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Graz Broncos 20, Hermosillo Royals 19                       2046-05-01 · #1376
at Edwards Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo             19   19   19    1
Graz                   20   20   10    0

HERMOSILLO ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Selemani    ss ......    2   5   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ravoahangy  3b ......    4   3   3   1   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.750
Ziani       rf ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Chadli      2b ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Micha       c  ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Khan        p  ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.400
Andonovski  1b ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.200
Bensebaini  lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.250
Mbeumo      cf ......    5   1   5   0   1   0   4   0   1   1   0  1.000
Kruger      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Agarwal     j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Abreha      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  40  19  19   1   1   4  19   3   8   1   0  0.475
  2B: Ravoahangy (4).
  3B: Mbeumo (2).
  HR: Selemani (6), off Partey; Ravoahangy (4), off Kangwa; Chadli (2), off Bounedjah; Agarwal (2), off Genovese.
  SB: Chadli (2), Bensebaini (3).
  CS: Kruger (1).
  E: Ziani (3).
  HBP: Selemani (3).


GRAZ BRONCOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kangwa      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Schiffm ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Naidji      lf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Javed   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ngculu      c  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Gueye   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Abebe       1b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.333
Kebede      3b ......    0   3   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
  d-Ndlovu  ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Ndour   rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Webó    nf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.667
  g-Covilhã c  ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Engelbr ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Jadhav  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bothma      j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mazarura    j  ......    5   1   4   0   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.800
Collins     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  31  20  10   2   0   1  20   6   8   0   1  0.323
  2B: Webó (9), Ngculu (3).
  HR: Naidji (7), off Khan.
  SB: Abebe 2 (3), Kebede (6).
  HBP: Bothma (2), Ndlovu (2), Kebede (1), Schiffman (3).
  a-Batted for Kangwa in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Naidji in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Ngculu in the 5th.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at RF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at NF in the 3rd.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Struck out in the 6th.
  i-Ran for Ndour in the 6th.

HERMOSILLO ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Khan (L, 4-1) .......    20   11  41%    3    9    6    5    2    1   77    -
Nelson ..............    12    6  22%    4    9    4    1    3    0   49  2-2
Adames ..............     7    5  19%    2    2    2    0    3    0   30  1-1

GRAZ BRONCOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kangwa ..............     4    2   7%    1    2    2    0    1    1   15    -
Bassogog (W, 1-1) ...    11    8  30%    3    3    3    1    3    0   39  1-0
Genovese ............     7    3  11%    5    5    4    1    0    1   24  1-0
Partey ..............    11    6  22%    5    5    4    1    2    1   40  1-0
Bounedjah ...........     8    4  15%    5    4    3    0    1    1   24  1-1
Jadhav ..............     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    1    0   16  2-0

  Batting order: Graz Broncos (home) batted second; Hermosillo Royals batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 163593.
  Powerplays: Graz Broncos — Webó NF (O7)
  Walk-Back runs: off Khan 1, off Genovese 1, off Partey 1, off Bounedjah 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Soa Ravoahangy Fredrick Selemani (2B) 1–0
T 0 Soa Ravoahangy Soa Ravoahangy (HR) 2–0
T 8 Omni Andonovski Issa Mbeumo (3B) 3–0
T 8 Omni Andonovski Gaya Bensebaini (2B) 4–0
T 10 Ivan Kruger Omni Andonovski (2B) 5–0
T 11 Sourav Agarwal Sourav Agarwal (HR) 6–0
T 13 Soa Ravoahangy Sourav Agarwal (3B) 7–0
T 13 Issa Mbeumo Bilal Ziani (3B) 8–0
T 13 Issa Mbeumo Soa Ravoahangy (2B) 9–0
T 13 Issa Mbeumo Fredrick Selemani (2B) 10–0
T 19 Fredrick Selemani Mustapha Chadli (2B) 11–0
T 19 Fredrick Selemani Fredrick Selemani (HR) 12–0
T 19 Soa Ravoahangy Fredrick Selemani (3B) 13–0
T 19 Soa Ravoahangy Fredrick Selemani (3B) 14–0
T 19 Bilal Ziani Soa Ravoahangy (2B) 15–0
T 19 Mustapha Chadli Bilal Ziani (1B) 16–0
T 19 Mustapha Chadli Mustapha Chadli (HR) 17–0
T 20 Pravesh Khan Mustapha Chadli (3B) 18–0
T 22 Issa Mbeumo Pravesh Khan (2B) 19–0
B 3 Shimeket Kebede Percy Ngculu (3B) 19–1
B 3 Sofiane Naidji Nelson Covilhã (3B) 19–2
B 3 Sofiane Naidji Bezabeh Abebe (2B) 19–3
B 3 Sofiane Naidji Shimeket Kebede (1B) 19–4
B 3 Sofiane Naidji Sofiane Naidji (HR) 19–5
B 7 Garang Collins Sofiane Naidji (3B) 19–6
B 8 Wellington Mazarura Peter Bothma (2B) 19–7
B 11 Henry Ndour Nelson Covilhã (3B) 19–8
B 11 Henry Ndour Shimeket Kebede (2B) 19–9
B 11 Hugo Webó Arshad Javed (3B) 19–10
B 11 Hugo Webó Henry Ndour (2B) 19–11
B 12 Garang Collins Phathisa Ndlovu (2B) 19–12
B 13 Wellington Mazarura Hugo Webó (2B) 19–13
B 15 Bezabeh Abebe Garang Collins (3B) 19–14
B 15 Bezabeh Abebe Wellington Mazarura (2B) 19–15
B 17 Hugo Webó Bezabeh Abebe (3B) 19–16
B 17 Hugo Webó Shimeket Kebede (2B) 19–17
B 17 Hugo Webó Pradip Jadhav (1B) 19–18
B 19 Wellington Mazarura Hugo Webó (2B) 19–19
B 22 Bezabeh Abebe Mitty Schiffman (3B) 19–20
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 278' · CF 358' · RF 290' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Hermosillo Royals — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 13 1B · 2 XBH · 4 HR
278' 358' 290' Soa Ravoahangy — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +30° · 374 ft Ibréhima Micha — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -8° · 50 ft Omni Andonovski — line_out · EV 114 mph · LA +24° · 386 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 193 ft Ivan Kruger — single · EV 68 mph · LA +18° · 109 ft Sourav Agarwal — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Sintayehu Abreha — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +24° · 341 ft Fredrick Selemani — single · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 135 ft Omni Andonovski — single · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 228 ft Mustapha Chadli — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 231 ft Soa Ravoahangy — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 145 ft Gaya Bensebaini — ground_out · EV 106 mph · LA +5° · 100 ft Fredrick Selemani — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +28° · 366 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 213 ft Omni Andonovski — line_out · EV 73 mph · LA +16° · 116 ft Pravesh Khan — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA +9° · 99 ft Ibréhima Micha — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Mustapha Chadli — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 247 ft Bilal Ziani — single · EV 108 mph · LA +5° · 102 ft Gaya Bensebaini — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Issa Mbeumo — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +15° · 253 ft Soa Ravoahangy — double · EV 98 mph · LA +22° · 270 ft Mustapha Chadli — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +47° · 399 ft Pravesh Khan — single · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 356 ft Omni Andonovski — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -15° · 95 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 62 mph · LA +22° · 108 ft Gaya Bensebaini — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 179 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft
Graz Broncos — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
278' 358' 290' Percy Ngculu — double · EV 118 mph · LA +24° · 417 ft Sofiane Naidji — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +33° · 438 ft Phathisa Ndlovu — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -24° · 87 ft Peter Bothma — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA +2° · 69 ft Nelson Covilhã — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA +10° · 85 ft Chimezie Gueye — fly_out · EV 110 mph · LA +13° · 209 ft Garang Collins — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Henry Ndour — error · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 243 ft Hugo Webó — single · EV 86 mph · LA -5° · 82 ft Bezabeh Abebe — error · EV 96 mph · LA +24° · 279 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 285 ft Garang Collins — single · EV 81 mph · LA +20° · 173 ft Hugo Webó — double · EV 105 mph · LA +23° · 315 ft Bezabeh Abebe — single · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 221 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 102 mph · LA +13° · 183 ft Wellington Mazarura — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo Royals
62% deserve-to-win  ·  18.3 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  +0.7 vs expected
contact: 34.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (-0.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sintayehu Abreha 107 / +24° Pull Out 2.1 → 0 -2.06
Soa Ravoahangy 104 / +30° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Fredrick Selemani 105 / +28° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Omni Andonovski 114 / +24° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Issa Mbeumo 112 / +15° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.60
Graz Broncos
38% deserve-to-win  ·  14.5 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 18.8 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-4.8 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chimezie Gueye 110 / +13° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.40
Henry Ndour 96 / +20° Center Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Bezabeh Abebe 96 / +24° Pull Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Percy Ngculu 118 / +24° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Wellington Mazarura 76 / +7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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