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Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 2, Pan Am Mountaineers 1  (1 SI) 2046-05-03 · #1487
at The Funnel
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            1      0    1    3    0
Cienfuegos              1      1    2    6    0

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moultrie    lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wanjiru     1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Aedo        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Feliz       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Catley      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Heredia     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Quiñone cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martins     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Shalimova   2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tuominen    p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Melo        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sampaio     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   1   3   0   0   0   1   3   8   0   0  0.107
  GIDP: Heredia (3), Martins (1), Paniagua (1).
  a-Replaced Heredia at CF in the 7th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Encarnación c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Aedo        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Rosas   ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Féliz   cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Ramos   cf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  d-Fazio   ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
  e-Zanetti ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Difo    c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  g-Coronad ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Arce    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Flores  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Louis   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Anderson    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Rodríguez   j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Valencia    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   6   2   0   0   1   6   9   0   0  0.231
  2B: Ramos (1), Encarnación (4).
  SB: Arce (8).
  CS: Rodríguez (5).
  GIDP: Zanetti (1), Louis (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  f-Entered at C in the 9th.
  g-Walked in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Rosas in the 4th.
  i-Ran for Coronado in the 4th.
  j-Ran for Féliz in the 6th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tuominen (L, 0-6) ...    32   27 100%    6    2    2    6    9    0  105    -

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Aedo (W, 1-2) .......    32   30 111%    3    1    1    3    9    0  109    -

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Pan Am Mountaineers batted first.
  Super-innings: 1.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 61°F · Wind calm · Clear · Light rain. seed 561752.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 21 Richard Shalimova Tom Wanjiru (3B) 1–0
B 23 Rory Anderson Marco Fazio (3B) 1–1
SB 27 Juan Ramos Edwin Difo (1B) 1–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Chavez Moultrie — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +43° · 356 ft Francisco Melo — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +7° · 73 ft Abel Aedo — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +28° · 283 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +41° · 155 ft Sandy Heredia — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -14° · 60 ft Arthur Martins — single · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 173 ft Richard Shalimova — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -3° · 59 ft Tom Wanjiru — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -10° · 60 ft Néstor Paniagua — double_play · EV 68 mph · LA +8° · 65 ft Chavez Moultrie — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +32° · 226 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 127 ft James Catley — single · EV 85 mph · LA +14° · 138 ft Sandy Heredia — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Arthur Martins — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 82 ft Richard Shalimova — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +0° · 75 ft Tom Wanjiru — single · EV 80 mph · LA -5° · 76 ft Chavez Moultrie — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 94 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +20° · 206 ft James Catley — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Domingo Féliz — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 187 ft Yefri Encarnación — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 197 ft Juan Ramos — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 312 ft Sandro Zanetti — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Juan Rodríguez — single · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Thomas Louis — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +7° · 52 ft Rory Anderson — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -4° · 51 ft Domingo Féliz — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 77 ft Marco Fazio — single · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Edwin Difo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 301 ft Rory Anderson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 254 ft Yefri Encarnación — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 201 ft Edwin Difo — single · EV 75 mph · LA +34° · 208 ft Juan Ramos — double · EV 99 mph · LA +12° · 161 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pan Am Mountaineers
58% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -3.9 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-5.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Chavez Moultrie 94 / +43° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.21
Ronaldo Sampaio 89 / +20° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Abel Aedo 93 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Tom Wanjiru 80 / -5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.71
Ronaldo Sampaio 77 / +16° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
42% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+1.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Juan Ramos 92 / +34° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Yefri Encarnación 92 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Edwin Difo 75 / +34° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.88
Marco Fazio 57 / -12° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Juan Ramos 99 / +12° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
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