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Hermosillo BC 4, Pinar del Río Ospreys 3                    2046-04-30 · #1349
at Brown-Murray Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              4    4    4    0
Pinar del Río           3    3    5    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fleishman   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Corozo      c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lannoy      lf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Gill        2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Moriwake    p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  a-Tang    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Sharipo c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Blake   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Lenis   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Salinas     j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
O'Malley    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   9   4   4   2   0   0   4   2   3   0   1  0.444
  2B: Salinas (4), Corozo (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Entered at C in the 8th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  d-Singled in the 2nd.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabrera     cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Buchhol pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Gipson      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cepeda      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kelly       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Postecoglou 3b ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lapeña      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Narazaki    p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Barnhar ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Amartey pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Bautist ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Cruz    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bamba       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Esponda     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  26   3   5   1   0   0   2   4  11   0   0  0.192
  2B: Postecoglou (1).
  CS: Esponda (3), Postecoglou (1).
  a-Ran for Cabrera in the 1st.
  b-Singled in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Barnhardt in the 3rd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Ran in the 4th.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moriwake (W, 4-1) ...    30   27 100%    5    3    3    4   11    0  127    -

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Narazaki (L) ........    10    5  19%    3    2    2    2    3    0   45    -
Baynes ..............     1    1   4%    1    2    2    0    0    0    2  3-2

  Batting order: Pinar del Río Ospreys (home) batted first; Hermosillo BC batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 63°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 749876.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 11 Ken Buchholz Manny Cruz (3B) 0–1
B 16 Gen Miyazaki Kentaro Narazaki (3B) 0–2
B 16 Miloš Postecoglou Gen Miyazaki (2B) 0–3
T 4 Warren Salinas Ángel Corozo (2B) 1–3
T 5 Mateo Lenis Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 2–3
T 5 Vihaan Gill Warren Salinas (3B) 3–3
T 5 Kō Moriwake Mitchell O'Malley (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brown-Murray Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 419' · RF 349' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
338' 419' 349' Ángel Corozo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft Alen Sharipov — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 158 ft Warren Salinas — double · EV 85 mph · LA +32° · 261 ft Soane Strachan — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 306 ft Mateo Lenis — single · EV 78 mph · LA +22° · 172 ft Vihaan Gill — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 181 ft
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 419' 349' Sekou Barnhardt — single · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 83 ft Miloš Postecoglou — double · EV 96 mph · LA +44° · 365 ft Kentaro Narazaki — fielders_choice · EV 93 mph · LA -2° · 88 ft Ken Buchholz — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 130 ft Salif Bamba — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +13° · 82 ft Joaquin Esponda — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +17° · 259 ft Gen Miyazaki — single · EV 85 mph · LA -8° · 81 ft Miloš Postecoglou — single · EV 110 mph · LA -2° · 105 ft Kentaro Narazaki — fielders_choice · EV 75 mph · LA -22° · 71 ft Ken Buchholz — single · EV 78 mph · LA +5° · 75 ft Joaquin Esponda — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -17° · 76 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
62% deserve-to-win  ·  3.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.4 vs expected
contact: 4.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Warren Salinas 85 / +32° Pull Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Soane Strachan 92 / +32° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Ángel Corozo 92 / +19° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Alen Sharipov 82 / +18° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Mateo Lenis 78 / +22° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Pinar del Río Ospreys
38% deserve-to-win  ·  2.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 7.5 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-1.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joaquin Esponda 107 / +17° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Ken Buchholz 90 / +12° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Ken Buchholz 78 / +5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Sekou Barnhardt 88 / -1° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
Gen Miyazaki 85 / -8° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
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