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Pinar del Río Ospreys 3, Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub 1          2046-05-05 · #1584
at Crescent Genia Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Pinar del Río           3    3    1    1
Itelka                  1    1    1    0

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabrera     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ferguson    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Stoefen     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Postecoglou rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Buchhol pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mitra       1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Coyle   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Barnhar ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Coggesh ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Amartey ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Pérez   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  g-Cruz    pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bamba       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Esponda     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Miyazaki    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   3   1   0   0   0   1   5  13   0   0  0.040
  E: Bamba (1).
  HBP: Barnhardt (4).
  GIDP: Ferguson (1).
  a-Ran for Postecoglou in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Mitra in the 4th.
  c-Batted for Miyazaki in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Walked in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Barnhardt in the 4th.

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pepelyaeva  ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kovalev     lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santana     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Henry       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Low         1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-McKinzi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Zheng       rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   .000
  b-Samsono c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Pustovy ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Difo        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Chalova     j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fitzgibbon  j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   1   1   0   0   0   1   4   9   0   1  0.040
  CS: Henry (1).
  HBP: Zheng (1).
  GIDP: Fitzgibbon (5).
  a-Ran for Low in the 9th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out for Difo in the 9th.

PINAR DEL RÍO OSPREYS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Souza (W, 3-5) ......    28   27 100%    1    1    1    4    9    0  107    -

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iakovlev (L, 3-1) ...    23   20  74%    0    2    2    3   12    0   77    -
Furshmanov ..........     9    7  26%    1    1    1    2    2    0   31  1-1

  Batting order: Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub (home) batted second; Pinar del Río Ospreys batted first.
  First pitch 1:30 PM PETT. Weather: 48°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 188923.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 9 David Pérez Ken Buchholz (3B) 1–0
T 19 Cameron Coyle Cameron Coyle (3B) 2–0
T 22 Gen Miyazaki Paul Coggeshall (3B) 3–0
B 24 Rick Fitzgibbon Kamron McKinzin (2B) 3–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crescent Genia Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 330' · CF 433' · RF 307' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Flag Pole in Play Knothole Gates
Pinar del Río Ospreys — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Salif Bamba — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA -5° · 56 ft Maduka Amartey — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Ken Buchholz — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft Cristian Cabrera — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Lesley Ferguson — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +51° · 245 ft Gen Miyazaki — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +42° · 131 ft Salif Bamba — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +13° · 73 ft Gen Miyazaki — single · EV 77 mph · LA +18° · 142 ft Lesley Ferguson — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA -14° · 66 ft Strong Stoefen — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Yury Kovalev — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +5° · 80 ft Maxim Pepelyaeva — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Geraldo Difo — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 78 ft Joel Low — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -13° · 66 ft Taras Samsonova — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Vitaliy Pustovyi — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +42° · 277 ft Yury Kovalev — error · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -6° · 51 ft Sergei Kukushkin — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 103 ft Bastien Henry — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Semyon Chalova — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA +13° · 87 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pinar del Río Ospreys
31% deserve-to-win  ·  1.4 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 2.3 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Cristian Cabrera 52 / +15° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Salif Bamba 64 / +13° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Gen Miyazaki 77 / +18° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Maduka Amartey 76 / -11° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.24
Salif Bamba 59 / -5° Center Out 0.1 → 0 -0.15
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub
69% deserve-to-win  ·  2.1 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 4.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-3.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vitaliy Pustovyi 84 / +42° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.67
Geraldo Difo 80 / +9° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Sergei Kukushkin 76 / +13° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Semyon Chalova 69 / +13° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
Taras Samsonova 52 / +13° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.41
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