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Adelaide Baseball Club 16, Brisbane Thunder 11               2046-04-18 · #788
at Billa Bowl
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Adelaide               16      0   16   13    1
Brisbane               11      0   11    8    2

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spiranovic  lf ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.400
Enyeama     ss ......    5   2   3   0   0   0   3   0   2   0   0  0.600
Morgan      rf ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   3   0   0  0.000
Moras       2b ......    3   4   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.667
Cummins     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  a-Mulliga ph ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Marsden     3b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hadlee      cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Blanchard   c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Herbert     1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Patel       j  ......    2   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hrustic     j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  39  16  13   4   0   0  14   5  11   0   1  0.333
  2B: Moras (1), Patel 2 (3), Mulligan (6).
  E: Mulligan (2).
  a-Batted for Cummins in the 3rd.

BRISBANE THUNDER
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gauci       2b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hsia        1b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Henry       3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Brondel pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gorry       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ingles      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Wagner      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Puhi        ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Jiménez-Tro p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Morgan  c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Vukovic     j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Robinson    j  ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Toumi       j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  33  11   8   3   0   0   9   4   7   0   0  0.242
  2B: Hsia (1), Robinson (4), Toumi (5).
  SB: Gorry (3).
  E: Brondello 2 (2).
  HBP: Robinson (2), Toumi (2), Jiménez-Tromp (1).
  GIDP: Henry (1), Robinson (3), Toumi (3).
  a-Ran for Henry in the 8th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cummins (W, 1-0) ....    32   23  85%    7    6    6    2    4    0  105    -
Pujols ..............     6    2   7%    1    5    5    2    1    0   19  3-3
Pi ..................     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    2    0    8  2-0

BRISBANE THUNDER PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jiménez-Tromp .......     7    4  15%    2    2    2    2    1    0   30    -
Kewell ..............     9    5  19%    3    4    4    1    2    0   28  2-2
Rodriguez ...........    13    7  26%    5    5    5    1    4    0   41  2-2
Behich (L, 0-2) .....    12    8  30%    3    5    5    1    3    0   54  3-3
Leckie ..............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0   10  2-0

  Batting order: Brisbane Thunder (home) batted second; Adelaide Baseball Club batted first.
  Seconds: ABC o26 (16-0), BT o26 (11-16).
  First pitch 7:05 PM VLAT. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 503632.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Thomas Moras Jackson Morgan (1B) 1–0
T 2 Paul Cummins Thomas Moras (3B) 2–0
T 4 Taylor Hadlee Dave Patel (3B) 3–0
T 7 Simon Spiranovic Brad Hrustic (3B) 4–0
T 8 Ish Mulligan Luis Enyeama (3B) 5–0
T 8 Ish Mulligan Jackson Morgan (2B) 6–0
T 8 Ivan Marsden Thomas Moras (3B) 7–0
T 9 Paul Herbert Ish Mulligan (3B) 8–0
T 11 Taylor Hadlee Ivan Marsden (3B) 9–0
T 14 Dave Patel Paul Herbert (3B) 10–0
T 15 Luis Enyeama Taylor Hadlee (3B) 11–0
T 15 Simon Spiranovic Dave Patel (3B) 12–0
T 17 Taylor Hadlee Thomas Moras (3B) 13–0
T 22 Simon Spiranovic Luis Enyeama (3B) 14–0
T 23 Luis Enyeama Simon Spiranovic (3B) 15–0
T 23 Luis Enyeama Thomas Moras (2B) 16–0
B 10 David Gorry Chien-fu Hsia (2B) 16–1
B 12 Anis Toumi Luc Gauci (3B) 16–2
B 12 Anis Toumi Aaron Vukovic (3B) 16–3
B 12 Chien-fu Hsia Mark Robinson (3B) 16–4
B 21 Mark Robinson Anis Toumi (3B) 16–5
B 21 Anis Toumi Ozzie Jiménez-Tromp (3B) 16–6
B 23 Andrew Henry Mark Robinson (3B) 16–7
B 23 Mika Puhi Anis Toumi (3B) 16–8
B 23 Luc Gauci Glenn Morgan (3B) 16–9
B 23 Ozzie Jiménez-Tromp Fran Brondello (3B) 16–10
B 23 David Gorry Mika Puhi (3B) 16–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Billa Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 387' · CF 416' · RF 367' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Members' Pavilion
Adelaide Baseball Club — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
387' 416' 367' Simon Spiranovic — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +48° · 108 ft Thomas Moras — double · EV 76 mph · LA +48° · 230 ft Dave Patel — double · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 279 ft Taylor Hadlee — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 223 ft Ish Mulligan — double · EV 83 mph · LA +33° · 250 ft Simon Spiranovic — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 80 ft Luis Enyeama — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Thomas Moras — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 133 ft Ivan Marsden — error · EV 52 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Erick Blanchard — error · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Paul Herbert — single · EV 92 mph · LA +25° · 260 ft Dave Patel — double · EV 76 mph · LA +45° · 231 ft Paul Herbert — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 145 ft Erick Blanchard — single · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Taylor Hadlee — single · EV 63 mph · LA +21° · 107 ft Luis Enyeama — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Simon Spiranovic — single · EV 58 mph · LA +14° · 63 ft Ish Mulligan — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 110 ft Thomas Moras — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 217 ft Ivan Marsden — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -10° · 52 ft Simon Spiranovic — single · EV 52 mph · LA +11° · 60 ft Ish Mulligan — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 187 ft Simon Spiranovic — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 121 ft Luis Enyeama — single · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft
Brisbane Thunder — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
387' 416' 367' David Gorry — error · EV 70 mph · LA +20° · 124 ft Aaron Vukovic — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Mark Robinson — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -8° · 50 ft Anis Toumi — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 67 ft Chien-fu Hsia — single · EV 85 mph · LA +0° · 81 ft Glenn Morgan — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +12° · 105 ft Andrew Henry — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +11° · 74 ft Mika Puhi — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +19° · 233 ft Luc Gauci — single · EV 59 mph · LA -12° · 56 ft Ozzie Jiménez-Tromp — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 197 ft David Gorry — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft Aaron Vukovic — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Anis Toumi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 168 ft Chien-fu Hsia — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Casey Wagner — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -4° · 55 ft Andrew Henry — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +7° · 74 ft Mika Puhi — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Luc Gauci — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -12° · 55 ft Mark Robinson — double · EV 95 mph · LA +32° · 324 ft David Gorry — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +30° · 224 ft Glenn Morgan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 157 ft Luc Gauci — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Mark Robinson — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 102 ft David Gorry — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 306 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Adelaide Baseball Club
37% deserve-to-win  ·  7.1 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +8.9 vs expected
contact: 12.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+4.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Thomas Moras 76 / +48° Pull Double 0.2 → 2 +1.84
Dave Patel 76 / +45° Pull Double 0.2 → 2 +1.84
Ish Mulligan 83 / +33° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Dave Patel 92 / +28° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Thomas Moras 92 / +20° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Brisbane Thunder
63% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 12.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mika Puhi 98 / +19° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Anis Toumi 92 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Chien-fu Hsia 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
David Gorry 92 / +32° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Luc Gauci 59 / -12° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
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