank Huard Franklin Boattin (3B) 0–2
B 15 Wardell Coney Patrick Jeudy (3B) 0–3
T 1 Aristotelis Zografos Robert Lange (3B) 1–3
T 1 Rachid Bedrane Aristotelis Zografos (1B) 2–3
T 1 Rachid Bedrane Rachid Bedrane (HR) 3–3
T 2 Amayas Ferhat Amayas Ferhat (HR) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hamburg Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 355' · RF 290' · 58' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates Bullpens in Play
Seville Continental Garage — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 2 HR
275' 355' 290' Wall 58' Roman Sané — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -13° · 50 ft Aristotelis Zografos — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Rachid Bedrane — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +41° · 456 ft Goran Oršić — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -8° · 62 ft Amayas Ferhat — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +27° · 431 ft
Hamburg BK — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
275' 355' 290' Wall 58' Alex Fontecchio — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Edoardo Marchisio — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 188 ft Frank Huard — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Raffaele Simonetti — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +16° · 86 ft Rhyne Abajian — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Frank Huard — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 323 ft Mehdi Mandi — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA +6° · 50 ft Wardell Coney — double · EV 93 mph · LA +15° · 175 ft Gabriel Tolkin — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft Edoardo Marchisio — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA -12° · 66 ft Wardell Coney — single · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Marcello Fontana — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 217 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Seville Continental Garage
53% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 7.4 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Amayas Ferhat 116 / +27° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Aristotelis Zografos 100 / +7° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
Rachid Bedrane 107 / +41° Center Home Run 3.6 → 4 +0.38
Roman Sané 53 / -13° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.15
Goran Oršić 65 / -8° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Hamburg BK
47% deserve-to-win  ·  3.3 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wardell Coney 93 / +15° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Frank Huard 92 / +36° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Frank Huard 76 / +13° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Raffaele Simonetti 64 / +16° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Alex Fontecchio 76 / +21° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
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