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Osijek Moose 12, Split BK 5                                 2046-04-30 · #1366
at Léon Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Osijek                 10      2   12   10    0
Split                   5      0    5    6    0

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nieminen    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Brand   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Korhonen    lf ......    3   4   2   0   0   1   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Chigumbu    rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Ojala       2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hezonja     c  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Knudsen     3b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Grasso      cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Sainio      1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Räsänen     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.333
Dragoni     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ahtinen     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Koskinen    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  12  10   4   0   1  10   5  12   0   1  0.294
  2B: Hezonja (6), Knudsen (2), Grasso (3), Sainio (4).
  HR: Korhonen (11), off Can.
  HBP: Ojala (3).
  a-Replaced Nieminen at SS in the 7th.

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Honka       c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Solis       lf ......    3   1   2   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Berger      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Herbert     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jantunen    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Moten   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Seppälä cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Clardy  lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Wagner  nf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
  e-Franssi pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   5   6   2   0   1   5   1  16   0   0  0.207
  2B: Seppälä (7), Honka (9).
  HR: Solis (4), off Räsänen.
  CS: Solis (2).
  HBP: Franssi (3).
  a-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at LF in the 5th.
  d-Entered at NF in the 7th.
  e-Ran for Seppälä in the 6th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Räsänen (W, 1-1) ....    25   20  74%    6    5    5    1   11    1   97    -
Halttunen (F, 7) ....     6    7  26%    0    0    0    0    5    0   30  1-0

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jantunen (L) ........    10    4  15%    6    4    4    1    1    0   34    -
Can .................     4    4  15%    1    2    2    1    0    1   14  1-1
Olsen ...............    10    7  26%    2    2    1    1    4    0   41  1-1
Bradarić ............     6    3  11%    1    4    4    1    3    0   21  2-2
Vainio ..............    10    9  33%    0    0    0    1    4    0   47  2-0

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted second; Osijek Moose batted first.
  Seconds: OM o25 (10-0), SB o25 (5-10).
  First pitch 7:15 PM. Weather: 80°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 634438.
  Powerplays: Split BK — Wagner NF (O14)
  Walk-Back runs: off Olsen 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Ismo Ojala Mika Korhonen (3B) 1–0
T 3 Sven Knudsen Tawanda Chigumbu (3B) 2–0
T 5 Niilo Nieminen Sven Knudsen (3B) 3–0
T 7 Mika Korhonen Mika Korhonen (HR) 4–0
T 9 Lukša Hezonja Mika Korhonen (3B) 5–0
T 13 Niilo Nieminen Lukša Hezonja (3B) 6–0
T 16 Ismo Ojala Sven Knudsen (3B) 7–0
T 17 Lukša Hezonja Eemeli Ahtinen (3B) 8–0
T 17 Lukša Hezonja Mika Korhonen (2B) 9–0
T 17 Lukša Hezonja Ismo Ojala (1B) 10–0
B 13 Manuel Wagner Henrik Honka (2B) 10–1
B 14 Tim Seppälä Eemil Franssi (2B) 10–2
B 14 Tim Seppälä Wayne Clardy (1B) 10–3
B 18 Owen Solis Vilho Franssi (2B) 10–4
B 18 Owen Solis Owen Solis (HR) 10–5
seconds_first 1 Tomi Sainio Maurizio Grasso (2B) 11–5
seconds_first 1 Pekka Räsänen Tomi Sainio (2B) 12–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Mika Korhonen — single · EV 118 mph · LA +28° · 459 ft Ismo Ojala — single · EV 100 mph · LA +49° · 392 ft Sven Knudsen — single · EV 106 mph · LA +40° · 438 ft Tomi Sainio — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 258 ft Dennis Brand — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 226 ft Niilo Nieminen — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -18° · 80 ft Mika Korhonen — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Lukša Hezonja — single · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Sven Knudsen — double · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 152 ft Pekka Räsänen — line_out · EV 66 mph · LA +17° · 97 ft Lukša Hezonja — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 160 ft Tomi Sainio — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA +26° · 357 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +57° · 325 ft Maurizio Grasso — double · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 308 ft Pekka Räsänen — single · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 166 ft Tomi Sainio — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 147 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Owen Solis — single · EV 116 mph · LA +21° · 364 ft Eemil Franssi — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Manuel Wagner — single · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 171 ft Helmut Berger — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft Henrik Honka — double · EV 114 mph · LA +30° · 449 ft Manuel Wagner — single · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 208 ft Tim Seppälä — double · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 397 ft Helmut Berger — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Owen Solis — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Henrik Honka — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Hubertus Moten — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 218 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
76% deserve-to-win  ·  12.6 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 21.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (-4.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tomi Sainio 106 / +26° Oppo Out 2.1 → 0 -2.06
Mika Korhonen 118 / +28° Center Single 3.0 → 1 -2.03
Sven Knudsen 106 / +40° Oppo Single 3.0 → 1 -2.03
Tomi Sainio 99 / +21° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Sven Knudsen 91 / +14° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Split BK
24% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -2.0 vs expected
contact: 18.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-7.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eemil Franssi 119 / +41° Center Out 3.8 → 0 -3.76
Henrik Honka 114 / +30° Oppo Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Owen Solis 116 / +21° Pull Single 1.7 → 1 -0.73
Helmut Berger 100 / -2° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
Henrik Honka 100 / +8° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.57
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