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Brasília Stevedores 8, Pan Am Mountaineers 6                2046-04-29 · #1313
at Spite Hyyrynen Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            6    6    6    0
Brasília                8    8    5    0

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wanjiru     1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Aedo        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Catley      3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Shalimova   2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Dybala      cf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Heredia     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Santos      ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
DeLuca      c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Tuominen    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Melo        j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Sampaio     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Paniagua    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  27   6   6   3   0   0   5   7  13   0   0  0.222
  2B: Wanjiru (1), Dybala (3), DeLuca (1).
  CS: Sampaio (2).
  HBP: Melo (2).


BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kobayashi-F lf ......    2   0   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Adames      3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ferreira    p  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Martine 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Watanab ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Delgado c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Cruz    c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Guerra  c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Encarna c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Polanco     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  15   8   5   3   0   2   6   3   4   0   0  0.333
  2B: Kobayashi-Ferreira 2 (7), Adames (5).
  HR: Cabrera (5), off Tuominen; Ferreira (1), off Tuominen.
  SB: Delgado (6).
  CS: Delgado (2).
  HBP: Delgado (3).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Entered at C in the 9th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tuominen (L, 0-5) ...    15   10  37%    4    6    4    2    4    2   54    -
Féliz ...............     4    2   7%    1    2    2    1    0    0   11  1-1

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferreira ............    10    7  26%    1    2    2    3    2    0   42    -
Genovese (W, 3-2) ...    16   14  52%    3    2    2    1    8    0   56  1-1
Macedo ..............     9    6  22%    2    2    2    3    3    0   37  1-0

  Batting order: Brasília Stevedores (home) batted second; Pan Am Mountaineers batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 85°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain. seed 626598.
  Walk-Back runs: off Tuominen 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Sandy Heredia Tom Wanjiru (3B) 1–0
T 7 Eulis De los Santos Paulo Dybala (3B) 2–0
T 7 Augusto DeLuca Eulis De los Santos (1B) 3–0
T 7 Francisco Melo Augusto DeLuca (2B) 4–0
T 24 Néstor Paniagua James Catley (2B) 5–0
T 25 Paulo Dybala Richard Shalimova (2B) 6–0
B 1 Junior Cabrera Junior Cabrera (HR) 6–1
B 1 Joaquín Saprissa Junior Cabrera (3B) 6–2
B 7 Manny Adames Igor Watanabe-Santos (1B) 6–3
B 7 Julian Ferreira Manny Adames (3B) 6–4
B 7 Julian Ferreira Julian Ferreira (HR) 6–5
B 9 Joaquín Saprissa Julian Ferreira (3B) 6–6
B 12 Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira Manny Cruz (2B) 6–7
B 12 Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira Wilmer Guerra (1B) 6–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Hyyrynen Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 336' · CF 392' · RF 327' · 33' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Tom Wanjiru — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 312 ft Abel Aedo — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 113 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Néstor Paniagua — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Augusto DeLuca — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 244 ft Francisco Melo — single · EV 98 mph · LA -9° · 93 ft Sandy Heredia — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Richard Shalimova — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -19° · 88 ft Néstor Paniagua — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +25° · 265 ft Augusto DeLuca — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 104 ft Paulo Dybala — double · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 133 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — single · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Néstor Paniagua — single · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 192 ft
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 0 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Junior Cabrera — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +42° · 480 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 343 ft Albert Encarnación — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 356 ft Igor Watanabe-Santos — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Manny Adames — double · EV 100 mph · LA +49° · 397 ft Julian Ferreira — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +35° · 431 ft Jean Delgado — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Léonardo Martinelli — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +12° · 116 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pan Am Mountaineers
50% deserve-to-win  ·  8.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 11.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-2.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Abel Aedo 100 / +8° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Paulo Dybala 88 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Augusto DeLuca 88 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Néstor Paniagua 93 / +25° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Ronaldo Sampaio 82 / +9° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Brasília Stevedores
50% deserve-to-win  ·  8.2 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 14.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Albert Encarnación 119 / +20° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Jean Delgado 100 / +14° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Manny Adames 100 / +49° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.11
Julian Ferreira 107 / +35° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira 100 / +10° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
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