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Liverpool BC 12, Lima BC 10                                 2046-04-28 · #1253
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Liverpool              12   12   13    0
Lima                   10   10    8    1

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Service     c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Williamson  cf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.500
Bushamuka   1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Hampton     rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Mariappa    p  ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  1.000
Millender   2b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Kelly       3b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Etta        ss ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tong        lf ......    4   1   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  0.750
Fretz       j  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Watkins     j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Hašek       j  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.000
Totals                  30  12  13   4   0   0  12  10   7   2   1  0.433
  2B: Mariappa (5), Kelly (14), Tong (14), Fretz (13).
  CS: Kelly (2).
  HBP: Etta (2).
  GIDP: Etta (1).


LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krmenčík    lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   2   1   0  0.667
Howell      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-García  pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Yokobori    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Flanaga ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Balbirn cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Dochert ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Taylor  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Jones   c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Toone   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.000
  h-Černý   c  ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  i-Footman pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Service pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Holloway    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Weber       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  0.333
Totals                  28  10   8   1   1   0   8   8  11   2   1  0.286
  2B: Weber (19).
  3B: Černý (1).
  E: Docherty (2).
  HBP: Balbirnie (2).
  a-Ran for Howell in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Yokobori in the 5th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at C in the 4th.
  h-Entered at C in the 7th.
  i-Ran for Černý in the 5th.
  j-Ran in the 7th.

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mariappa (W, 4-2) ...    17   12  44%    4    5    5    4    7    0   70    -
Carrascal ...........    16   11  41%    2    3    3    4    4    0   54  1-0
Holzworth (F, 4) ....     4    4  15%    2    2    2    0    0    0   17  3-2

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yokobori ............    17   13  48%    2    2    2    6    3    0   61    -
Shulze (L, 0-1) .....     4    2   7%    2    3    3    0    0    0   14  3-2
Auda ................     6    3  11%    4    3    3    0    1    0   20  2-2
Sancho ..............     7    5  19%    4    2    2    1    2    0   32  2-2
Ivanova .............     7    4  15%    1    2    2    3    1    0   32  2-1

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted second; Liverpool BC batted first.
  First pitch 5:00 PM ET. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain. seed 251257.
  Powerplays: Lima BC — García NF (O10)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Francois Millender Fabio Williamson (3B) 1–0
T 13 Aaron Service Nehemiah Etta (3B) 2–0
T 13 Ho-chol Tong Francois Millender (3B) 3–0
T 13 Ho-chol Tong Fabio Williamson (3B) 4–0
T 13 Eamon Kelly Ho-chol Tong (2B) 5–0
T 15 Olivier Fretz Aaron Service (3B) 6–0
T 16 Dominik Hašek Nehemiah Etta (3B) 7–0
T 17 Rovman Mariappa Olivier Fretz (3B) 8–0
T 18 Fabio Williamson Dominic Hampton (2B) 9–0
T 22 Eamon Kelly Alexis Bushamuka (3B) 10–0
T 23 Dominik Hašek Olivier Fretz (3B) 11–0
T 23 Dominic Hampton Theo Watkins (2B) 12–0
B 2 Waltclaire Howell Ondřej Krmenčík (3B) 12–1
B 5 Graham Docherty Florian Weber (3B) 12–2
B 6 Ondřej Krmenčík Manus Holloway (3B) 12–3
B 6 Florian Weber Hanley García (3B) 12–4
B 12 Ctibor Černý Hanley García (1B) 12–5
B 15 Ondřej Krmenčík Max Footman (3B) 12–6
B 22 Graham Docherty Steeven Jones (3B) 12–7
B 22 Robert Flanagan Gruffydd Service (3B) 12–8
B 24 Florian Weber Hanley García (3B) 12–9
B 24 Florian Weber Graham Docherty (2B) 12–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Alexis Bushamuka — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +12° · 102 ft Rovman Mariappa — single · EV 83 mph · LA +35° · 257 ft Francois Millender — single · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 149 ft Nehemiah Etta — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 49 ft Ho-chol Tong — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Olivier Fretz — double · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 251 ft Dominik Hašek — infield_single · EV 81 mph · LA -12° · 77 ft Fabio Williamson — single · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 155 ft Dominik Hašek — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Ho-chol Tong — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Nehemiah Etta — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -3° · 75 ft Francois Millender — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 77 ft Rovman Mariappa — double · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 124 ft Dominic Hampton — error · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Dominik Hašek — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -6° · 63 ft Aaron Service — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Ho-chol Tong — single · EV 95 mph · LA +7° · 90 ft Eamon Kelly — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 99 ft Alexis Bushamuka — single · EV 78 mph · LA -6° · 74 ft Francois Millender — single · EV 92 mph · LA -9° · 87 ft Dominic Hampton — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +1° · 89 ft Ho-chol Tong — double · EV 100 mph · LA +48° · 400 ft Ho-chol Tong — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Eamon Kelly — double · EV 97 mph · LA +23° · 271 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Manus Holloway — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 158 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 115 ft Florian Weber — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 281 ft Hanley García — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Graham Docherty — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA +1° · 51 ft Robert Flanagan — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +24° · 281 ft Max Footman — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft Ctibor Černý — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 293 ft Peter Taylor — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +22° · 100 ft Ondřej Krmenčík — single · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 155 ft Florian Weber — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +10° · 87 ft Steeven Jones — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Robert Flanagan — single · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 113 ft Hanley García — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +47° · 231 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 96 mph · LA +22° · 254 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — single · EV 68 mph · LA +17° · 107 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Liverpool BC
70% deserve-to-win  ·  13.3 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 14.6 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+2.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rovman Mariappa 92 / +11° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Olivier Fretz 92 / +24° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Eamon Kelly 94 / +8° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Dominik Hašek 67 / -6° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Alexis Bushamuka 78 / -6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Lima BC
30% deserve-to-win  ·  8.7 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ctibor Černý 100 / +24° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Robert Flanagan 97 / +24° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Florian Weber 92 / +28° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Hanley García 76 / -14° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Peter Taylor 60 / +22° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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