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Brasília Stevedores 21, Culiacán BC 1                       2046-05-04 · #1508
at Spite Hyyrynen Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Culiacán                1      0    1    2    1
Brasília               21      -   21   14    1

CULIACÁN BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Massad      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Polanco     2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Valdivia    rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Peña        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Pérez       ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Delgado     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Severino    1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Rodríguez   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Falcao      p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Sosa        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sartori     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Mani        j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   1   2   0   0   0   1   3  13   0   1  0.080
  CS: Severino (2).
  E: Polanco (3).
  GIDP: Sosa (1), Massad (3), Sartori (1).


BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zardo       rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Delgado pr ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Tanaka      1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Ramírez pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Trauco      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Martine pr ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Teixeira    lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lawrick     c  ......    4   3   1   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.250
Marchetti   p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Arángui pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Geraldo ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  f-Gustavo ph ......    3   2   3   3   0   0   6   1   1   1   0  1.000
  g-Santos  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Guerra  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Encarna pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Ramón   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cabrera     j  ......    4   3   3   2   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.750
Polanco     j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    j  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  38  21  14   7   0   1  20   8   9   1   0  0.368
  2B: Cabrera (4), Gustavo 3 (11), Martinelli (8), Cabrera 2 (9).
  HR: Lawrick (1), off Sosa.
  SB: Ramírez (4), Gustavo (1), Martinelli (3), Cabrera (6).
  CS: Geraldo (1).
  E: Santos (2).
  HBP: Guerra (2).
  a-Ran for Cabrera in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Tanaka in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Trauco in the 1st.
  d-Ran for Marchetti in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 1st.
  g-Walked for Ramírez in the 8th.
  h-Was hit by a pitch in the 8th.
  i-Ran for Santos in the 8th.
  j-Ran for Guerra in the 8th.

CULIACÁN BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Falcao ..............     5    1   4%    3    3    3    1    0    0   17    -
Sosa ................     4    1   4%    2    4    3    1    0    1   16  1-1
Firmino .............     9    7  26%    3    4    4    1    3    0   32  1-1
García ..............     9    5  19%    2    4    3    1    2    0   34  1-1
Mejía (L, 0-4) ......    15    9  33%    3    6    6    4    3    0   63  1-0
Rodríguez ...........     3    4  15%    0    0    0    0    1    0   11  1-0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Marchetti (W, 5-0) ..    27   27 100%    1    1    1    3   13    0  101    -

  Batting order: Brasília Stevedores (home) batted first; Culiacán BC batted second.
  Seconds: CB o26 (1-21).
  First pitch 7:15 PM. Weather: 97°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 764337.
  Walk-Back runs: off Sosa 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Manny Geraldo Jean Delgado (2B) 0–1
B 1 Renato Gustavo Edwin Ramírez (2B) 0–2
B 1 Renato Gustavo Manny Geraldo (1B) 0–3
B 2 Nat Lawrick Renato Gustavo (3B) 0–4
B 2 Nat Lawrick Léonardo Martinelli (2B) 0–5
B 2 Nat Lawrick Nat Lawrick (HR) 0–6
B 2 Junior Cabrera Nat Lawrick (3B) 0–7
B 5 Joaquín Saprissa Junior Cabrera (3B) 0–8
B 5 Joaquín Saprissa Jorge Aránguiz (2B) 0–9
B 8 Edwin Ramírez Robinson Polanco (2B) 0–10
B 9 Renato Gustavo Edwin Ramírez (2B) 0–11
B 9 Léonardo Martinelli Renato Gustavo (2B) 0–12
B 12 Junior Cabrera Léonardo Martinelli (2B) 0–13
B 12 Junior Cabrera Éder Zardo (1B) 0–14
B 14 Jean Delgado Junior Cabrera (2B) 0–15
B 22 Junior Cabrera Nat Lawrick (1B) 0–16
B 22 Robinson Polanco Junior Cabrera (3B) 0–17
B 23 Wilmer Guerra Joaquín Saprissa (3B) 0–18
B 23 Renato Gustavo Jean Delgado (3B) 0–19
B 23 Renato Gustavo Albert Encarnación (2B) 0–20
B 23 Renato Gustavo Fernando Ramón (1B) 0–21
T 10 Rafael Peña Jonathan Polanco (3B) 1–21
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Hyyrynen Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 336' · CF 392' · RF 327' · 33' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Culiacán BC — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Rafael Peña — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +6° · 74 ft Romario Falcao — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Vittorio Sartori — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Haytham Massad — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA +4° · 63 ft Hanley Rodríguez — error · EV 67 mph · LA +6° · 64 ft Víctor Pérez — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +17° · 78 ft Sadiel Sosa — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -11° · 63 ft Abu Mani — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +50° · 122 ft
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 7 XBH · 1 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Carlos Cabrera — double · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 294 ft Manny Geraldo — single · EV 98 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Renato Gustavo — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Nat Lawrick — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +29° · 446 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 190 ft Edwin Ramírez — single · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Léonardo Martinelli — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Jorge Aránguiz — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 268 ft Joaquín Saprissa — single · EV 116 mph · LA -2° · 110 ft Junior Cabrera — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 236 ft Renato Gustavo — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 139 ft Jean Delgado — error · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 118 ft Léonardo Martinelli — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -17° · 84 ft Junior Cabrera — double · EV 108 mph · LA +23° · 337 ft Manny Geraldo — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Rômulo Teixeira — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +11° · 179 ft Nat Lawrick — fielders_choice · EV 118 mph · LA +5° · 112 ft Léonardo Martinelli — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 108 ft Junior Cabrera — double · EV 100 mph · LA +28° · 329 ft Joaquín Saprissa — single · EV 119 mph · LA +10° · 192 ft Renato Gustavo — double · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 150 ft Rômulo Teixeira — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +55° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Culiacán BC
0% deserve-to-win  ·  -0.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 1.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-0.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Romario Falcao 76 / +2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Víctor Pérez 59 / +17° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Rafael Peña 78 / +6° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Vittorio Sartori 76 / +4° Center Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Sadiel Sosa 66 / -11° Pull Double Play 0.2 → 0 -0.15
Brasília Stevedores
100% deserve-to-win  ·  18.7 expected runs
actual 21 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 27.7 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 22.0 (-5.7 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 1 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rômulo Teixeira 119 / +55° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.61
Junior Cabrera 100 / +18° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Jorge Aránguiz 100 / +21° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Rômulo Teixeira 111 / +11° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.39
Jean Delgado 95 / +10° Center Reached on Error 1.2 → 0 -1.17
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