==============================================================================
Lima BC 1, New York Royals 0                                2046-05-02 · #1424
at Kompany Stadium
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
New York                0    0    1    0
Lima                    1    1    3    0

NEW YORK ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Clarke      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Frías   rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Morgan      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Giggs       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Jack    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
King        cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ralston     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Vydra   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Magill      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pospíšil    2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fitzgerald  1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sabga       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Tasci   lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Wright- ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Liriano     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sookdeo     j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Quansah     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   0   1   0   0   0   0   5   6   0   0  0.045
  CS: Frías (1).
  GIDP: Sabga (1).
  a-Replaced Clarke at RF in the 7th.
  b-Replaced Giggs at 3B in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Ralston in the 5th.
  d-Entered at LF in the 7th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 9th.

LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Balbirnie   cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Jones       c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bachan      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Howell      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Toone   c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Černý   c  ......    0   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0   .000
  c-García  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Holloway    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Weber       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                   8   1   3   0   0   0   1   1   4   1   0  0.375

  a-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at C in the 5th.
  c-Entered at RF in the 6th.

NEW YORK ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sabga (L, 1-2) ......     8    6  22%    2    1    1    1    4    0   34    -

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yokobori (W, 4-2) ...    27   27 100%    1    0    0    5    6    0   94    -

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted second; New York Royals batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM ET. Weather: 87°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 665438.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Ctibor Černý Manus Holloway (3B) 0–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
New York Royals — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Joe Clarke — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +13° · 114 ft Emile King — single · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 319 ft Cristian Liriano — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +27° · 232 ft Ché Ralston — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft Aiham Sabga — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Aleš Vydra — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Gearoid Fitzgerald — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +34° · 265 ft Murray Jack — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 172 ft Nico Tasci — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft Joe Clarke — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Emile King — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 124 ft Sean Magill — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Antonín Pospíšil — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Marcus Morgan — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +27° · 133 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Florian Weber — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +18° · 178 ft Steeven Jones — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 136 ft Daren Bachan — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 153 ft Ctibor Černý — single · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 104 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Royals
84% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -3.7 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-5.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ché Ralston 92 / +17° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Murray Jack 92 / +15° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Joe Clarke 81 / +13° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Emile King 76 / +16° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Gearoid Fitzgerald 85 / +34° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Lima BC
16% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 2.5 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Florian Weber 87 / +18° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Daren Bachan 79 / +19° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Steeven Jones 76 / +18° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Ctibor Černý 83 / +11° Center Stay 0.6 → 1 +0.39
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →