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Yekaterinburg Mustangs 3, Frivuda Plumbers 2                2046-04-29 · #1318
at Harbor Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Yekaterinburg           3    3    3    0
Frivuda                 2    2    5    0

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
  a-Terachi c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Ko          j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ulaanbat    j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Farkes      j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   4   3   3   2   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
  2B: Terachi (1), Farkes (8).
  HR: Ulaanbat (1), off Malone.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Edwards     lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Alexander-A c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Campbellov  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lombardo    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Larin   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Schell      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
Jacksonov   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Malone      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Dragoni ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Huang   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Quiñone pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Jeffers ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Avdeeva cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Zelyonov    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Makarov     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  26   2   5   0   0   0   2   4   9   0   0  0.192
  HBP: Malone (2).
  GIDP: Zelyonov (3), Makarov (4), Campbellov 2 (2), Jacksonov (3).
  a-Ran for Lombardo in the 5th.
  b-Singled in the 2nd.
  c-Walked in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Huang in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 5th.
  f-Replaced Makarov at CF in the 5th.

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Liu (W, 6-1) ........    30   27 100%    4    2    2    4    9    0  102    -

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Malone (L, 1-2) .....     4    1   4%    3    3    2    0    0    1   15    -

  Batting order: Frivuda Plumbers (home) batted first; Yekaterinburg Mustangs batted second.
  First pitch 1:05 PM YAKT. Weather: 42°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 998148.
  Walk-Back runs: off Malone 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Donni Schell Crawford Zelyonov (3B) 0–1
B 12 Kadarius Jeffersonov Aslan Makarov (3B) 0–2
T 0 Boldbaatar Ulaanbat Boldbaatar Ulaanbat (HR) 1–2
T 0 Deiton Farkes Boldbaatar Ulaanbat (3B) 2–2
T 1 Ao Terachi Deiton Farkes (2B) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Harbor Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 277' · CF 355' · RF 297' · 14' wall). The Bandbox.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
3 BIP· 0 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +34° · 390 ft Deiton Farkes — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 265 ft Ao Terachi — double · EV 103 mph · LA +11° · 155 ft
Frivuda Plumbers — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Davion Edwards — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 161 ft Crawford Zelyonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA -27° · 87 ft Edoardo Dragoni — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Malachi Jacksonov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Robert Campbellov — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -23° · 49 ft Kadarius Jeffersonov — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 314 ft Dagoberto Quiñones — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 80 ft Lance Larin — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Davion Edwards — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +13° · 111 ft Robert Campbellov — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Bogdan Avdeeva — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 112 ft Aslan Makarov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 197 ft Davion Edwards — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 249 ft Crawford Zelyonov — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -12° · 56 ft Malachi Jacksonov — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Aslan Makarov — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
17% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 4.7 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+3.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Boldbaatar Ulaanbat 102 / +34° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.90
Ao Terachi 103 / +11° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Deiton Farkes 100 / +21° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Frivuda Plumbers
83% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.4 vs expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Kadarius Jeffersonov 92 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Edoardo Dragoni 76 / +6° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Davion Edwards 80 / +13° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Davion Edwards 76 / +22° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Crawford Zelyonov 92 / -27° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
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