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Lima BC 30, New York Royals 6                               2046-05-01 · #1386
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1      2    R    H    E
New York                6      0    6    6    0
Lima                   24      6   30   24    0

NEW YORK ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Morgan      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Green       1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Giggs       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Tasci       lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Jack        2b ......    0   0   1   1   0   0   3   2   0   1   0   .000
Hašek       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Magill      cf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Wright-Phil ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vydra   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Liriano     j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Quansah     j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  24   6   6   2   0   0   5   8  10   1   0  0.250
  2B: Jack (5), Quansah (2).
  SB: Magill 2 (4), Wright-Phillips (1).
  CS: Tasci (7).
  HBP: Tasci 2 (3), Jack (2).
  GIDP: Quansah (4).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krmenčík    lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-García  pr ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Wilson      1b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Footman pr ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Docherty    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Dochert ph ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.250
Balbirnie   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Howell      3b ......    3   1   3   3   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Adams   pr ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Bachan      c  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Černý   c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Pekhart     2b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.250
Coetzer     p  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   5   1   1   0   1  0.667
  f-Jones   ph ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
  g-Taylor  ph ......    4   5   4   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  1.000
Weber       j  ......    5   4   4   4   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.800
Holloway    j  ......    4   4   3   2   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.750
Totals                  45  30  24  13   0   4  27   8   7   0   1  0.533
  2B: Krmenčík (10), Weber 4 (28), Holloway 2 (4), Howell 3 (7), Bachan (11), Taylor (9), Adams (3).
  HR: Wilson (2), off Hašek; Coetzer (1), off Clark; Docherty (3), off Cahill; Taylor (1), off Cahill.
  a-Ran for Krmenčík in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Wilson in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Docherty in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Howell in the 6th.
  e-Replaced Bachan at C in the 7th.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Batted in the 4th.

NEW YORK ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Hašek (L, 1-1) ......    14    3  11%   12   11   10    0    0    1   55    -
Clark ...............    15   10  37%    5    6    6    2    6    1   51  1-0
Brown ...............    14    7  26%    5    7    6    3    0    0   54  1-1
Cahill ..............    11    7  26%    2    6    4    3    2    2   47  1-1

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Coetzer .............     9    7  26%    3    1    1    3    0    0   31    -
Sancho (W, 2-0) .....    15   11  41%    2    3    3    2    5    0   66  1-1
Shulze (F, 19) ......    11    9  33%    1    2    2    3    5    0   51  2-2

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted first; New York Royals batted second.
  Seconds: NYR o26 (6-24), LB o26 (24-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM ET. Weather: 76°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 396280.
  Walk-Back runs: off Hašek 1, off Brown 1, off Cahill 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Brian Wilson Hanley García (2B) 0–1
B 0 Brian Wilson Brian Wilson (HR) 0–2
B 0 Rory Docherty Brian Wilson (3B) 0–3
B 1 Manus Holloway Florian Weber (2B) 0–4
B 2 Waltclaire Howell Manus Holloway (2B) 0–5
B 10 Peter Taylor Florian Weber (3B) 0–6
B 10 Peter Taylor Hanley García (2B) 0–7
B 10 Waltclaire Howell Peter Taylor (3B) 0–8
B 10 Daren Bachan Waltclaire Howell (2B) 0–9
B 12 Ruairidh Coetzer Daren Bachan (2B) 0–10
B 12 Ruairidh Coetzer Ruairidh Coetzer (HR) 0–11
B 13 Max Footman Ruairidh Coetzer (3B) 0–12
B 15 Peter Taylor Florian Weber (2B) 0–13
B 15 Waltclaire Howell Manus Holloway (2B) 0–14
B 15 Waltclaire Howell Peter Taylor (1B) 0–15
B 16 Ruairidh Coetzer Ashley Adams (3B) 0–16
B 16 Ruairidh Coetzer Daren Bachan (2B) 0–17
B 19 Manus Holloway Ruairidh Coetzer (2B) 0–18
B 20 Graham Docherty Manus Holloway (2B) 0–19
B 20 Graham Docherty Graham Docherty (HR) 0–20
B 20 Peter Taylor Graham Docherty (3B) 0–21
B 20 Peter Taylor Peter Taylor (HR) 0–22
B 20 Ashley Adams Peter Taylor (3B) 0–23
B 24 Max Footman Štěpán Pekhart (3B) 0–24
T 3 Jordan Quansah Roy Green (2B) 1–24
T 9 Murray Jack Sean Magill (3B) 2–24
T 9 Carwyn Giggs Glen Wright-Phillips (3B) 3–24
T 9 Cristian Liriano Nico Tasci (3B) 4–24
T 18 Murray Jack Cristian Liriano (3B) 5–24
T 18 Murray Jack Sean Magill (2B) 6–24
seconds_first 0 Florian Weber Peter Taylor (1B) 6–25
seconds_first 0 Manus Holloway Florian Weber (2B) 6–26
seconds_first 0 Ashley Adams Manus Holloway (1B) 6–27
seconds_first 0 Ctibor Černý Ashley Adams (2B) 6–28
seconds_first 0 Steeven Jones Ctibor Černý (2B) 6–29
seconds_first 0 Ruairidh Coetzer Štěpán Pekhart (3B) 6–30
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
New York Royals — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Carwyn Giggs — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +30° · 212 ft Jordan Quansah — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 311 ft Czech Hašek — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +31° · 219 ft Sean Magill — single · EV 80 mph · LA -13° · 76 ft Marcus Morgan — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +32° · 272 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +52° · 374 ft Murray Jack — double · EV 89 mph · LA +25° · 242 ft Carwyn Giggs — single · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 92 ft Sean Magill — single · EV 78 mph · LA -7° · 75 ft Aleš Vydra — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Glen Wright-Phillips — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 290 ft Jordan Quansah — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 152 ft Roy Green — single · EV 82 mph · LA +12° · 112 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
36 BIP· 7 1B · 13 XBH · 4 HR
346' 406' 322' Ondřej Krmenčík — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 341 ft Brian Wilson — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +27° · 424 ft Rory Docherty — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -2° · 95 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 338 ft Manus Holloway — double · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 353 ft Donnacha Balbirnie — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +25° · 436 ft Waltclaire Howell — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 150 ft Peter Taylor — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 293 ft Steeven Jones — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 397 ft Hanley García — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -8° · 68 ft Max Footman — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Ashley Adams — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +16° · 159 ft Ctibor Černý — single · EV 101 mph · LA +9° · 130 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 207 ft Manus Holloway — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 183 ft Waltclaire Howell — double · EV 99 mph · LA +14° · 188 ft Daren Bachan — double · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 174 ft Ruairidh Coetzer — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Peter Taylor — single · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 266 ft Hanley García — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +9° · 101 ft Max Footman — line_out · EV 111 mph · LA +17° · 283 ft Steeven Jones — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Ashley Adams — double · EV 109 mph · LA +26° · 377 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 313 ft Waltclaire Howell — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 235 ft Štěpán Pekhart — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 329 ft Ruairidh Coetzer — single · EV 112 mph · LA -11° · 106 ft Manus Holloway — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 399 ft Graham Docherty — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Peter Taylor — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +35° · 449 ft Max Footman — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -6° · 95 ft Steeven Jones — single · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Peter Taylor — single · EV 94 mph · LA +8° · 89 ft Manus Holloway — single · EV 73 mph · LA +15° · 110 ft Štěpán Pekhart — single · EV 91 mph · LA +25° · 252 ft Florian Weber — double · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 199 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Royals
5% deserve-to-win  ·  7.6 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (-0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jordan Quansah 92 / +33° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Glen Wright-Phillips 92 / +29° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Glen Wright-Phillips 98 / +52° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.78
Sean Magill 78 / -7° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Sean Magill 80 / -13° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Lima BC
95% deserve-to-win  ·  31.5 expected runs
actual 30 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 54.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 49.0 (-5.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Donnacha Balbirnie 119 / +25° Pull Out 3.0 → 0 -3.03
Steeven Jones 100 / +42° Oppo Out 2.5 → 0 -2.51
Max Footman 111 / +17° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.70
Manus Holloway 100 / +14° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Štěpán Pekhart 100 / +28° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
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