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Tynda Police 17, Kaechon Tornados 5                         2046-04-29 · #1294
at Budiman Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Tynda                  17   17   14    1
Kaechon                 5    5    8    1

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Wrightov    rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Chernov pr ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Keramidas   3b ......    3   2   2   1   1   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Komatsu     lf ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Kobori      p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Han         2b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Gracin      1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Dōan        cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Matviyenko  c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Nelson      j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Aoki        j  ......    4   3   3   2   0   0   3   0   0   1   0  0.750
Totals                  37  17  14   7   1   1  16   4   7   1   1  0.378
  2B: Keramidas (11), Komatsu (7), Han (4), Gracin (2), Aoki 2 (6), Dōan (4).
  3B: Keramidas (2).
  HR: Chernov (1), off Gerald.
  SB: Komatsu (3), Kobori (1).
  CS: Keramidas (2), Komatsu (1), Han (4).
  E: Han (3).
  HBP: Kukushkin (1), Dōan (2).
  a-Ran for Wrightov in the 1st.

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Coffel      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Torres      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Chapman     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Stiglic     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kamara      lf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Elder       c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   1   0  0.333
Elliott     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Gerald      p  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Frías   c  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Howell      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   1  0.000
Scola       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   5   8   2   0   0   4   7  10   1   1  0.320
  2B: Frías (5), Kamara (8).
  E: Coffel (1).
  GIDP: Stiglic (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kobori ..............    12   10  37%    4    1    1    1    4    0   51    -
Ledovskikh (W, 2-2) .    15   11  41%    4    4    4    6    3    0   71  1-1
Biryukov (F, 12) ....     5    6  22%    0    0    0    0    3    0   15  2-0

KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gerald (L, 0-2) .....    15    6  22%    8   10    6    2    2    1   48    -
Cako ................    15    9  33%    6    6    4    0    1    0   55  1-0
Schlecht ............    13   12  44%    0    1    1    2    4    0   58  1-1

  Batting order: Kaechon Tornados (home) batted second; Tynda Police batted first.
  First pitch 1:05 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind cross · Clear · Heavy rain. seed 893933.
  Walk-Back runs: off Gerald 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Yūto Komatsu Aleksandr Chernov (2B) 1–0
T 2 Seung-gi Han Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 2–0
T 3 Josiah Nelson Yūto Komatsu (3B) 3–0
T 3 Shozo Aoki Josiah Nelson (1B) 4–0
T 3 Turner Gracin Shozo Aoki (2B) 5–0
T 6 Shozo Aoki Yoshihito Dōan (3B) 6–0
T 6 Shozo Aoki Denys Matviyenko (2B) 7–0
T 6 Aleksandr Chernov Shozo Aoki (1B) 8–0
T 6 Aleksandr Chernov Aleksandr Chernov (HR) 9–0
T 6 Panagiotis Keramidas Aleksandr Chernov (3B) 10–0
T 10 Yoshihito Dōan Yūto Komatsu (3B) 11–0
T 12 Panagiotis Keramidas Yoshihito Dōan (2B) 12–0
T 12 Panagiotis Keramidas Roman Kukushkin (1B) 13–0
T 12 Yūto Komatsu Panagiotis Keramidas (3B) 14–0
T 12 Kaichi Kobori Yūto Komatsu (3B) 15–0
T 12 Seung-gi Han Kaichi Kobori (2B) 16–0
T 15 Yoshihito Dōan Shozo Aoki (2B) 17–0
B 4 Oiva Kamara Karl-Anthony Frías (3B) 17–1
B 12 Mayer Scola Kwinten Gerald (3B) 17–2
B 14 Oiva Kamara Mayer Scola (2B) 17–3
B 14 Junior Elder Quinton Stiglic (3B) 17–4
B 20 Karl-Anthony Frías Kwinten Gerald (3B) 17–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 391' · RF 342' · 31' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 5 1B · 8 XBH · 1 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Fiske Wrightov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 177 ft Josiah Nelson — single · EV 91 mph · LA +9° · 98 ft Shozo Aoki — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 262 ft Turner Gracin — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 338 ft Aleksandr Chernov — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — double · EV 105 mph · LA +18° · 263 ft Kaichi Kobori — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -0° · 95 ft Yoshihito Dōan — double · EV 102 mph · LA +16° · 217 ft Denys Matviyenko — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 285 ft Roman Kukushkin — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -6° · 93 ft Shozo Aoki — single · EV 89 mph · LA +10° · 111 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 106 mph · LA +6° · 101 ft Seung-gi Han — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -1° · 74 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — triple · EV 105 mph · LA +30° · 380 ft Kaichi Kobori — error · EV 81 mph · LA +12° · 102 ft Yoshihito Dōan — error · EV 85 mph · LA -5° · 81 ft Shozo Aoki — error · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 205 ft Yūto Komatsu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 387 ft Seung-gi Han — double · EV 111 mph · LA +14° · 224 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -11° · 95 ft Shozo Aoki — double · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Aleksandr Chernov — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -7° · 94 ft Yoshihito Dōan — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -26° · 79 ft Yūto Komatsu — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Mayer Scola — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA +14° · 64 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — double · EV 98 mph · LA +21° · 258 ft James Chapman — error · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Quinton Stiglic — single · EV 68 mph · LA +4° · 64 ft Enrique Torres — single · EV 83 mph · LA +17° · 153 ft Jasper Coffel — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -12° · 60 ft Kwinten Gerald — single · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 81 ft Oiva Kamara — double · EV 87 mph · LA +45° · 306 ft Mayer Scola — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 119 ft Quinton Stiglic — fielders_choice · EV 94 mph · LA -1° · 89 ft Junior Elder — fielders_choice · EV 89 mph · LA +8° · 84 ft Kwinten Gerald — single · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Sandesh Lakshman — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 171 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — single · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Oiva Kamara — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Quinton Stiglic — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA +4° · 61 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tynda Police
84% deserve-to-win  ·  14.4 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 26.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 26.0 (-0.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 3 CS (-1.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shozo Aoki 100 / +15° Pull Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Shozo Aoki 91 / +16° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Panagiotis Keramidas 105 / +30° Oppo Triple 2.1 → 3 +0.94
Denys Matviyenko 92 / +29° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Fiske Wrightov 76 / -13° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Kaechon Tornados
16% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.4 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oiva Kamara 87 / +45° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.35
Mayer Scola 94 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Quinton Stiglic 68 / +4° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Karl-Anthony Frías 76 / +4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Sandesh Lakshman 81 / +21° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
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