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Pyongyang Central Spartans 10, Bridgetown Royal Provisioners 1 2046-04-30 · #1351
at Pyongyang Central Dome
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                        1    R    H    E
Bridgetown              1    1    6    0
Pyongyang Central      10   10    9    0

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ramón       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Moulton     rf ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Valdez      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
McKinzie    cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Pohjanpalo  3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cardona     c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Germán      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alexander-F p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Hancock ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ison        j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  29   1   6   2   0   0   1   2   7   0   0  0.207
  2B: Moulton (12), Ison (11).
  GIDP: McKinzie (2), Germán (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kuehn       c  ......    3   3   5   3   0   0   4   1   0   2   0  1.667
Pfister     lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Lombardi    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Zingaro     2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Gorzny      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Peña        3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Heinzen pr ......    1   3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Richards    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Onyewu      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Cabalce ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Tippmann    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Griffith    j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Onyedika    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32  10   9   6   0   0   7   6  11   2   0  0.281
  2B: Kuehn 3 (12), Pfister (4), Zingaro (5), Griffith (5).
  SB: Heinzen (1).
  HBP: Peña (1).
  GIDP: Lombardi (1).
  a-Ran for Peña in the 3rd.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Alexander-Fe (L, 4-3)     31   22  81%    8    7    5    3    8    0  109    -
Metzger .............     8    5  19%    1    3    3    3    3    0   38  2-2

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Onyewu (W, 3-3) .....    31   27 100%    6    1    1    2    7    0  124    -

  Batting order: Pyongyang Central Spartans (home) batted first; Bridgetown Royal Provisioners batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 59°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 204049.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Cory Tippmann Ethan Kuehn (3B) 0–1
B 9 Ethan Kuehn Francisco Griffith (3B) 0–2
B 9 Ethan Kuehn Damon Onyedika (3B) 0–3
B 9 Ethan Kuehn Roger Heinzen (2B) 0–4
B 11 Javon Zingaro Ethan Kuehn (2B) 0–5
B 19 Mekhi Pfister Roger Heinzen (3B) 0–6
B 21 Doug Gorzny Mekhi Pfister (2B) 0–7
B 23 Roger Heinzen Ethan Kuehn (3B) 0–8
B 24 Eulis Cabalceta Javon Zingaro (3B) 0–9
B 25 Ethan Kuehn Roger Heinzen (3B) 0–10
T 22 Basil McKinzie Martín Cardona (3B) 1–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pyongyang Central Dome's actual outfield dimensions (LF 354' · CF 427' · RF 294' · 13' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Crow's Nest
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
354' 427' 294' Guerby Moulton — double · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Ammar Hancock — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Clifford Ison — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Basil McKinzie — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Néstor Ramón — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Albert Germán — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Martín Cardona — single · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 257 ft Guerby Moulton — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Clifford Ison — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 220 ft Fernando Valdez — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +32° · 219 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Albert Germán — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Guerby Moulton — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +14° · 65 ft Ammar Hancock — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 216 ft Clifford Ison — double · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft Fernando Valdez — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +30° · 218 ft Basil McKinzie — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 185 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Cedric Alexander-Felton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 3 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
354' 427' 294' Ethan Kuehn — double · EV 104 mph · LA +32° · 384 ft Mekhi Pfister — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 234 ft Javon Zingaro — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +52° · 337 ft Doug Gorzny — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Francisco Griffith — double · EV 93 mph · LA +37° · 335 ft Damon Onyedika — single · EV 80 mph · LA +13° · 110 ft Omarian Lombardi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Roger Heinzen — error · EV 98 mph · LA +17° · 215 ft Cory Tippmann — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +30° · 140 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 66 mph · LA +11° · 66 ft Mekhi Pfister — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +29° · 233 ft Javon Zingaro — double · EV 109 mph · LA +25° · 362 ft Doug Gorzny — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -11° · 56 ft Glen Richards — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -4° · 76 ft Eulis Cabalceta — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 310 ft Omarian Lombardi — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft Ethan Kuehn — double · EV 82 mph · LA +46° · 266 ft Ethan Kuehn — double · EV 105 mph · LA +13° · 192 ft Mekhi Pfister — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 316 ft Doug Gorzny — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -17° · 60 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 95 mph · LA +24° · 263 ft Omarian Lombardi — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners
15% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -3.5 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Guerby Moulton 92 / +31° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Ammar Hancock 92 / +33° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Clifford Ison 92 / +21° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Clifford Ison 76 / -9° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Néstor Ramón 76 / +18° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Pyongyang Central Spartans
85% deserve-to-win  ·  10.5 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roger Heinzen 98 / +17° Center Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Eulis Cabalceta 99 / +26° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Francisco Griffith 93 / +37° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Mekhi Pfister 92 / +34° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Ethan Kuehn 105 / +13° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.61
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