==============================================================================
BHP Wolves 14, Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd 12   2046-04-18 · #793
at Same Field
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Brisbane               14   14   12    0
Wellington             12   12    9    0

BHP WOLVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maley       1b ......    2   3   2   1   1   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Calhoun     lf ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Vukovic     ss ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Gregorius   rf ......    3   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Head        c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Boyens      2b ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goodwin     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Orkhon      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
King        p  ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hassett     j  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Neill       j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  20  14  12   7   1   0  13   5   2   0   0  0.600
  2B: Maley (11), Hassett 2 (7), Calhoun (11), Vukovic (5), Gregorius 2 (9).
  3B: Maley (1).
  SB: Vukovic (2), Boyens 2 (2), Neill (6).
  CS: Boyens (1).
  HBP: Neill (3).


WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mitchell    1b ......    3   2   3   2   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ban         lf ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mitchell    cf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Holman      ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Clarke      c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Spiranovic  rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Davidson    2b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Turner      3b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Spiranovic  p  ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.667
Hakala      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moore       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31  12   9   5   0   2  10   7  12   0   0  0.290
  2B: Mitchell 2 (9), Ban 2 (6), Davidson (5).
  HR: Mitchell (2), off Davidson; Spiranovic (1), off Davidson.
  HBP: Turner (1).


BHP WOLVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
King ................    12    8  30%    4    3    3    0    3    0   41    -
Creek (W, 3-0) ......    13   12  44%    1    1    1    4    4    0   41  1-0
Davidson ............     8    4  15%    2    7    6    2    3    2   23  1-1
Allen ...............     5    3  11%    1    1    1    1    2    0   21  1-1

WELLINGTON NORTHERN SHIPPING CO. PTY LTD PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Spiranovic (L) ......    13    6  22%    6    7    7    2    1    0   56    -
Juric ...............    13    5  19%    6    7    7    3    1    0   43    -

  Batting order: Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd (home) batted first; BHP Wolves batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM PETT. Weather: 70°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 795692.
  Walk-Back runs: off Davidson 1, off Allen 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Eugene Spiranovic Garang Davidson (2B) 0–1
B 8 Jarrod Mitchell Ricky Turner (3B) 0–2
B 8 Jarrod Mitchell Eugene Spiranovic (1B) 0–3
B 15 Ricky Turner Shane Mitchell (3B) 0–4
B 22 Hamish Moore Shane Mitchell (3B) 0–5
B 24 Eugene Spiranovic Jock Clarke (3B) 0–6
B 24 Eugene Spiranovic Vince Spiranovic (2B) 0–7
B 24 Eugene Spiranovic Ricky Turner (1B) 0–8
B 24 Eugene Spiranovic Eugene Spiranovic (HR) 0–9
B 24 Jarrod Mitchell Eugene Spiranovic (3B) 0–10
B 24 Jarrod Mitchell Jarrod Mitchell (HR) 0–11
B 24 Dong-gun Ban Jarrod Mitchell (3B) 0–12
T 0 Fred Calhoun Damien Maley (1B) 1–12
T 0 Cam Vukovic Fred Calhoun (2B) 2–12
T 2 Mihaka Boyens Cam Vukovic (3B) 3–12
T 3 Pita Hassett Mihaka Boyens (3B) 4–12
T 3 Pita Hassett Danny Neill (2B) 5–12
T 5 Damien Maley Nikita King (2B) 6–12
T 5 Fred Calhoun Damien Maley (3B) 7–12
T 6 Nathan Gregorius Cam Vukovic (1B) 8–12
T 7 Mihaka Boyens Nathan Gregorius (2B) 9–12
T 10 Pita Hassett Danny Neill (2B) 10–12
T 10 Nikita King Pita Hassett (2B) 11–12
T 10 Damien Maley Nikita King (1B) 12–12
T 11 Nathan Gregorius Damien Maley (2B) 13–12
T 11 Nathan Gregorius Fred Calhoun (1B) 14–12
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Same Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 339' · CF 409' · RF 327' · 18' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall Scoreboard Clock
BHP Wolves — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 8 XBH · 0 HR
339' 409' 327' Wall 18' Fred Calhoun — double · EV 95 mph · LA +47° · 359 ft Cam Vukovic — double · EV 102 mph · LA +26° · 329 ft Nathan Gregorius — fly_out · EV 117 mph · LA +52° · 480 ft Mihaka Boyens — single · EV 110 mph · LA -1° · 105 ft Pita Hassett — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 381 ft Nikita King — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 202 ft Damien Maley — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft James Head — fly_out · EV 107 mph · LA +59° · 403 ft Fred Calhoun — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +53° · 471 ft Nathan Gregorius — double · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 346 ft Mihaka Boyens — single · EV 96 mph · LA -20° · 91 ft Aron Goodwin — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -9° · 90 ft Pita Hassett — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 147 ft Nikita King — single · EV 95 mph · LA -1° · 90 ft Damien Maley — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 264 ft Nathan Gregorius — double · EV 105 mph · LA +10° · 152 ft
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 1 1B · 5 XBH · 2 HR
339' 409' 327' Wall 18' Jarrod Mitchell — double · EV 112 mph · LA +13° · 221 ft Dong-gun Ban — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +21° · 187 ft Niko Hakala — fly_out · EV 115 mph · LA +27° · 435 ft Dimitri Holman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Garang Davidson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 198 ft Eugene Spiranovic — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Ricky Turner — ground_out · EV 115 mph · LA +4° · 109 ft Jarrod Mitchell — double · EV 119 mph · LA +17° · 313 ft Dong-gun Ban — double · EV 110 mph · LA +30° · 418 ft Niko Hakala — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 152 ft Hamish Moore — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +26° · 245 ft Dong-gun Ban — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Dimitri Holman — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 149 ft Eugene Spiranovic — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +26° · 444 ft Jarrod Mitchell — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +34° · 465 ft Dong-gun Ban — double · EV 115 mph · LA +20° · 333 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
BHP Wolves
41% deserve-to-win  ·  13.0 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 19.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+2.0 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 1 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Damien Maley 100 / +14° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Nathan Gregorius 117 / +52° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.66
Fred Calhoun 111 / +53° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.35
James Head 107 / +59° Pull Out 1.1 → 0 -1.12
Fred Calhoun 95 / +47° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Wellington Northern Shipping Co. Pty Ltd
59% deserve-to-win  ·  15.8 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 24.9 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-5.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Niko Hakala 115 / +27° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -3.03
Niko Hakala 100 / +11° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Dimitri Holman 100 / +11° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Eugene Spiranovic 118 / +26° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Hamish Moore 88 / +26° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →