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Provideniya-Reid BK 37, Smirnykh Storms 1                   2046-04-29 · #1299
at Edwards Ground
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Smirnykh                1      0    1    4    0
Provideniya-Reid       37      -   37   24    0

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vatutin     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jonesov     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mykolenko   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Karavayev   lf ......    2   0   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Chang       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tursunov    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Reyngold    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vatutin ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wilderov    cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kravchenko  p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Gormanov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Amini       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   1   4   2   0   0   1   1  13   0   0  0.143
  2B: Karavayev 2 (2).
  CS: Karavayev 2 (2).
  a-Grounded out for Reyngold in the 6th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Brunnbergov c  ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.200
Taylor      ss ......    5   5   4   0   1   1   4   1   0   0   0  0.800
Ortwerthov  1b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Robertsov   cf ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   8   0   1   0   0  0.600
Rudnev      rf ......    3   3   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Hin         lf ......    3   3   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Poole       2b ......    5   4   3   2   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.600
Elliottov   3b ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.750
Hallov      p  ......    3   3   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.333
Scott       j  ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   1  0.333
Stepanov    j  ......    4   5   4   1   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  1.000
Elisaldezov j  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  46  37  24   8   1   5  36  10  11   0   1  0.522
  2B: Robertsov 2 (6), Hin (4), Poole 2 (6), Elliottov (1), Stepanov (10), Hallov (2).
  3B: Taylor (2).
  HR: Taylor (3), off Ozdoyev; Scott (3), off Dementieva; Poole (3), off Chang; Stepanov 2 (3), off Ivakhnenko, Ozdoyev.
  SB: Rudnev (1).
  HBP: Ortwerthov (2).


SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kravchenko ..........     7    5  19%    2    2    2    1    2    0   28    -
Ivakhnenko ..........     4    0   0%    2    3    3    2    0    1   14  1-1
Kravtsov (L, 1-0) ...     7    3  11%    3    6    5    1    2    0   27  3-3
Borcherding-Johnsonov     10    5  19%    4    5    5    2    2    0   45  1-0
Ozdoyev .............     9    5  19%    2    6    1    1    2    2   30  1-1
Dementieva ..........     8    4  15%    3    5    3    1    2    1   28  1-1
Tursunov ............    10    5  19%    4    5    5    2    3    0   40  2-1
Chang ...............     4    0   0%    4    5    4    0    0    1    9  1-1

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hallov (W, 4-3) .....    28   27 100%    3    1    1    1   13    0  112    -

  Batting order: Provideniya-Reid BK (home) batted first; Smirnykh Storms batted second.
  Seconds: SS1 o26 (1-37).
  First pitch 1:10 PM ANAT. Weather: 42°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 882084.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kravtsov 1, off Ozdoyev 1, off Dementieva 2, off Chang 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Kaylan Robertsov Dexter Taylor (3B) 0–1
B 5 Chase Poole Nikolay Rudnev (2B) 0–2
B 5 Mackenzie Elliottov Chase Poole (2B) 0–3
B 5 Evgueni Stepanov Mackenzie Elliottov (1B) 0–4
B 5 Evgueni Stepanov Evgueni Stepanov (HR) 0–5
B 5 Marc Brunnbergov Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 0–6
B 5 Marc Brunnbergov Ari Elisaldezov (2B) 0–7
B 5 Dexter Taylor Pat Hallov (3B) 0–8
B 5 Dexter Taylor Marc Brunnbergov (3B) 0–9
B 8 Evgueni Stepanov Dexter Taylor (2B) 0–10
B 8 Evgueni Stepanov Bryson Scott (1B) 0–11
B 10 Chase Poole Zan Hin (1B) 0–12
B 13 Kaylan Robertsov Chase Poole (3B) 0–13
B 13 Kaylan Robertsov Pat Hallov (2B) 0–14
B 13 Kaylan Robertsov Marc Brunnbergov (1B) 0–15
B 13 Nikolay Rudnev Kaylan Robertsov (2B) 0–16
B 13 Bryson Scott Nikolay Rudnev (3B) 0–17
B 14 Evgueni Stepanov Evgueni Stepanov (HR) 0–18
B 14 Ari Elisaldezov Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 0–19
B 18 Dexter Taylor Ari Elisaldezov (2B) 0–20
B 18 Dexter Taylor Mackenzie Elliottov (1B) 0–21
B 18 Dexter Taylor Dexter Taylor (HR) 0–22
B 18 Kaylan Robertsov Dexter Taylor (3B) 0–23
B 20 Bryson Scott Kaylan Robertsov (2B) 0–24
B 20 Bryson Scott Bryson Scott (HR) 0–25
B 20 Evgueni Stepanov Bryson Scott (3B) 0–26
B 20 Chase Poole Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 0–27
B 22 Mackenzie Elliottov Zan Hin (2B) 0–28
B 22 Pat Hallov Mackenzie Elliottov (2B) 0–29
B 23 Kaylan Robertsov Pat Hallov (3B) 0–30
B 23 Kaylan Robertsov Dexter Taylor (2B) 0–31
B 23 Kaylan Robertsov Tracy Ortwerthov (1B) 0–32
B 23 Nikolay Rudnev Kaylan Robertsov (2B) 0–33
B 23 Zan Hin Nikolay Rudnev (1B) 0–34
B 23 Chase Poole Zan Hin (2B) 0–35
B 23 Chase Poole Chase Poole (HR) 0–36
B 23 Mackenzie Elliottov Chase Poole (3B) 0–37
T 9 Jan-michael Jonesov Jarvis Wilderov (2B) 1–37
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 360' · CF 443' · RF 376' · 18' wall). Cavernous.
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Andriy Mykolenko — line_out · EV 91 mph · LA +11° · 124 ft Mário Karavayev — double · EV 100 mph · LA +47° · 395 ft Grigori Reyngold — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -10° · 61 ft Jarvis Wilderov — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 149 ft Teymuraz Vatutin — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Jan-michael Jonesov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Mário Karavayev — double · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 210 ft Jan-michael Jonesov — fly_out · EV 62 mph · LA +41° · 154 ft Yuri Vatutin — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Andriy Mykolenko — ground_out · EV 74 mph · LA +3° · 71 ft Tommy Amini — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +7° · 74 ft
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
33 BIP· 10 1B · 9 XBH · 5 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Marc Brunnbergov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 229 ft Dexter Taylor — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Kaylan Robertsov — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Chase Poole — double · EV 88 mph · LA +37° · 299 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — single · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Evgueni Stepanov — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Ari Elisaldezov — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +26° · 221 ft Zan Hin — single · EV 83 mph · LA +22° · 192 ft Nikolay Rudnev — single · EV 78 mph · LA -0° · 74 ft Pat Hallov — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 193 ft Marc Brunnbergov — single · EV 113 mph · LA +6° · 108 ft Dexter Taylor — single · EV 100 mph · LA -9° · 95 ft Evgueni Stepanov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 319 ft Chase Poole — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Bryson Scott — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 84 ft Ari Elisaldezov — error · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Pat Hallov — double · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 130 ft Kaylan Robertsov — double · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 445 ft Evgueni Stepanov — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +46° · 480 ft Marc Brunnbergov — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft Bryson Scott — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 464 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — double · EV 99 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Nikolay Rudnev — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Zan Hin — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 273 ft Dexter Taylor — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Kaylan Robertsov — single · EV 88 mph · LA -13° · 84 ft Evgueni Stepanov — single · EV 110 mph · LA +22° · 330 ft Chase Poole — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — single · EV 100 mph · LA -3° · 95 ft Kaylan Robertsov — double · EV 112 mph · LA +13° · 216 ft Chase Poole — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +34° · 479 ft Marc Brunnbergov — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +58° · 480 ft Dexter Taylor — single · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Storms
0% deserve-to-win  ·  1.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.1 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mário Karavayev 88 / +21° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Andriy Mykolenko 91 / +11° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Teymuraz Vatutin 82 / +9° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Yuri Vatutin 77 / +12° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Jarvis Wilderov 84 / +16° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.38
Provideniya-Reid BK
100% deserve-to-win  ·  28.1 expected runs
actual 37 runs  ·  +8.9 vs expected
contact: 45.7 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 49.0 (+3.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dexter Taylor 100 / +11° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Marc Brunnbergov 119 / +58° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.64
Marc Brunnbergov 100 / +18° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Marc Brunnbergov 100 / +10° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Kaylan Robertsov 119 / +26° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.04
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