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Valencia Pacific Print Shop 4, Zagreb Miners 3              2046-05-01 · #1384
at The Pavilion
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                        1    R    H    E
Valencia                4    4    5    0
Zagreb                  3    3    5    0

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Balogun     rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Williams    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mueller     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Toit        1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
O'Donnell   c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Benedetti   ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Livaja      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Romano  ph ......    1   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  2.000
Lehmann     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Baldasso    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   9   4   5   0   0   0   3   2   1   1   0  0.556

  a-Singled in the 2nd.

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fitzgerald  cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Larentzakis lf ......    3   0   2   1   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Kaimakoglou c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ambri       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Mazza       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Oberdorf    rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sanna       1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Lovren      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Atal        p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schulz      j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Burley      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   3   5   1   1   0   3   4  10   0   0  0.185
  2B: Larentzakis (19).
  3B: Larentzakis (6).
  SB: Schulz 3 (5).
  HBP: Oberdorf (1).


VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Livaja (W, 4-1) .....    24   20  74%    3    3    3    2    9    0   90    -
Zubac ...............     8    7  26%    2    0    0    2    1    0   26  1-0

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Atal (L, 3-2) .......     9    5  19%    3    4    4    2    1    0   49    -

  Batting order: Zagreb Miners (home) batted first; Valencia Pacific Print Shop batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 695967.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 18 Geoff Burley Danilo Schulz (3B) 0–1
B 20 Panagiotis Larentzakis Per Oberdorf (3B) 0–2
B 20 Panagiotis Larentzakis Toni Fitzgerald (2B) 0–3
T 3 Timo Lehmann Matteo Baldasso (2B) 1–3
T 4 Michele Romano Timo Lehmann (3B) 2–3
T 4 Michele Romano Cathal O'Donnell (3B) 3–3
T 5 Tin Livaja Mac Balogun (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Pavilion's actual outfield dimensions (LF 396' · CF 403' · RF 258' · 50' wall). Coffin Corner.
Trolley Shed
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Karim Mueller — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +51° · 106 ft Cathal O'Donnell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Michele Romano — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 184 ft Michele Romano — single · EV 110 mph · LA +9° · 150 ft Timo Lehmann — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -7° · 66 ft
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Panagiotis Larentzakis — fly_out · EV 108 mph · LA +16° · 246 ft Vangelis Kaimakoglou — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 141 ft Danilo Schulz — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +53° · 295 ft Per Oberdorf — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +23° · 245 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +17° · 282 ft Danilo Schulz — single · EV 109 mph · LA +17° · 262 ft Gianluca Mazza — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +50° · 235 ft Geoff Burley — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 341 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 94 mph · LA +38° · 341 ft Danilo Schulz — error · EV 73 mph · LA -10° · 70 ft Gianluca Mazza — single · EV 74 mph · LA -22° · 70 ft Mateo Lovren — single · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
9% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 3.0 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cathal O'Donnell 76 / +13° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Michele Romano 110 / +9° Pull Single 1.4 → 1 -0.40
Timo Lehmann 69 / -7° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Karim Mueller 52 / +51° Center Out 0.0 → 0 +0.00
Michele Romano 88 / +18° Center Stay 1.0 → 1 -0.00
Zagreb Miners
91% deserve-to-win  ·  6.3 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -3.3 vs expected
contact: 10.1 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-2.1 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Geoff Burley 100 / +29° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Panagiotis Larentzakis 108 / +16° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.40
Panagiotis Larentzakis 112 / +17° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
Per Oberdorf 93 / +23° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Panagiotis Larentzakis 94 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
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