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Hermosillo BC 8, Pinar del Río Ospreys 4                    2046-04-29 · #1309
at Brown-Murray Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              8    8   10    1
Pinar del Río           4    4    5    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Norris      cf ......    3   2   3   1   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Pirela      3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Tang    pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fleishman   1b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Gallati pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Corozo      c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Blake   pr ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rosa        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Fageros pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ashe        rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.333
Jackson     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Watling pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Anthony     2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Profar  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Kretsch ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  h-Lenis   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.500
Totals                  28   8  10   3   0   1   8   5   8   2   0  0.357
  2B: Norris (2), Fleishman (7), Blake (4).
  HR: Norris (1), off Jensen.
  SB: Norris (2), Gallatin (4).
  E: Gallatin (3).
  HBP: Corozo (2).
  a-Ran for Pirela in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Fleishman in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Corozo in the 1st.
  d-Ran for Rosa in the 5th.
  e-Ran for Jackson in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Anthony in the 2nd.
  g-Batted in the 2nd.
  h-Struck out for Profar in the 8th.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
García      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Bautist 3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Barnhar 1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Buchhol c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Coyle   rf ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Pérez   3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Cabrera cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  g-Coggesh c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Cruz    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Bamba       j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  0.667
Esponda     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   5   1   0   0   3   6  11   0   1  0.192
  2B: Cabrera (7).
  HBP: García (1).
  GIDP: Barnhardt (4).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at 1B in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 4th.
  d-Entered at RF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 5th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 5th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Entered at CF in the 8th.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rosa (W, 4-0) .......    33   27 100%    5    4    4    6   11    0  133    -

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
García ..............     9    5  19%    4    1    1    0    2    0   39    -
Reyes ...............     6    5  19%    3    2    2    2    1    0   21  3-1
Jensen (L, 0-1) .....    15   13  48%    3    4    4    3    5    1   65  2-0
Laughlin ............     4    4  15%    0    1    1    0    0    0   15  1-1

  Batting order: Pinar del Río Ospreys (home) batted second; Hermosillo BC batted first.
  First pitch 1:10 PM. Weather: 60°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain. seed 203954.
  Walk-Back runs: off Laughlin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Jair Anthony Wenhao Tang (3B) 1–0
T 6 Juan Norris Troy Gallatin (3B) 2–0
T 9 Guillermo Ashe Shawn Profar (3B) 3–0
T 14 Soane Strachan Mekhi Fageros (3B) 4–0
T 23 Juan Norris Troy Gallatin (3B) 5–0
T 23 Juan Norris Tom Watling (1B) 6–0
T 23 Juan Norris Juan Norris (HR) 7–0
T 23 Mitchell O'Malley Juan Norris (3B) 8–0
B 10 Salif Bamba Gen Miyazaki (3B) 8–1
B 16 Cristian Cabrera Cameron Coyle (3B) 8–2
B 21 Salif Bamba Cameron Coyle (3B) 8–3
B 21 David Pérez Víctor Bautista (3B) 8–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brown-Murray Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 419' · RF 349' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
338' 419' 349' Juan Norris — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 177 ft Rafael Pirela — single · EV 92 mph · LA -19° · 87 ft Stuart Fleishman — double · EV 102 mph · LA +26° · 330 ft Jair Anthony — single · EV 80 mph · LA +21° · 172 ft Don Blake — double · EV 102 mph · LA +31° · 365 ft Shawn Profar — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 175 ft Soane Strachan — error · EV 82 mph · LA -20° · 78 ft Troy Gallatin — fielders_choice · EV 58 mph · LA +0° · 55 ft Mitchell O'Malley — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +40° · 273 ft Juan Norris — single · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 278 ft Guillermo Ashe — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 143 ft Denis Jackson — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 127 ft Logan Kretschman — single · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 148 ft Troy Gallatin — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +3° · 74 ft Juan Norris — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +44° · 479 ft Wenhao Tang — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 104 ft
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 419' 349' Joaquin Esponda — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -8° · 56 ft Sekou Barnhardt — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 93 ft Cameron Coyle — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Cristian Cabrera — double · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft Salif Bamba — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft Paul Coggeshall — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 116 ft Sekou Barnhardt — double_play · EV 85 mph · LA -4° · 81 ft Cameron Coyle — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 69 ft Cristian Cabrera — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +32° · 243 ft Salif Bamba — single · EV 92 mph · LA -11° · 87 ft Sekou Barnhardt — error · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
85% deserve-to-win  ·  10.9 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -2.9 vs expected
contact: 16.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Denis Jackson 98 / +10° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Juan Norris 100 / +13° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Shawn Profar 86 / +18° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Soane Strachan 82 / -20° Center Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.66
Wenhao Tang 83 / +11° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Pinar del Río Ospreys
15% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 6.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cristian Cabrera 92 / +11° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Paul Coggeshall 92 / +10° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Salif Bamba 92 / -11° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Cristian Cabrera 82 / +32° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Sekou Barnhardt 76 / +12° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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