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Provideniya-Reid BK 2, Smirnykh Storms 0                    2046-04-28 · #1263
at Edwards Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Smirnykh                0    0    0    0
Provideniya-Reid        2    2    5    0

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kamenskaya  p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Su      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tcherne ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Coonin  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Pervak  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Reyngol rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Reyes   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Simakin 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Wildero cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Amini       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gormanov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   0   0   0   0   0   2  14   0   0  0.000
  HBP: Reyngold (1).
  GIDP: Pervak (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at C in the 4th.
  g-Entered at 2B in the 4th.
  h-Entered at CF in the 8th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Brunnbergov c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hallov      lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Lanin   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Robertsov   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   1  0.000
Rudnev      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hin         2b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Elliottov   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
King        ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Thestrup    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Williamsov  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Poole   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Scott       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Elisaldezov j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   2   5   0   0   0   2   4   8   0   1  0.185
  GIDP: Scott (1).
  Squeeze: Robertsov (1 RBI).
  a-Singled for Hallov in the 8th.
  b-Grounded out for Williamsov in the 7th.

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kamenskaya (L, 2-1) .    27   24  89%    5    2    2    3    6    0  103    -
Handin ..............     4    3  11%    0    0    0    1    2    0   17  2-0

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Williamsov (W, 1-2) .    29   27 100%    0    0    0    2   14    0  107    -

  Batting order: Provideniya-Reid BK (home) batted first; Smirnykh Storms batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM ANAT. Weather: 55°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 322383.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 13 Kaylan Robertsov Evan King (3B) 0–1
B 24 Beals Lanin Jamal Hallov (3B) 0–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 360' · CF 443' · RF 376' · 18' wall). Cavernous.
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Terrance Gormanov — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -18° · 63 ft Nikolay Tchernenko — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 107 ft Rhyne Coonin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 189 ft Yuri Pervak — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +4° · 78 ft Tommy Amini — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Grigori Reyngold — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA +0° · 68 ft Tommy Amini — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA +7° · 65 ft
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Zan Hin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft Evan King — single · EV 59 mph · LA +26° · 108 ft Soane Williamsov — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Bryson Scott — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft Chase Poole — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Beals Lanin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 79 ft Marc Brunnbergov — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft Zan Hin — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +0° · 49 ft Evan King — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Evgueni Stepanov — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA +3° · 52 ft Ari Elisaldezov — single · EV 52 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Bryson Scott — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Marc Brunnbergov — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -7° · 59 ft Nikolay Rudnev — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 206 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Storms
6% deserve-to-win  ·  0.7 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 2.1 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-2.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nikolay Tchernenko 84 / +11° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Yuri Pervak 82 / +4° Center Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Tommy Amini 76 / +0° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Grigori Reyngold 72 / +0° Pull Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Rhyne Coonin 76 / +27° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.21
Provideniya-Reid BK
94% deserve-to-win  ·  2.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.8 vs expected
contact: 5.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Evan King 59 / +26° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.82
Marc Brunnbergov 76 / +20° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Ari Elisaldezov 52 / +12° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Zan Hin 76 / +13° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Beals Lanin 76 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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