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Quezon City Baseball Club 13, Kitay-Torg Leopards 0         2046-04-30 · #1336
at Tower Coliseum
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Quezon City            13      0   13   14    0
Kitay-Torg              0      0    0    4    0

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Girma       3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  0.250
Bouanga     1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Biteghé     2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cronje      cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bouaziz ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Elsig       p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Angeldahl   rf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Metwally    c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Mfeka       ss ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mezui       lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Estes       j  ......    4   3   2   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Mvala       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  36  13  14   9   0   1  10   5  10   1   0  0.389
  2B: Bouanga (3), Ndlovu (7), Cronje (1), Estes (9), Mvala (6), Metwally (2), Mfeka 2 (3), Bouazizi (6).
  HR: Estes (3), off Garrity.
  SB: Ndlovu (10), Mvala (1).
  CS: Angeldahl (1).
  a-Batted for Cronje in the 5th.

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valenciano  cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jacksonov   1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Garrity     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Shim        ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Karatsev    c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cheng       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Amente      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hallov      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Jonesov c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Maggs       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Harrisov    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schlotterbe j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   0   4   0   0   0   0   2  13   0   0  0.143
  SB: Jonesov (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Elsig (W, 3-2) ......    29   27 100%    3    0    0    2   13    0  106    -

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Garrity (L, 0-1) ....    21   15  56%    8    5    4    1    3    1   76    -
Paul ................    13    6  22%    4    7    4    2    3    0   51  1-1
Solano ..............     8    6  22%    2    1    1    2    5    0   38  1-1

  Batting order: Kitay-Torg Leopards (home) batted second; Quezon City Baseball Club batted first.
  Seconds: QCB o26 (13-0), KL o26 (0-13).
  First pitch 8:10 PM YAKT. Weather: 41°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 375697.
  Walk-Back runs: off Garrity 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Manasse Estes Manasse Estes (HR) 1–0
T 4 Andrew Cronje Manasse Estes (3B) 2–0
T 8 Thembekile Mfeka Khaled Metwally (3B) 3–0
T 14 Abdelkader Bouazizi Nkosana Ndlovu (3B) 4–0
T 14 Abdelkader Bouazizi Serge Mvala (3B) 5–0
T 14 Liam Angeldahl Abdelkader Bouazizi (2B) 6–0
T 15 Thembekile Mfeka Mihlali Elsig (3B) 7–0
T 15 Thembekile Mfeka Liam Angeldahl (3B) 8–0
T 17 Kamou Bouanga Thembekile Mfeka (2B) 9–0
T 20 Liam Angeldahl Kamou Bouanga (3B) 10–0
T 20 Manasse Estes Nkosana Ndlovu (3B) 11–0
T 20 Manasse Estes Liam Angeldahl (1B) 12–0
T 20 Serge Mvala Manasse Estes (3B) 13–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tower Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 410' · RF 286' · 10' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Crescent Grandstand The Porch
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 3 1B · 9 XBH · 1 HR
321' 410' 286' Gizaw Girma — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Manasse Estes — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 349 ft Andrew Cronje — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 260 ft Serge Mvala — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -15° · 84 ft Mihlali Elsig — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +31° · 275 ft Liam Angeldahl — single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Khaled Metwally — double · EV 118 mph · LA +12° · 220 ft Thembekile Mfeka — double · EV 115 mph · LA +17° · 301 ft Walieldin Mezui — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 238 ft Kamou Bouanga — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 137 ft Olumide Biteghé — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +56° · 371 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — double · EV 99 mph · LA +28° · 331 ft Liam Angeldahl — single · EV 95 mph · LA -15° · 90 ft Thembekile Mfeka — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 393 ft Abdelkader Bouazizi — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Serge Mvala — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 167 ft Kamou Bouanga — double · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 355 ft Liam Angeldahl — error · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Manasse Estes — double · EV 116 mph · LA +16° · 291 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 255 ft Gizaw Girma — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft
Kitay-Torg Leopards — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
321' 410' 286' Demarai Jacksonov — single · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 214 ft Stepan Karatsev — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 218 ft Anthony Harrisov — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -16° · 84 ft Norris Garrity — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Traylon Maggs — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +50° · 348 ft Esteban Valenciano — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +1° · 81 ft Demarai Jacksonov — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Jarvis Jonesov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Anthony Harrisov — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +0° · 80 ft Kwang-hyun Shim — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -1° · 74 ft Stepan Karatsev — single · EV 82 mph · LA -5° · 78 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +4° · 77 ft Traylon Maggs — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Quezon City Baseball Club
93% deserve-to-win  ·  13.7 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 23.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 26.0 (+2.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Manasse Estes 100 / +30° Oppo Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.56
Gizaw Girma 100 / +14° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Olumide Biteghé 100 / +56° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.90
Nkosana Ndlovu 99 / +28° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Mihlali Elsig 88 / +31° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Kitay-Torg Leopards
7% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -3.6 vs expected
contact: 7.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-4.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stepan Karatsev 100 / +16° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Stepan Karatsev 82 / -5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Demarai Jacksonov 100 / -5° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Norris Garrity 100 / -4° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Anthony Harrisov 88 / -16° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.45
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