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Sydney Universal Tile Works 15, Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery 13 2046-04-29 · #1306
at Lane Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Slavyan-Torg           13   13   13    0
Sydney                 15   15   15    0

SLAVYAN-TORG STANDARD BREWERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      cf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Su          lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Washingtono c  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Awujin      ss ......    2   3   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Goodsonov   1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Collinsov   rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ishihara    2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Blair       p  ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Cha     cf ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mitchellov  j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Mitchell    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fawcettov   j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  32  13  13   6   1   3  13   4   6   0   0  0.406
  2B: Taylor (16), Su (8), Washingtonov (12), Fawcettov (18), Blair 2 (2).
  3B: Cha (1).
  HR: Awujin (6), off Jones; Mitchellov (3), off Wanjiku; Fawcettov (7), off Jones.
  SB: Awujin (8), Ishihara (1).
  CS: Mitchellov (4), Mitchell (5).
  HBP: Goodsonov (2), Ishihara (1).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

SYDNEY UNIVERSAL TILE WORKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Correia     cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Hassan      ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Sané    ss ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Zyl         rf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Mahfouz pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Behardien   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Paintsil    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Antoine 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Zwelibanzi  2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Ati-Zig pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jones       p  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Barth   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Toumi   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Lavrusk ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Katongo 1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Nuamah  pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  j-Stewart c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  k-Mostafa pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  l-Sambiss cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mwaikenda   j  ......    4   2   3   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Patel       j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Popp        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  37  15  15   6   0   0  13   5  10   0   0  0.405
  2B: Mwaikenda 2 (19), Zyl (1), Lavrusky (2), Nuamah (5), Sambissa (3).
  SB: Correia (4).
  CS: Popp (4).
  HBP: Katongo (1).
  a-Replaced Hassan at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Zyl in the 2nd.
  c-Replaced Paintsil at 3B in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Zwelibanzi in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Jones in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 1st.
  g-Doubled in the 2nd.
  h-Replaced Popp at 1B in the 4th.
  i-Ran for Antoine in the 5th.
  j-Replaced Lavrusky at C in the 5th.
  k-Ran for Stewart in the 5th.
  l-Replaced Popp at CF in the 6th.

SLAVYAN-TORG STANDARD BREWERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blair (L, 1-1) ......    21   15  56%    8    7    7    1    5    0   78    -
Kobelt ..............    15    9  33%    5    5    5    3    3    0   58  1-0
Mitchell ............     5    3  11%    1    3    3    1    2    0   22  2-2

SYDNEY UNIVERSAL TILE WORKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jones ...............    11    9  33%    4    3    3    0    3    2   36    -
Rehman ..............     6    2   7%    4    4    4    0    0    0   22  1-1
Wanjiku (W, 1-1) ....    13    9  33%    3    4    3    4    2    1   44  1-1
Sewing (F, 7) .......     8    7  26%    2    2    2    0    1    0   22  2-1

  Batting order: Sydney Universal Tile Works (home) batted first; Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery batted second.
  First pitch 1:35 PM VLAT. Weather: 53°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 126378.
  Walk-Back runs: off Wanjiku 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Faf van Zyl Maxwell Mwaikenda (2B) 0–1
B 5 Ellsworth Lavrusky Amr Mahfouz (3B) 0–2
B 5 Ellsworth Lavrusky Marcelo Ati-Zigi (1B) 0–3
B 5 Mouctar Jones Ellsworth Lavrusky (2B) 0–4
B 10 Grant Popp James Patel (3B) 0–5
B 15 Hugo Correia Khaled Mostafa (3B) 0–6
B 15 Hugo Correia Quinton Barth (2B) 0–7
B 19 Serge-Junior Sambissa Jan Sané (3B) 0–8
B 20 Kibu Nuamah Federico Katongo (1B) 0–9
B 22 Quinton Barth Serge-Junior Sambissa (3B) 0–10
B 22 Quinton Barth Kibu Nuamah (2B) 0–11
B 24 James Patel Hugo Correia (3B) 0–12
B 25 Maxwell Mwaikenda Jan Sané (2B) 0–13
B 25 Maxwell Mwaikenda James Patel (1B) 0–14
B 26 Kibu Nuamah Maxwell Mwaikenda (2B) 0–15
T 1 Thai-son Awujin Kevin Washingtonov (1B) 1–15
T 1 Thai-son Awujin Thai-son Awujin (HR) 2–15
T 6 Kamron Fawcettov Kamron Fawcettov (HR) 3–15
T 9 Keiundre Blair Byung-hoon Cha (3B) 4–15
T 10 Kevin Washingtonov Keiundre Blair (2B) 5–15
T 11 Yujie Su Thai-son Awujin (2B) 6–15
T 11 Yujie Su Emmanuel Goodsonov (1B) 7–15
T 11 Dexter Mitchellov Yujie Su (2B) 8–15
T 11 Dexter Mitchellov Dexter Mitchellov (HR) 9–15
T 12 Kamron Fawcettov Dexter Mitchellov (3B) 10–15
T 15 Keiundre Blair Berkeley Collinsov (1B) 11–15
T 20 Ali Mitchell Thai-son Awujin (2B) 12–15
T 26 Debraun Taylor Rui Ishihara (2B) 13–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Lane Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 395' · CF 407' · RF 369' · 13' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Wire Basket Crescent Grandstand
Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 3 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
395' 407' 369' Debraun Taylor — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 132 ft Kevin Washingtonov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 374 ft Thai-son Awujin — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Yujie Su — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Ali Mitchell — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 247 ft Kamron Fawcettov — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Rui Ishihara — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 122 ft Byung-hoon Cha — triple · EV 117 mph · LA +19° · 339 ft Keiundre Blair — double · EV 114 mph · LA +18° · 302 ft Debraun Taylor — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +51° · 480 ft Kevin Washingtonov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 173 ft Thai-son Awujin — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 147 ft Yujie Su — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 275 ft Dexter Mitchellov — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 468 ft Ali Mitchell — line_out · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 110 ft Kamron Fawcettov — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 223 ft Keiundre Blair — double · EV 116 mph · LA +20° · 354 ft Emmanuel Goodsonov — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 319 ft Yujie Su — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Ali Mitchell — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 128 ft Kamron Fawcettov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 177 ft Keiundre Blair — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +32° · 277 ft Debraun Taylor — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 139 ft
Sydney Universal Tile Works — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 8 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
395' 407' 369' Maxwell Mwaikenda — double · EV 107 mph · LA +16° · 237 ft Faf van Zyl — double · EV 88 mph · LA +46° · 308 ft Ellsworth Lavrusky — double · EV 94 mph · LA +23° · 257 ft Mouctar Jones — single · EV 85 mph · LA -22° · 81 ft Jan Sané — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +33° · 321 ft Grant Popp — single · EV 80 mph · LA -12° · 76 ft Federico Katongo — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +23° · 319 ft Olivier Antoine — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 96 ft Marnus Stewart — single · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft Serge-Junior Sambissa — double · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 219 ft Kibu Nuamah — double · EV 107 mph · LA +11° · 175 ft Quinton Barth — single · EV 105 mph · LA -8° · 100 ft James Patel — ground_out · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 219 ft Maxwell Mwaikenda — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +55° · 360 ft Mouctar Jones — single · EV 85 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Grant Popp — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +45° · 171 ft Jan Sané — single · EV 78 mph · LA +8° · 71 ft Kibu Nuamah — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -8° · 68 ft Hugo Correia — single · EV 79 mph · LA +14° · 114 ft Maxwell Mwaikenda — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 253 ft Hugo Correia — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA +2° · 60 ft Maxwell Mwaikenda — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 295 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery
78% deserve-to-win  ·  18.8 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -5.8 vs expected
contact: 35.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 30.0 (-5.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Debraun Taylor 119 / +51° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.63
Debraun Taylor 100 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Rui Ishihara 100 / +9° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Byung-hoon Cha 117 / +19° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.26
Kamron Fawcettov 100 / +13° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Sydney Universal Tile Works
22% deserve-to-win  ·  9.9 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  +5.1 vs expected
contact: 17.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Federico Katongo 105 / +23° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
James Patel 104 / +15° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.37
Faf van Zyl 88 / +46° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.34
Jan Sané 94 / +33° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Ellsworth Lavrusky 94 / +23° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
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