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Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 4, Pan Am Mountaineers 1     2046-05-04 · #1515
at The Funnel
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            1    1    3    0
Cienfuegos              4    4    4    0

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wanjiru     1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Moultrie    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Feliz       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Catley      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heredia     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martins     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Shalimova   2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Riccobono   lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Cabrera pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santos      p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
Melo        j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Sampaio     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   1   3   0   0   0   1   4  16   0   1  0.125

  a-Ran for Riccobono in the 6th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Encarnación c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Rosas   ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Ramos   cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Fazio   ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Zanetti ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Coronad ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Flores  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Arce    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Louis   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Anderson    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rodríguez   j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Valencia    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   7   4   4   1   0   1   4   3   1   0   0  0.571
  2B: Rosas (8).
  HR: Coronado (3), off Santos.
  a-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  d-Entered at SS in the 5th.
  e-Homered in the 1st.
  f-Grounded out in the 2nd.
  g-Ran for Fazio in the 2nd.
  h-Ran for Ramos in the 2nd.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (L, 0-4) .....    10    5  19%    4    4    4    3    1    1   39    -

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Paniagua (W, 1-1) ...    27   27 100%    3    1    1    4   16    0  114    -

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted second; Pan Am Mountaineers batted first.
  First pitch 1:35 PM. Weather: 58°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 177876.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 22 Yefri De los Santos Pedro Cabrera (3B) 1–0
B 3 James Coronado James Coronado (HR) 1–1
B 5 Cesar Rosas Carlos Arce (3B) 1–2
B 5 Cesar Rosas Thomas Louis (2B) 1–3
B 5 Cesar Rosas Sandro Zanetti (1B) 1–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
4 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 418' 348' Francisco Melo — single · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft Pedro Cabrera — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA +1° · 51 ft Yefri De los Santos — single · EV 90 mph · LA +6° · 85 ft Francisco Melo — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' Juan Rodríguez — fielders_choice · EV 99 mph · LA -9° · 94 ft Moisés Valencia — single · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft James Coronado — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +31° · 480 ft Yefri Encarnación — single · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 178 ft Daniel Flores — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -10° · 82 ft Cesar Rosas — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 391 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pan Am Mountaineers
2% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 2.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (+1.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Francisco Melo 76 / +6° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Yefri De los Santos 90 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Francisco Melo 99 / +15° Center Single 1.2 → 1 -0.17
Pedro Cabrera 54 / +1° Oppo Out 0.1 → 0 -0.14
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
98% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (+0.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
James Coronado 119 / +31° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.95
Moisés Valencia 88 / +1° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Juan Rodríguez 99 / -9° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Daniel Flores 87 / -10° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.34
Yefri Encarnación 100 / +13° Center Single 1.3 → 1 -0.27
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