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Verkhnegrad Imperials 12, Casablanca Elk 8                  2046-04-29 · #1315
at Tide Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad            12      0   12   14    0
Casablanca              6      2    8    9    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Medvedev    rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Trubin      cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Maksyme pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Kambolov    2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Fomina- ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pavlenko    3b ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kulikovskay ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.333
Yeom        1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  0.500
Buchina     c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Wahyudi     lf ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Chernov ph ......    3   0   3   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    4   2   5   2   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.250
Savinykh    j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fokina      j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  12  14   3   0   0   9   6  10   3   0  0.412
  2B: Pavlenko (2), Tsybysheva 2 (19).
  HBP: Savinykh (5).
  GIDP: Fokina (1).
  a-Ran for Trubin in the 5th.
  b-Batted for Kambolov in the 5th.
  c-Batted in the 4th.

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moukoko     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     ss ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Strydom ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Toit        rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Martínez    3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Maritz  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adeleye     c  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Yarmolenko  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Cherif  ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Benseba rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ousou   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Inkoom  c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Russo       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Mpasi       j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Demissie    j  ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  31   8   9   3   0   0   8   7  10   0   0  0.290
  2B: Mthembu (3), Adeleye (1), Cherif (9).
  SB: Strydom (4).
  CS: Mthembu (1).
  a-Walked for Mthembu in the 8th.
  b-Struck out for Martínez in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Yarmolenko in the 6th.
  d-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 7th.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Barinov (W, 3-1) ....    30   22  81%    7    7    7    5    7    0  119    -
Santos (F, 21) ......     7    5  19%    1    1    1    2    3    0   34  1-0

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yarmolenko ..........    19   16  59%    4    1    1    1    6    0   61    -
Martínez ............     4    3  11%    2    2    2    0    2    0   16  2-2
Odera ...............     8    5  19%    3    2    2    2    1    0   21  1-1
Mandžukić ...........     4    2   7%    0    2    2    0    1    0   15  2-2
Fathy (L, 2-1) ......     6    1   4%    5    5    5    3    0    0   26  2-2

  Batting order: Casablanca Elk (home) batted second; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted first.
  Seconds: VI o24 (12-0), CE o24 (6-12).
  First pitch 2:00 PM. Weather: 62°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 278723.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 13 Marat Tsybysheva Made Wahyudi (2B) 1–0
T 13 Denys Pavlenko Bohdan Maksymenko (3B) 2–0
T 13 Fyodor Kulikovskaya Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 3–0
T 17 Alan Buchina Denys Pavlenko (3B) 4–0
T 20 Andrey Fomina-Klotz Daniil Medvedev (3B) 5–0
T 21 Denys Pavlenko Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 6–0
T 21 Denys Pavlenko Bohdan Maksymenko (2B) 7–0
T 23 Do-hyun Yeom Philipp Savinykh (3B) 8–0
T 23 Made Wahyudi Denys Pavlenko (3B) 9–0
T 23 Marat Chernov Do-hyun Yeom (3B) 10–0
T 24 Marat Tsybysheva Alan Buchina (3B) 11–0
T 24 Marat Tsybysheva Made Wahyudi (3B) 12–0
B 3 Sikhumbuzo Mthembu Lemma Demissie (3B) 12–1
B 13 Mike Inkoom Lemma Demissie (2B) 12–2
B 13 Sikhumbuzo Mthembu Hamari Mpasi (2B) 12–3
B 13 Sikhumbuzo Mthembu Mike Inkoom (1B) 12–4
B 16 Kundai Adeleye Adolis Martínez (2B) 12–5
B 23 Aubrey du Toit Leonardo Russo (2B) 12–6
seconds_second 1 Massinissa Cherif Kundai Adeleye (2B) 12–7
seconds_second 1 Massinissa Cherif Aksel Bensebaini (1B) 12–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 303' · CF 418' · RF 353' · 32' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Flag Pole in Play
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 11 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Daniil Medvedev — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +4° · 68 ft Heorhiy Trubin — single · EV 106 mph · LA +41° · 450 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 171 ft Philipp Savinykh — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 268 ft Lev Fokina — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA -16° · 59 ft Made Wahyudi — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA -2° · 54 ft Marat Chernov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 153 ft Bohdan Maksymenko — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +8° · 80 ft Daniil Medvedev — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 217 ft Marat Tsybysheva — double · EV 93 mph · LA +14° · 160 ft Denys Pavlenko — double · EV 94 mph · LA +22° · 247 ft Fyodor Kulikovskaya — single · EV 84 mph · LA +6° · 80 ft Marat Chernov — single · EV 103 mph · LA +9° · 131 ft Andrey Fomina-Klotz — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +6° · 75 ft Fyodor Kulikovskaya — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +31° · 315 ft Daniil Medvedev — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 105 ft Marat Tsybysheva — double · EV 98 mph · LA +17° · 216 ft Denys Pavlenko — error · EV 57 mph · LA +5° · 54 ft Lev Fokina — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Do-hyun Yeom — single · EV 80 mph · LA +17° · 143 ft Made Wahyudi — single · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 116 ft Marat Chernov — single · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 336 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 92 ft Lev Fokina — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 172 ft Marat Tsybysheva — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Leonardo Russo — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA -14° · 94 ft Sikhumbuzo Mthembu — single · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Adolis Martínez — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +4° · 75 ft Maodo Moukoko — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Kundai Adeleye — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Aksel Bensebaini — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +8° · 89 ft Lemma Demissie — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Leonardo Russo — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Mike Inkoom — single · EV 98 mph · LA +7° · 93 ft Sikhumbuzo Mthembu — double · EV 117 mph · LA +15° · 270 ft Adolis Martínez — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Maodo Moukoko — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Kundai Adeleye — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 190 ft Aksel Bensebaini — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +23° · 263 ft Massinissa Cherif — double · EV 117 mph · LA +20° · 345 ft Lemma Demissie — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -2° · 76 ft Aubrey du Toit — single · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 187 ft Kundai Adeleye — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 298 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
66% deserve-to-win  ·  14.1 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 19.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (-2.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Heorhiy Trubin 106 / +41° Center Single 3.6 → 1 -2.62
Marat Tsybysheva 93 / +14° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Denys Pavlenko 94 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Philipp Savinykh 92 / +26° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Fyodor Kulikovskaya 94 / +31° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Casablanca Elk
34% deserve-to-win  ·  10.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 13.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-2.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Aksel Bensebaini 95 / +23° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Aksel Bensebaini 88 / +8° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Lemma Demissie 100 / +1° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.57
Leonardo Russo 100 / +6° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.57
Mike Inkoom 98 / +7° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
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