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Osijek Moose 4, Split BK 3                                  2046-04-28 · #1256
at Léon Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Osijek                  4    4    3    0
Split                   3    3    7    0

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grasso      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Korhonen    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chigumbu    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Hezonja     c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Struthe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Knudsen     3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Sainio      1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Arajuuri    p  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Summane cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Brand   ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Koskinen    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dragoni     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ahtinen     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   9   4   3   1   0   0   3   4   1   0   1  0.333
  2B: Arajuuri (3).
  a-Ran for Hezonja in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 7th.

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solis       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Honka       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Seppälä c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Honkanen    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Saravan pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Šarić       1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Berger      2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Franssi pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Moten       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Ihalain ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Clardy  ph ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
  f-Johanne ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Becker  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Bautist pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   3   7   2   0   0   3   3   7   0   0  0.250
  2B: Johannes (2), Pikkujämsä (12).
  GIDP: Saravanan (1), Franssi (1), Becker (1), Bautista (1).
  a-Replaced Honka at C in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Honkanen in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Berger in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Doubled in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 4th.
  h-Ran in the 4th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Arajuuri (W, 6-1) ...    31   27 100%    7    3    1    3    7    0   95    -

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kovač (L, 0-2) ......    11    7  26%    3    3    3    3    1    0   44    -
Hakala ..............     2    1   4%    0    1    1    1    0    0   11  2-1

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted first; Osijek Moose batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 80°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 578692.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 14 Karlo Šarić Tony Bautista (3B) 0–1
B 18 Eemil Franssi Matias Ihalainen (3B) 0–2
B 21 Markku Pikkujämsä Wayne Clardy (3B) 0–3
T 6 Maurizio Grasso Eemeli Ahtinen (3B) 1–3
T 7 Ville Arajuuri Zan Struthers (3B) 2–3
T 7 Ville Arajuuri Tomi Sainio (1B) 3–3
T 8 Mika Korhonen Sven Knudsen (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Mika Korhonen — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — single · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Arttu Summanen — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 185 ft Sven Knudsen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Ville Arajuuri — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft Pasi Koskinen — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 86 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Henrik Honka — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +30° · 369 ft Hanno Honkanen — single · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Wayne Clardy — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +60° · 261 ft Karlo Šarić — fly_out · EV 54 mph · LA +27° · 96 ft Helmut Berger — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Deniz Johannes — double · EV 97 mph · LA +41° · 375 ft Hubertus Moten — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +40° · 384 ft Eemil Franssi — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +17° · 206 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Thilo Becker — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Tim Seppälä — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Surya Saravanan — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +48° · 337 ft Tony Bautista — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — double · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 148 ft Wayne Clardy — single · EV 66 mph · LA +25° · 133 ft Eemil Franssi — error · EV 94 mph · LA +6° · 89 ft Henrik Franssi — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Surya Saravanan — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Karlo Šarić — single · EV 81 mph · LA +7° · 77 ft Wayne Clardy — single · EV 66 mph · LA +26° · 139 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
15% deserve-to-win  ·  3.4 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 3.3 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ville Arajuuri 92 / +19° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Tawanda Chigumbu 92 / +26° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Sven Knudsen 76 / +4° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Eemeli Ahtinen 76 / -5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.71
Pasi Koskinen 76 / +11° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Split BK
85% deserve-to-win  ·  8.2 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -5.2 vs expected
contact: 14.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-5.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hubertus Moten 99 / +40° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.58
Henrik Honka 103 / +30° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Surya Saravanan 92 / +48° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.21
Henrik Franssi 92 / +36° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.04
Eemil Franssi 95 / +17° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
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