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Prague Boars 8, Zagreb Miners 7                              2046-04-17 · #755
at Morrison Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Zagreb                  7    7   13    0
Prague                  8    8    6    0

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Larentzakis lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Tachtsidis  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ambri       ss ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Galal       2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Fitzgerald  cf ......    3   1   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Diouf       rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Earls       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kaimakoglou c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Vogelov     p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Burley      j  ......    3   2   3   0   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   7  13   1   1   0   7   6   5   0   0  0.419
  2B: Fitzgerald (4).
  3B: Burley (3).
  GIDP: Tachtsidis 2 (3), Earls (2).


PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gülich      ss ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Fagioli     lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Calathes    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Hines   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tabak       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Anyomi  3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Charist 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Führich c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Tannous ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Buffon  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Johanne c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  h-Moukoko pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  i-Giacint pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bella-Kotch j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Jenyat      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Ouali       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   8   6   4   0   0   7   6   9   0   0  0.273
  2B: Bella-Kotchap (5), Anyomi (3), Gülich 2 (2).
  a-Struck out for Calathes in the 6th.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  f-Ran for Charisteas in the 6th.
  g-Entered at C in the 9th.
  h-Ran for Führich in the 6th.
  i-Ran for Anyomi in the 7th.

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Vogelov (L, 3-1) ....    23   16  59%    5    6    6    4    9    0   79    -
Brunckhorst .........     5    3  11%    1    2    2    2    0    0   19  1-0

PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tabak (W, 3-0) ......    17   13  48%    5    1    1    1    4    0   51    -
Bianchi .............     5    1   4%    1    2    2    3    0    0   20  2-2
Sontag ..............     4    4  15%    3    2    2    1    0    0   16  3-2
Papagiannis .........     9    8  30%    4    2    2    1    0    0   23  1-0
Gülich ..............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

  Batting order: Prague Boars (home) batted second; Zagreb Miners batted first.
  First pitch 4:05 PM CET. Weather: 43°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 371290.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 13 Peter Earls Toni Fitzgerald (3B) 1–0
T 13 Geoff Burley Hélio Ambri (3B) 2–0
T 14 Panagiotis Larentzakis Peter Earls (3B) 3–0
T 14 Giannoulis Tachtsidis Vangelis Kaimakoglou (3B) 4–0
T 14 Hélio Ambri Geoff Burley (3B) 5–0
T 22 Geoff Burley Adrian Vogelov (1B) 6–0
T 26 Toni Fitzgerald Geoff Burley (3B) 7–0
B 4 Peter Gülich Niclas Bella-Kotchap (2B) 7–1
B 14 Peter Gülich Carlo Fagioli (3B) 7–2
B 15 Manfred Johannes Peter Gülich (2B) 7–3
B 15 Kadin Hines Benedetto Buffon (3B) 7–4
B 16 Danilo Anyomi Manfred Johannes (3B) 7–5
B 16 Danilo Anyomi Alexander Moukoko (1B) 7–6
B 19 Niclas Bella-Kotchap Nico Giacinti (2B) 7–7
B 19 Niclas Bella-Kotchap Wajdi Jenyat (1B) 7–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Morrison Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 397' · CF 469' · RF 364' · 10' wall). Cavernous.
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 11 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Giannoulis Tachtsidis — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +14° · 123 ft Hélio Ambri — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +28° · 296 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 85 ft Geoff Burley — infield_single · EV 67 mph · LA -6° · 64 ft Vangelis Kaimakoglou — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 169 ft Adrian Vogelov — single · EV 70 mph · LA +10° · 69 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — double_play · EV 80 mph · LA +7° · 76 ft Hélio Ambri — single · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Galal Galal — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 323 ft Peter Earls — single · EV 67 mph · LA +25° · 138 ft Geoff Burley — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -9° · 68 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 332 ft Vangelis Kaimakoglou — single · EV 78 mph · LA +16° · 132 ft Hélio Ambri — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Galal Galal — single · EV 77 mph · LA +17° · 132 ft Vincenzo Diouf — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 249 ft Peter Earls — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 106 ft Geoff Burley — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +17° · 224 ft Giannoulis Tachtsidis — double_play · EV 83 mph · LA -13° · 79 ft Toni Fitzgerald — double · EV 103 mph · LA +11° · 163 ft Hélio Ambri — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Galal Galal — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +39° · 361 ft
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
397' 469' 364' Niclas Bella-Kotchap — single · EV 82 mph · LA +2° · 78 ft Peter Gülich — double · EV 115 mph · LA +19° · 324 ft Sokratis Calathes — fly_out · EV 108 mph · LA +26° · 373 ft Gustav Führich — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 111 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +9° · 84 ft Peter Gülich — double · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 267 ft Manfred Johannes — single · EV 82 mph · LA +16° · 140 ft Danilo Anyomi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 167 ft Carlo Fagioli — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +34° · 325 ft Cédric Tannous — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +10° · 120 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — double · EV 108 mph · LA +33° · 431 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zagreb Miners
55% deserve-to-win  ·  10.8 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 15.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Galal Galal 96 / +39° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Geoff Burley 101 / +17° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Galal Galal 92 / +36° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Vangelis Kaimakoglou 92 / +15° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Peter Earls 92 / +9° Oppo Double Play 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Prague Boars
45% deserve-to-win  ·  9.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 14.4 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-4.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sokratis Calathes 108 / +26° Oppo Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Niclas Bella-Kotchap 108 / +33° Center Double 3.5 → 2 -1.49
Carlo Fagioli 93 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Cédric Tannous 93 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Danilo Anyomi 100 / +12° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
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