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Hermosillo BC 6, Pinar del Río Ospreys 4                    2046-05-02 · #1426
at Brown-Murray Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              6    6    4    0
Pinar del Río           4    4    5    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pirela      2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Corozo      c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lannoy      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sharipov    ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Watling     3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Almeida     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Clement     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Tang    c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Bracken 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Salinas     j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Strachan    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   6   4   0   1   2   6   2   6   0   0  0.364
  3B: O'Malley (3).
  HR: Tang (2), off Méndez-Valdez; Salinas (5), off Reyes.
  SB: Corozo (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 8th.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gipson      rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ferguson    3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Buchhol pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Postecoglou c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lapeña      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mitra       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Méndez-Vald p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Barnhar ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Bautist ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Pérez   ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Cruz    pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bamba       j  ......    3   2   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Esponda     j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Miyazaki    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   5   1   0   0   3   3  12   0   0  0.192
  2B: Esponda (6).
  SB: Esponda (6), Buchholz (3).
  HBP: Gipson (1).
  GIDP: Postecoglou (1), Mitra (1).
  a-Ran for Ferguson in the 2nd.
  b-Batted for Miyazaki in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Ran in the 3rd.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Clement (W, 6-0) ....    31   26  96%    5    4    2    3   13    0  111    -
Motohashi ...........     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    3  1-0

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Méndez-Valde (L, 0-2)      4    1   4%    2    3    3    1    1    1   17    -
Reyes ...............     9    7  26%    2    3    3    1    5    1   25  1-0

  Batting order: Pinar del Río Ospreys (home) batted first; Hermosillo BC batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 33026.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 6 Miloš Postecoglou Joaquin Esponda (3B) 0–1
B 9 Mac Gipson Ken Buchholz (3B) 0–2
B 14 Víctor Bautista Salif Bamba (3B) 0–3
B 24 Joaquin Esponda Salif Bamba (2B) 0–4
T 0 Mitchell O'Malley Warren Salinas (1B) 1–4
T 1 Wenhao Tang Mitchell O'Malley (3B) 2–4
T 1 Wenhao Tang Wenhao Tang (HR) 3–4
T 8 Warren Salinas Ángel Corozo (2B) 4–4
T 8 Warren Salinas Alen Sharipov (1B) 5–4
T 8 Warren Salinas Warren Salinas (HR) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Brown-Murray Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 419' · RF 349' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
5 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
338' 419' 349' Mitchell O'Malley — triple · EV 117 mph · LA +22° · 382 ft Wenhao Tang — hr · EV 106 mph · LA +32° · 404 ft Ángel Corozo — single · EV 96 mph · LA -13° · 91 ft Jorge Almeida — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +33° · 276 ft Warren Salinas — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 398 ft
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
338' 419' 349' Salif Bamba — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 245 ft Mac Gipson — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +27° · 207 ft Gen Miyazaki — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Víctor Bautista — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Manny Cruz — single · EV 68 mph · LA +4° · 65 ft Salif Bamba — single · EV 62 mph · LA +14° · 71 ft Gen Miyazaki — error · EV 60 mph · LA -7° · 57 ft Víctor Bautista — error · EV 53 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Miloš Postecoglou — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Saurav Mitra — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -18° · 58 ft Joaquin Esponda — double · EV 94 mph · LA +31° · 312 ft Salif Bamba — single · EV 86 mph · LA +16° · 155 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
61% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Warren Salinas 100 / +42° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.47
Mitchell O'Malley 117 / +22° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.26
Wenhao Tang 106 / +32° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Ángel Corozo 96 / -13° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.55
Jorge Almeida 87 / +33° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Pinar del Río Ospreys
39% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 5.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+0.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joaquin Esponda 94 / +31° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Manny Cruz 68 / +4° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Víctor Bautista 92 / +29° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Miloš Postecoglou 76 / +22° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Salif Bamba 62 / +14° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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