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Olympika Imperial Tailors 3, Sapporo Sentinels 2            2046-05-02 · #1445
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Olympika                3    3    3    0
Sapporo                 2    2    5    0

OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sollidin    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carvalho    c  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Bricka  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Malinovskyi rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Binda       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Samedov     1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Fuda    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Novikov     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Frolov      p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Chervya ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Sergeev cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dunne       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Watts       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Pylypenko   j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  21   3   3   0   0   1   3   2  11   0   1  0.143
  HR: Frolov (1), off Vázquez.
  a-Ran for Carvalho in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Samedov in the 4th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 5th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nembhard    1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
O'Connell   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Barros      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Giammalva   cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Harbour     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Shane       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Yochum      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Villahermos lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vázquez     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Arias       j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Ludloff     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Yu          j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   2   5   0   0   0   2   1  17   0   1  0.172
  SB: Arias (3).
  GIDP: Ludloff (1).


OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Frolov (W, 3-2) .....    28   27 100%    4    2    2    1   17    0   89    -

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Vázquez (L, 1-2) ....    23   21  78%    3    3    3    2   11    1   81    -

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted first; Olympika Imperial Tailors batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM YAKT. Weather: 63°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Dry. seed 692082.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 17 Blake Vázquez Basil Arias (3B) 0–1
B 21 Robbie Giammalva Dexter Nembhard (2B) 0–2
T 9 Grigori Frolov Gelson Carvalho (3B) 1–2
T 13 Gelson Carvalho Taisei Fuda (2B) 2–2
T 21 Grigori Frolov Grigori Frolov (HR) 3–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Olympika Imperial Tailors — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
357' 412' 308' Colm Dunne — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -0° · 84 ft Gelson Carvalho — single · EV 99 mph · LA +7° · 94 ft Rifat Chervyakov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -24° · 72 ft Nikita Sergeev — ground_out · EV 110 mph · LA +8° · 104 ft Richard Binda — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -17° · 82 ft Grigori Frolov — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +28° · 435 ft Kyrylo Pylypenko — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Gelson Carvalho — single · EV 88 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Malik Sollidin — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +0° · 76 ft Richard Binda — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +35° · 273 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Remington Barros — fly_out · EV 70 mph · LA +30° · 168 ft Robbie Giammalva — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -16° · 82 ft Marcos Yochum — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA +3° · 62 ft Damion Ludloff — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Basil Arias — single · EV 70 mph · LA +22° · 137 ft Sam O'Connell — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +28° · 228 ft Damion Ludloff — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Remington Barros — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -5° · 79 ft Robbie Giammalva — single · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 178 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Olympika Imperial Tailors
89% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 6.9 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Grigori Frolov 115 / +28° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Nikita Sergeev 110 / +8° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.65
Gelson Carvalho 88 / -8° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Richard Binda 85 / +35° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Gelson Carvalho 99 / +7° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
Sapporo Sentinels
11% deserve-to-win  ·  1.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 3.7 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Marcos Yochum 65 / +3° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Damion Ludloff 66 / +9° Pull Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Basil Arias 70 / +22° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Damion Ludloff 76 / +19° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Robbie Giammalva 78 / +24° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
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