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Barquisimeto Grocery 1, Smirnykh Storms 0                   2046-04-30 · #1359
at Cele Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Smirnykh                0    0    2    0
Barquisimeto            1    1    2    0

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jonesov     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vatutin     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mykolenko   2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Youzhny pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Pridankina  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Derepas ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Vatutin ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Ionov   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Su      ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  f-Lazarev pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Fuimaon ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Tursuno ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  i-Reyes   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  j-Wildero pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gormanov    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Amini       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   0   2   1   0   0   0   4  16   0   0  0.077
  2B: Mykolenko (4).
  SB: Gormanov (7).
  GIDP: Lazareva (2).
  a-Ran for Mykolenko in the 2nd.
  b-Grounded out for Pridankina in the 7th.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Singled in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Ran for Ionov in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 3rd.
  h-Batted in the 4th.
  i-Replaced Amini at SS in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Fuimaono in the 7th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
  a-Solano  ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Heslip      j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Concepción  j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  2B: Heslip (3).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Pridankina (L, 1-3) .     3    2   7%    2    1    1    0    0    0   10    -

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hoilett .............     8    8  30%    2    0    0    0    2    0   29    -
Brunnberg (W, 2-2) ..    17   15  56%    0    0    0    2   13    0   58    -
Altuve ..............     5    4  15%    0    0    0    2    1    0   15  2-0

  Batting order: Barquisimeto Grocery (home) batted second; Smirnykh Storms batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 61°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 632490.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Hanley Solano Tally Heslip (2B) 0–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cele Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 419' · RF 347' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 419' 347' Jan-michael Jonesov — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +14° · 113 ft Terrance Gormanov — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -25° · 61 ft Andriy Mykolenko — double · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 192 ft Teymuraz Vatutin — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 110 ft Valery Ionov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Lev Derepasko — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 162 ft Alen Lazareva — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 419' 347' Hanley Solano — single · EV 98 mph · LA -1° · 93 ft Tally Heslip — double · EV 106 mph · LA +23° · 326 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Storms
87% deserve-to-win  ·  2.1 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 4.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lev Derepasko 92 / +14° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Andriy Mykolenko 101 / +14° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Jan-michael Jonesov 78 / +14° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Teymuraz Vatutin 76 / +14° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Valery Ionov 76 / +20° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Barquisimeto Grocery
13% deserve-to-win  ·  0.8 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 2.1 est bases + 0 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hanley Solano 98 / -1° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.48
Tally Heslip 106 / +23° Center Double 1.6 → 2 +0.44
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